Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Feb looks better if we get that vortex or trough axis a little further west and relaxing. Problem is, with no -NAO, if it relaxes or moves too far west, we get cutters. Hopefully the law of averages will set this up in such a way that we can get some synoptic snows of greater than 3". I'm optimistic. well look again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 That block will prevent most cutters. Maybe one or two try to sneak in because every winter always has them...but overall storms will have a tough time cutting I think. Better chances of storms crossing over my head. At the very least, this will be a good pattern for the interior and potentially all areas. Well then it seems like it's wise to bet against Euro suite again Hopefully Ginx is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Its really, really time for this season to either $hit, or get off the pot for a lot of NE. I mean, its been almost a month since many of us have had a real significant event. Near miss, cutter, painfully near miss, cutter?? Tough to see a month as cold is this is going to be with as little snow as there has been in this area. Walking a fine line with going down in frustrating flames if this next round of events is too far nw. I still like Feb, but am growing a bit frustrated. I think Feb will be fine for us. That's a good look overall with big time ridging near AK into the Arctic and a lowering PNA at times to drive storms from the Plains. This was the look many of us described two weeks ago and it finally looks to happen. Can we be off by 100 miles? Of course...but I'm just speaking of the overall look and past performance with similar looks. Hold on man...it should be a good month I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Well then it seems like it's wise to bet against Euro suite again Hopefully Ginx is right Euro won the battle for the Monday. You can't just toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Euro was fine...what are you guys talking about? One event? It looks great in the 11-15 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Well then it seems like it's wise to bet against Euro suite again Hopefully Ginx is right Its not me being right or wrong its what each suite of the ens are saying, I am much more confidant talking about 1-7 days, as we have seen time after time, 8-15 changes daily every 6-12 hourly in fact. The Euro Ens have been too quick to retro 5H into further NW Canada since Oct, lets see how it pans out. In the meantime watching next weekend with much interest and not because of the Superbowl. That is a great gradient for anyone north of the boundary, Quebec and Maine loaded with Arctic air, low Dps feed into a strong overunning situation, looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 6z GEFS bring measurable snow into SNE on the Thursday/Friday storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Euro was fine...what are you guys talking about? One event? It looks great in the 11-15 day. I was confused about what Kev said, lets hope it follows the other ens leads on next weeks event, brings that boundary too far north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Euro was fine...what are you guys talking about? One event? It looks great in the 11-15 day. Just didn't want a rainer for the super bowl GFS looks much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Just didn't want a rainer for the super bowl GFS looks much better Definitely a better chance down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 6z GEFS bring measurable snow into SNE on the Thursday/Friday storm Good bye and good luck to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Just didn't want a rainer for the super bowl GFS looks much better I hope it pours down there while we dump just on the north side personally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I hope it pours down there while we dump just on the north side personally Well no I meant here in SNE..I don't care what it does down there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Man the upper midwest is where deep deep winter is at this year Houghton Michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 If we go deep freeze -> cutter, again, the posts here will be unbearable. Everyone will be adopting MPM's Eeyore avatar. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Euro has 2m temps in the low 50's up into SNH on Super Bowl Sunday lol . Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Euro has 2m temps in the low 50's up into SNH on Super Bowl Sunday lol . Ugh It's never been wrong 8 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 It's never been wrong 8 days out.I know but it's now something I'm going to have to worry about. I just never thought it was even a possibility. I'm hopeful GFS suite is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Euro has 2m temps in the low 50's up into SNH on Super Bowl Sunday lol . Ugh Looks a north of the pike type gradient. Se ridge flexing it's muscles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Weenies are a trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Man the upper midwest is where deep deep winter is at this year Houghton Michigan Jesus H. That's what we need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Weenies are a trip. Euro ens aren't terrible with that system. Gets messy in sne but nne weenies rejoice. I'm just happy were getting into an active stretch. Too far out to worry about the details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Euro ens aren't terrible with that system. Gets messy in sne but nne weenies rejoice. I'm just happy were getting into an active stretch. Too far out to worry about the details.Im sure the euro is wrong and warm as it would bring rain up to Btv . But it probably is one of these snow to ice deals in SNE. Getting to time of year where ll cold gets tough to overcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Weenies are a trip. Definitely a wide variety of opinions on this winter so far, lol. I've never seen New England so fragmented in opinions of this winter...haha. It's more localized than normal. It's not like 10-11 that was awesome for all, or 11-12 that was generally poor for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Feb 4th could def cut....but I wouldn't sweat it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Im sure the euro is wrong and warm as it would bring rain up to Btv . But it probably is one of these snow to ice deals in SNE. Getting to time of year where ll cold gets tough to overcome Hopefully it's wrong, but it seems every time the EURO sees a torch or cutter, 7-10 days out it's right.. It nailed both torches earlier this winter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Definitely a wide variety of opinions on this winter so far, lol. I've never seen New England so fragmented in opinions of this winter...haha. It's more localized than normal. It's not like 10-11 that was awesome for all, or 11-12 that was generally poor for all. The worst winter and the best winter back to back right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Hopefully it's wrong, but it seems every time the EURO sees a torch or cutter, 7-10 days out it's right.. It nailed both torches earlier this winter.. Always seems that in general, cutters modeled 7 days out tend to stay that way.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Feb 4th could def cut....but I wouldn't sweat it right now. That's definitely the one the euro ens are keying in on the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 NAM is crazy unstable Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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