ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 NAM is crazy unstable Monday That doesn't look very unstable. Except maybe for a time up between 400-500mb in the sounding. You want to see the lines slant to the left strongly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 TK on board Tim Kelley NECN @SurfSkiWxMan26m don't tell anyone, but I think it will snow from New Jersey to Massachusetts RT @ryan_the_wx_man What do you think for Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Concentrating inside day 7, things are going to get busy in a hurry. Fantasy range stuff changes every 6-12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 That doesn't look very unstable. Except maybe for a time up between 400-500mb in the sounding. You want to see the lines slant to the left strongly. That doesn't look very unstable. Except maybe for a time up between 400-500mb in the sounding. You want to see the lines slant to the left strongly. hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I must admit a cutter would be most amusing in early February if just for the comedic value of posts that follow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 We definitely will not have a QPF shortage. Rainers seldomly do. 18.0/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 So 7 more days and then the pattern finally pays out? Flurries on the cape and islands? Looks like cold and dry to me until fantasy range. Where can I find a nice Eeyore avatar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Euro ens aren't terrible with that system. Gets messy in sne but nne weenies rejoice. I'm just happy were getting into an active stretch. Too far out to worry about the details.the mean looked OK, but there were quite a few messy members up to CON. Timing diffs sorta washed out the mean. We'll see. It may be worth it just to see the meltdowns about arctic cold followed by rain again. Then Tippy will psychoanalyze. It's a win-win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 the mean looked OK, but there were quite a few messy members up to CON. Timing diffs sorta washed out the mean. We'll see. It may be worth it just to see the meltdowns about arctic cold followed by rain again. Then Tippy will psychoanalyze. It's a win-win. Truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Euro has 2m temps in the low 50's up into SNH on Super Bowl Sunday lol . UghSouthern New Haven? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 the mean looked OK, but there were quite a few messy members up to CON. Timing diffs sorta washed out the mean. We'll see. It may be worth it just to see the meltdowns about arctic cold followed by rain again. Then Tippy will psychoanalyze. It's a win-win. Lol...the meltdowns would be funny, i have to admit it might be worth getting the cutter just to see them. We don;t have a -NAO and the PNA descends for a time, so a cutter is certainly a risk...but we also have a ton of cold air, so it could be quite icy if we got a storm trying to go west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 would be funny to see it be in the 40's or 50's for the Superbowl after all the hype about a blizzard and contingency plans to move the game etc... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 the mean looked OK, but there were quite a few messy members up to CON. Timing diffs sorta washed out the mean. We'll see. It may be worth it just to see the meltdowns about arctic cold followed by rain again. Then Tippy will psychoanalyze. It's a win-win. Lol there would be some meltdowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 would be funny to see it be in the 40's or 50's for the Superbowl after all the hype about a blizzard and contingency plans to move the game etc... It's crushed ticket values in the secondary markets. Kind of funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Would be funny if that timeframe featured a cutter. I liked that time for a few days. My guess is that it won't be a classic cutter. Plenty of time and room to move around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The problem is some weenies are all or nothing. It's going to be cold on average for the next 2-3 weeks but not every fukkin' day with every system snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Would be funny if that timeframe featured a cutter. I liked that time for a few days. My guess is that it won't be a classic cutter. Plenty of time and room to move around. It seems like this year when the models are hinting at a relaxing in the longest ranges...its more a cutter they were "seeing" than a pattern change. This may be the same deal here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The problem is some weenies are all or nothing. It's going to be cold on average for the next 2-3 weeks but not every fukkin' day with every system snow. In fairness most don't care about the cold aside of the pattern junkies. We're into winter weather for the snow and for some it's been about a month with nothing of interest (way up north) and an ever increasing interval into the weeks for guys like Ray and N&W. If we got a cutter after another 7-9 days of nothing....and then have to wait another few days for the "real" pattern to set up I can see this place being a laugh riot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 ORD at 45+ for seasonal snow so far. 30+ for January and more snow in the immediate forecast. Epic year like old times for the Midwest as ginxy pointed out. -7.5 for temps in January for ORD. 9 lows subzero of the first 24 days and subzero will occur this week for them on 2-3 nights. They've pulled a -16, two -12s, and they'll go double digit subzero on at least one night this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I think if we did receive a cutter, that would make a lot of people angry up north and rightfully so. It's been very cold, and they haven't seen much snow. With the exception of Boston to providence and south east, nobody has to done all that great with snowfall. We've had at least a handful of cutters this year already regardless of cold. Seems to be the story line For most up north this year unfortunately. Would be sad to see that happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Lol...the meltdowns would be funny, i have to admit it might be worth getting the cutter just to see them. We don;t have a -NAO and the PNA descends for a time, so a cutter is certainly a risk...but we also have a ton of cold air, so it could be quite icy if we got a storm trying to go west. I'd miss the ice by 5 miles, just like I missed the heavy snow by 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Dendrite Scooter Will are full of ****e saying that raining would be worth reading about some fool crying over rain. No way any of them die hard snow geeks would give up snow to read on a weather board complainers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 In fairness most don't care about the cold aside of the pattern junkies. We're into winter weather for the snow and for some it's been about a month with nothing of interest (way up north) and an ever increasing interval into the weeks for guys like Ray and N&W. If we got a cutter after another 7-9 days of nothing....and then have to wait another few days for the "real" pattern to set up I can see this place being a laugh riot. Yea, I'm sorry....I'm not being "all or nothing". When you get nothing but one 4.5" event spread out over 18 hours, and a fluffy 1" long middle finger on the periphery of a Boston points se CJ over a month's time, all the while in the midst of an arctic/dry-cutter cycle...that blows, blows hard, fast, and furious. There is nothing at all nebulous about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 This is usually the conversation that goes within a week of a widespread burial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 This is usually the conversation that goes within a week of a widespread burial. Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Yep One euro op run will do it. Looks fine going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 One euro op run will do it. Looks fine going forward. If they ain't complaining its too cold, they missed out last time, or the CF dumped 2 inches more snow next town over, then they are worrying about day ten op runs, you know the drill. Insatiable really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Great discussion past couple pages.....True colors coming out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Dendrite Scooter Will are full of ****e saying that raining would be worth reading about some fool crying over rain. No way any of them die hard snow geeks would give up snow to read on a weather board complainers. it's more like a morbid curiosity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 it's more like a morbid curiosity. more like internet babble from the three biggest snow lovers in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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