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January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!


weathafella

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I think 18z gfs continues to show great banding for S amd SE CT

Duration of best lift doesnt seem to get much further ENE then like ORH Littelton nw corner of 495

Which may be reading too much in but i have seen lift tail off on last few runs of gfs/nam once ene/ne of Orh (i.e /n shore)

Kinda like when mid level low first closes off and "pivots" best lift is centered still w/sw/s of bos metro a tad

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  On 1/20/2014 at 9:59 PM, weathafella said:

What do you think for mby?

I think BOX map is good. A nice 8-10 right now with perhaps a bit more. The question is now more mesoscale nuances that we won't know until tomorrow. The GFS actuallys argues banding from HFD to ORH because it's so far west with the mid level lows, but temps aloft are cool enough to allow deformation and snow growth at 850mb.

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  On 1/20/2014 at 10:06 PM, CoastalWx said:

I think BOX map is good. A nice 8-10 right now with perhaps a bit more. The question is now more mesoscale nuances that we won't know until tomorrow. The GFS actuallys argues banding from HFD to ORH because it's so far west with the mid level lows, but temps aloft are cool enough to allow deformation and snow growth at 850mb.

May hate to say it but that 18z gfs pivots close to kev's fanny w deform band (verbatim)

(I think, lol)

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  On 1/20/2014 at 10:14 PM, PolarVortex said:

You're talking so positive today Kevin is horribly confused and wondering if he's on the right forum.

Both of us being positive on the same storm...Elvis is found living in Minneapolis Tuesday?

It's easy to be more optimistic when your own backyard is involved.

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  On 1/20/2014 at 10:14 PM, cpick79 said:

May hate to say it but that 18z gfs pivots close to kev's fanny w deform band (verbatim)

(I think, lol)

 

GFS...remember it usually has a few runs too far NW.

 

  On 1/20/2014 at 10:24 PM, dendrite said:

It's easy to be more optimistic when your own backyard is involved.

 

Well technically I was in the line of fire last time too.  Second blizzard oriented watch or warning in two storms but I think this one has a better chance of delivering true blue 1+.  Although....the later GFS runs are creeping dangerously close to pushing that further NW.

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