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January 2014 Pattern Discussion Part II


Typhoon Tip

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That doesn't look very unstable. Except maybe for a time up between 400-500mb in the sounding. You want to see the lines slant to the left strongly.

 

That doesn't look very unstable. Except maybe for a time up between 400-500mb in the sounding. You want to see the lines slant to the left strongly.

hmm

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Euro ens aren't terrible with that system. Gets messy in sne but nne weenies rejoice. I'm just happy were getting into an active stretch. Too far out to worry about the details.

the mean looked OK, but there were quite a few messy members up to CON. Timing diffs sorta washed out the mean. We'll see. It may be worth it just to see the meltdowns about arctic cold followed by rain again. Then Tippy will psychoanalyze. It's a win-win.
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the mean looked OK, but there were quite a few messy members up to CON. Timing diffs sorta washed out the mean. We'll see. It may be worth it just to see the meltdowns about arctic cold followed by rain again. Then Tippy will psychoanalyze. It's a win-win.

 

 

Lol...the meltdowns would be funny, i have to admit it might be worth getting the cutter just to see them.

 

 

We don;t have a -NAO and the PNA descends for a time, so a cutter is certainly a risk...but we also have a ton of cold air, so it could be quite icy if we got a storm trying to go west.

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the mean looked OK, but there were quite a few messy members up to CON. Timing diffs sorta washed out the mean. We'll see. It may be worth it just to see the meltdowns about arctic cold followed by rain again. Then Tippy will psychoanalyze. It's a win-win.

Lol there would be some meltdowns.

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Would be funny if that timeframe featured a cutter. I liked that time for a few days.

 

My guess is that it won't be a classic cutter. Plenty of time and room to move around.

 

It seems like this year when the models are hinting at a relaxing in the longest ranges...its more a cutter they were "seeing" than a pattern change.  This may be the same deal here.

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The problem is some weenies are all or nothing. It's going to be cold on average for the next 2-3 weeks but not every fukkin' day with every system snow.

 

In fairness most don't care about the cold aside of the pattern junkies.  We're into winter weather for the snow and for some it's been about a month with nothing of interest (way up north) and an ever increasing interval into the weeks for guys like Ray and N&W.

 

If we got a cutter after another 7-9 days of nothing....and then have to wait another few days for the "real" pattern to set up I can see this place being a laugh riot.

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ORD at 45+ for seasonal snow so far. 30+ for January and more snow in the immediate forecast. Epic year like old times for the Midwest as ginxy pointed out.

-7.5 for temps in January for ORD. 9 lows subzero of the first 24 days and subzero will occur this week for them on 2-3 nights.

They've pulled a -16, two -12s, and they'll go double digit subzero on at least one night this week.

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I think if we did receive a cutter, that would make a lot of people angry up north and rightfully so. It's been very cold, and they haven't seen much snow.

With the exception of Boston to providence and south east, nobody has to done all that great with snowfall.

We've had at least a handful of cutters this year already regardless of cold. Seems to be the story line For most up north this year unfortunately.

Would be sad to see that happen

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Lol...the meltdowns would be funny, i have to admit it might be worth getting the cutter just to see them.

 

 

We don;t have a -NAO and the PNA descends for a time, so a cutter is certainly a risk...but we also have a ton of cold air, so it could be quite icy if we got a storm trying to go west.

I'd miss the ice by 5 miles, just like I missed the heavy snow by 20.

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In fairness most don't care about the cold aside of the pattern junkies.  We're into winter weather for the snow and for some it's been about a month with nothing of interest (way up north) and an ever increasing interval into the weeks for guys like Ray and N&W.

 

If we got a cutter after another 7-9 days of nothing....and then have to wait another few days for the "real" pattern to set up I can see this place being a laugh riot.

Yea, I'm sorry....I'm not being "all or nothing".

When you get nothing but one 4.5" event spread out over 18 hours, and a fluffy 1" long middle finger on the periphery of a Boston points se CJ over a month's time, all the while in the midst of an arctic/dry-cutter cycle...that blows, blows hard, fast, and furious.

There is nothing at all nebulous about it.

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