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Jan. 18th "Threat" Observations


NorEastermass128

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The latest RAP and HRRR are really going to town across eastern mass northward to coastal maine today. It'll be interesting to see if they can latch on to some continuity for a few runs to yield more confidence.

 

Cloudy, 29F in Gray, ME.

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  On 1/18/2014 at 2:32 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Meh'  position of North is arbitrary.

 

 

map-of-world-upside-down-south-pole-on-t

 

Upstream = what's coming your way

Downsream = what's already past you and heading somewhere else.

 

It's not difficult--but seems to confuse a lot of people.  ;)

 

Surface temps won't be helping the accumulations.  Already up to 29.8/27 at the Pit.  Progged for lower 30's on zfp/33 on p/c.  Not ideal.

 

29.8/27

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  On 1/18/2014 at 2:38 PM, moneypitmike said:

Upstream = what's coming your way

Downsream = what's already past you and heading somewhere else.

 

It's not difficult--but seems to confuse a lot of people.  ;)

 

Surface temps won't be helping the accumulations.  Already up to 29.8/27 at the Pit.  Progged for lower 30's on zfp/33 on p/c.  Not ideal.

 

29.8/27

 

Yeah I'm at 30F now.

We need to thump for a while if we want to get some cover. You should be good for a couple inches, I'll need a little more help.

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  On 1/18/2014 at 2:39 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Yeah I'm at 30F now.

We need to thump for a while if we want to get some cover. You should be good for a couple inches, I'll need a little more help.

 

The temps will merely allow more compaction.  I think the bigger issue is whether we get enough preciptiation. I see a line Great Barrington to ORE (and continue from there).  South and east of that line will have decent qpf, north and west of it kind of meh.

 

That said, snow's just picked up considerably here.

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  On 1/18/2014 at 2:34 PM, Arnold214 said:

The latest RAP and HRRR are really going to town across eastern mass northward to coastal maine today. It'll be interesting to see if they can latch on to some continuity for a few runs to yield more confidence.

 

Cloudy, 29F in Gray, ME.

You think 3-6" in gray area is likely?

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  On 1/18/2014 at 2:43 PM, ineedsnow said:

seems like this might over-perform for alot of people if it can stay snow radar is looking really good

 

There's the rub.

 

  On 1/18/2014 at 2:44 PM, Allsnow said:

Ended up with close to a half inch here. Looks beautiful here. Should be gone by noon lol

 

Did it go right to rain or mix?

 

Snowing great now--good looking flakes.

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