Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,584
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

January 2014 Pattern Discussion Part II


Typhoon Tip

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Is it really a surprise euro would hold energy back in sw

The nam may have split he diff between gfs/euro and just missd ejecting enuf of that sw east in time for a big time run/phase like the 18z gefs amped members w the neggy tilt.

I think its possible we amp this up a touch more but maybe that would require 3 -4things all trending favorable

For anyone north of Delmarva to have a prayer could we use the Polar vortex to retrograde a touch more and then maybe things look better at 5H ?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Gfs actually wasnt that bad , id wait on the gefs . This one isnt over yet.

Ukie went well west of what i had , and so did rgem. Now that is good For RDU lol but hopefully James and Phil can get some love by tomm 12z.

Seems some are asleep at the wheel, tomorrow looks good CNE and all of a sudden Friday'
Link to comment
Share on other sites

For cape codders

WXSOUTH ‏@WxSouth 18m

Foot of snow possible between CLT, RDU, ORF. No model has enough interaction from Baja low yet, but they will soon. Regardless, snow in SE

WXSOUTH ‏@WxSouth 18 mins

Once more influence from Baja is seen by models, they will adjust QPF west and increase amounts in SE overall. Big Ticket item #snow #ice

What will get this up to the cape best, more baja energy east and a phase.

Anything the polar vort can do to improve 5H look

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's gonna start pretty warm. SHRASN to SHSN maybe? Still looks like a west slope/Greens/Whites special to me.

 

Yeah, well to us these are what like SWFE are to you...jackpots usually, haha.

 

But some of the meso-models are trying to agree with the GFS.... as that vort max plows into New England it almost ignites like a line of winter convection over northern MA and southern NH that moves eastward towards the North Shore.  It must key in on the higher theta-e air getting pumped ahead of the front or something?  Or its just a convective burp some of the models are having.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Although I guess I should've looked at temps more closely... I just assumed with the ice box of late that it would be cold enough for snow to Philly.  I'm surprised that H85 0C line gets almost NW of ORH today... but the GFS looks like some of the meso-models with that flare up in north/central Mass.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...