40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Scott have you ever stopped to think it's maybe the way you try to sell something and not the people you're trying to sell it to? Not imo. He's pretty careful with his wording. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 For sne, gfs snow numbers are 6 for most of the region. Even a 4 up in con to PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Scott have you ever stopped to think it's maybe the way you try to sell something and not the people you're trying to sell it to? A few of us our selling the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Scott have you ever stopped to think it's maybe the way you try to sell something and not the people you're trying to sell it to? Wrong person to direct that at IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cja1987 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Scott have you ever stopped to think it's maybe the way you try to sell something and not the people you're trying to sell it to? Granted I don't get to all his posts but I don't see what he is or has been trying to "sell"... This is science, not sales.. Every post I ever read is well thought out and backed by objective science, pattern, models, obs and a very good knowledge of local and regional climo. Just be happy for the good mets we have on this forum who post faithfully and share their knowledge freely.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GEFS look great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GEFS look great! Thats pretty big for E MA...close to blizzard conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 GEFS seem slightly more robust vs the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Sound the alarms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Granted I don't get to all his posts but I don't see what he is or has been trying to "sell"... This is science, not sales.. Every post I ever read is well thought out and backed by objective science, pattern, models, obs and a very good knowledge of local and regional climo. Just be happy for the good mets we have on this forum who post faithfully and share their knowledge freely.. I know sometimes I might get a little saucy in my posts...but I think what most of us have said is to give this a chance. We stated why...favorable analog years, highly amplified flow and as Will has stated..models will have trouble resolving nrn stream disturbances until we are close to a potential event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Thats pretty big for E MA...close to blizzard conditions. Pretty good QPF swath out to MPM too. Hopefully the euro climbs aboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Sound the alarms. Jerry....very well done. Sniffing this one out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Reading this thread just made me feel much better about the Pats loss. Looks good. One hour till Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Jerry....very well done. Sniffing this one out. Thanks Pickles! I' don't want to spike early but these waves in the new pattern looked tasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 OT but I can't help but LOL from Jerry's comment...."Thanks pickles!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Thats pretty big for E MA...close to blizzard conditions. Kev kept making fun of me, but we were in fact due for an e MA winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 A few of us our selling the same. Read my other post to better understand. Wrong person to direct that at IMO. Granted I don't get to all his posts but I don't see what he is or has been trying to "sell"... This is science, not sales.. Every post I ever read is well thought out and backed by objective science, pattern, models, obs and a very good knowledge of local and regional climo. Just be happy for the good mets we have on this forum who post faithfully and share their knowledge freely.. I was speaking rhetorically...and I'll say on the same token the pros should be thankful there's a community supported site that provides them that opportunity (note the little stars next to someones name). This site wouldn't be here without the donations of a lot of people which is why it's the community it is. Everyone plays a part in that..not just the red taggers. Back to the storm, barring a change I think we're looking at a significant winter storm with blizzard conditions in at least coastal areas. The OE potential is terrific here, IMO much better than that last big one aside of that north shore area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Kev kept making fun of me, but we were in fact due for an e MA winter. You don't average 5" more than him because you get less than him every winter. Climo wins in the end. These types of storms happen...just not that much in the past 4 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 If euro isn't in board I still stay bullish. If it is, well then we hope outlets catch up quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 It's fine Scott. All good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 If euro isn't in board I still stay bullish. If it is, well then we hope outlets catch up quickly. The euro will do one of two things. It will hold steady and tease us with another 0.1" QPF...or it will have a 984 low over the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 The euro will do one of two things. It will hold steady and tease us with another 0.1" QPF...or it will have a 984 low over the BM. Most likely the first option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Most likely the first option. Was there anything euro ens had @5h that looked better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 My guess is they come in a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The euro will do one of two things. It will hold steady and tease us with another 0.1" QPF...or it will have a 984 low over the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 It's fine Scott. All good. Scott I tried to send you a message your mailbox is full. This thread is the perfect example...the date is the 24th but it'll already be raging the night of the 22nd. When something is said softly a few times people understand a possibility is being spelled out without anyone needing to explain it as such. When it has to be repeated 20 times by the same poster of which 75% were responses to posts intended to illicit a reaction it no longer reads as a suggestion of possibilities. My point in posting those departures was to illustrate the fact that this pattern has had severe and abrupt swings for more than a month and may well continue to do so. When I looked at the actual numbers it really stands out #1 how extreme the temps have been and #2 how many cycles we've run through already. Perhaps also to illustrate that although the departures are severe we've had almost identically severe bounce back periods. Anyway, to me this one looks like a crush job with some epic totals on the coast. Probably up towards you but this one looks to have a more solid shield throughout. 6-12" maybe a notch higher depending on the euro...which if it blows would give a lot of pause before making that leap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I remember like 84 hrs before the Jan 2-3 storm, I joked saying the euro would take the low over Chatham. It did...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Scott I tried to send you a message your mailbox is full. This thread is the perfect example...the date is the 24th but it'll already be raging the night of the 22nd. When something is said softly a few times people understand a possibility is being spelled out without anyone needing to explain it as such. When it has to be repeated 20 times by the same poster of which 75% were responses to posts intended to illicit a reaction it no longer reads as a suggestion of possibilities. My point in posting those departures was to illustrate the fact that this pattern has had severe and abrupt swings for more than a month and may well continue to do so. When I looked at the actual numbers it really stands out #1 how extreme the temps have been and #2 how many cycles we've run through already. Perhaps also to illustrate that although the departures are severe we've had almost identically severe bounce back periods. Anyway, to me this one looks like a crush job with some epic totals on the coast. Probably up towards you but this one looks to have a more solid shield throughout. 6-12" maybe a notch higher depending on the euro...which if it blows would give a lot of pause before making that leap. Reread the thread title. It was changed 2 cycles ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Reread the thread title. It was changed 2 cycles ago. Weird because I just copied this a few seconds ago from the other thread by hitting back and refresh...maybe a cache issue but if that's the case I doubt I'm alone. "January maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Weird because I just copied this a few seconds ago from the other thread by hitting back and refresh...maybe a cache issue but if that's the case I doubt I'm alone. "January maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!" Jerry changed the title this morning, read back a few. Who cares it gon snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.