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January 2014 Pattern Discussion Part II


Typhoon Tip

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Many years folks would kill for a winter like this in New England.

Once they wrap their hands around the idea that it's a nickel and dime winter and well BN temps..they'll be able to enjoy it. The ones looking for KU's and jackpot fetishes are simply going to suffer

Well said, just got back in from sledding. Fast and furious conditions. Not that cold. Sun brilliant off the refreshed snow. Looks like lots of chances for wintry precipitation. Not something everyone wants to hear but I smell ice for areas that rarely worry about it. Somebody cashes in with repeated long duration snow.
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More than less agree ... but the SE ridge, I would suggest, is/has always been there, but is merely being compressed at times by absurdly deep SPV over southern/SE Canada.  The SE ridge has been plaguing since  ... really the late 1990s.  NCEP has at times mentioned this.  Also, a -NAO can exist (though one is not likely during the next two weeks, just point of fact...) concurrent with a SE ridge; we'd just end up with the same sort of compressed appeal.  But agree in principle that this is and has been a -EPO winter, and that looks to continue for the foreseeable future. 

 

Re compression:  the proof is in the fact that there are more isopleths on the charts than can be counted, and the flow everywhere is Neptunian (speaking in hyperbole of course...).   In my opinion, if you are a winter storm enthusiast, the 00z Euro licks donkey balls.  I sometimes wonder if the optimism I keep reading in the moments after a model cycle are manufactured because as in the great words of Nelso Muntz, "Some people prefer delusion over despair," and a similar phenomenon occurs in modeling interpretation. Dry through D7, save for a squall maybe with that polar fropa around D4/5, then warm front blithely transporting N on a Lakes Cutter.  I don't know how we can spin that to be a "good" solution for snow.   Cold, sure...  I guess one thing we could suggest is that the west bias of the Euro in the extended "might" implicate a better track with that cutter on future runs.  We'll see.  

 

Also, this next big arctic cold insert into the GL, similar to the last one that set records, ... it doesn't really get here in the same panache.  It starts modifying almost immediately, arriving here more on westerly trajectories with risen thickness'.  

 

Overall, just as yesterday, I see a cold pattern devoid of meaningful storminess ... due in large part because of a generalized interference on a larger scales.  Namely, fore-said SE ridge compression underneath the might of a wicked SPV creates too fast of a flow for systems to operate and produce the goods.  Can we get a nickles here and there ... perhaps.  But I have no truck with admitting this pattern blows for storm threats, albeit cold, and won't spin up any optimism until I honestly see it differently.  But that's just me...  

 

Now, watch the 12z runs arrive with the end of the world.

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I know. Many of the young weenies have no idea how exciting it was to get a 3-6" event. Gods honest truth. 10" would cause you to get Hospitalized due to excitement. I mean it was so brutal.

People just expect multiple double-digit events each winter now. We're totally spoiled.

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I know. Many of the young weenies have no idea how exciting it was to get a 3-6" event. Gods honest truth. 10" would cause you to get Hospitalized due to excitement. I mean it was so brutal.

Glad I was born in the late 80s. That decade leaves a deep scar on a certain weenie coworker.

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I think my first guess for SNE would be snow to ice interior..snow to mix/rain coast. Perhaps it waits until more Sunday night. GFS suite would be nice, but do not buy all snow at the moment. Also think euro op too warm.

 

If there was no weather I could leave my shift early and catch the game, so as it stands now I'm stuck listening on the radio. Not happy about this one bit.

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he was saying your Jan and their Jan were polar opposites.

Actually, no.

 

Pretty sure he was saying that while this January has been frustrating here, its been down right sub par up there.

 

2000-2001 was a decent winter for Boston, but highly frustrating with the gradient around rt 495.....2001-2002 was just downright abysmal.

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watch it online? I have been to your office, you have the ability, lol.

 

I'm lucky I can check my mail on our internet, streaming video would be a miracle.

 

As for the TVs, they are designated for situational awareness only, no entertainment. I could probably stretch the idea that the upstream weather in NYC is relevant to what we'll eventually experience. :popcorn:

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I'm lucky I can check my mail on our internet, streaming video would be a miracle.

As for the TVs, they are designated for situational awareness only, no entertainment. I could probably stretch the idea that the upstream weather in NYC is relevant to what we'll eventually experience. :popcorn:

if any boss busts your balls on SB Sunday they should be retired
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It's funny. I have given up holidays, weekends, a good night's sleep for this job, but I can never remember missing the Super Bowl. Ha.

Some kind of SWFE would soften the blow though.

In 2007 I took off the SB hoping the Pats would make it. They did, but with a loss too. After that, I promised not to jinx it and do that again.

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Zzzzzz fest thru next 7 days . Maybe weenie flakes tmrw. Maybe rev can fire up a thread and spin this to C-2 w lolli's to 4

At least its cold...our pack will hang in there.

There is a Hail Mary miracle shot at precip se sne late week but ya zzzzz more likely

I will also enjoy watchin the s get in on a winter event

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