Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    18,119
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    happyclam13
    Newest Member
    happyclam13
    Joined

January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

Recommended Posts

FRWEATHA

FRWEATHA

Posted
Posted

Been a lurker here for a few years.  Thought I would create an account to give some obs for the upcoming event.  Just got back from the Lexington area this AM from a work trip.  Was nice to see some snow otg.  Hope to see some on s.coast tomorrow nite.  Thanks to all those who do the great analysis for us non-mets who are too busy to try to figure out wx maps, but have the same interest in wx.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 1.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
NorEastermass128

NorEastermass128

Posted
Posted
  On 1/20/2014 at 4:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Looks like this won't be one of those CJs where the heavy snows don't progress nw of thr oe bands....like Jan 2-3.

 

Nice.

I'd go 3-6" right now for us.  Hedge toward the lower amounts now too.  If the EURO trends NW at 12z, look out!  

 

Hopefully my little Hyundai can handle snow covered Rt. 93N tomorrow night after the first day of classes.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Arnold214

Arnold214

Posted
Posted
  On 1/20/2014 at 4:32 PM, bobbutts said:

Guess it's time to take notice in CNE

sref-01-20-2014-9z-sno.jpg

SREF's going with a nice compact range of outcomes, 0-34"

those really go nuts with the ratios in an arctic airmass...probably 30-35:1 so overdone but i'm taking a little bit of interest.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Zeus

Zeus

Posted
Posted
  On 1/20/2014 at 4:47 PM, leesun said:

There is isn't a shred of guidance left that backs up BOX's current snowfall forecast

 

That was issued at 4:05 AM, well before the guidance shifted unanimously in the direction of a more substantial hit.

 

BOX will often temper their current thinking on a given forecast with the previous package, which helps create consistency from package to package. This concept appears lost on many.

 

Anyhow, I have no doubt in my mind that a midday or -- at the very latest -- afternoon update from BOX will have watches if not warning for much of the forecast area and a substantially adjusted accumulation forecast map.

 

Have patience.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
  On 1/20/2014 at 4:47 PM, leesun said:

There is isn't a shred of guidance left that backs up BOX's current snowfall forecast

Right, but this is a preemptive approach to maintain some small semblance of continuity should the EURO hold serve, and the American suite cave tonight.

 

I don't expect that, but it wouldn't be the first time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
jamesnichols1989

jamesnichols1989

Posted
Posted
  On 1/20/2014 at 4:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Right, but this is a preemptive approach to maintain some small semblance of continuity should the EURO hold serve, and the American suite cave tonight.

 

I don't expect that, but it wouldn't be the first time.

 

Have actually seen the opposite occur this year more often than not.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
leesun

leesun

Posted
Posted
  On 1/20/2014 at 4:52 PM, Zeus said:

That was issued at 4:05 AM, well before the guidance shifted unanimously in the direction of a more substantial hit.

 

BOX will often temper their current thinking on a given forecast with the previous package, which helps create consistency from package to package. This concept appears lost on many.

 

Anyhow, I have no doubt in my mind that a midday or -- at the very latest -- afternoon update from BOX will have watches if not warning for much of the forecast area and a substantially adjusted accumulation forecast map.

 

Have patience.

I understand all of what you say.  My problem with it is the general public goes and checks the website now and say-"OK, not too bad, I can keep my plans for tomorrow"

 

Why do they have to wait for the afternoon package---isn't it more important to get the word out ASAP

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

Posted
Posted
  On 1/20/2014 at 4:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Right, but this is a preemptive approach to maintain some small semblance of continuity should the EURO hold serve, and the American suite cave tonight.

I don't expect that, but it wouldn't be the first time.

The euro has been too little too late in every one of these events this year. It will come back nw this run and increase the snow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...