Saturn510 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Think lonnie quin was the one mike francessa talks with on wfan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 it was Lonnie....he's been on every day this week. look at this hype, two days ago: http://www.nj.com/super-bowl/index.ssf/2014/01/super_bowl_2014_weather_cbs_lonnie_quinn_predicts_big_storm_with_mike_francesa.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 now today, the "one model that forecasts this far out, is out to sea...only light snow". biggest stage in american sports, you decide to regurgitate op gfs runs ?!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Slight SE ridging on the D7-10 0z Euro op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The meltdowns will be fun today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The meltdowns will be fun today. They always are. Looks like NNE is going to have some fun in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 They always are. Looks like NNE is going to have some fun in Feb.At least Ray may get his SWFE. The hoopty may get the salt cleaned off.In all seriousness, there's some risk/reward there depending on where the boundary sets up. I don't like it being modeled so far north like this in the LR though. Hopefully it trends a bit cooler before the almost inevitable bump north begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 At least Ray may get his SWFE. The hoopty may get the salt cleaned off. In all seriousness, there's some risk/reward there depending on where the boundary sets up. I don't like it being modeled so far north like this in the LR though. Hopefully it trends a bit cooler before the almost inevitable bump north begins. That's always the risk with a gradient setting up. Hopefully the GEFS have a better clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 the forecast for this week doesnt look all that bitter cold on p and c and seems to be trending milder esp wed on....also nyc thread eerily quiet last night...im used to bad news out this way so bring it on lol as this winter out this way has been kind of a snoozefest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 This next week was not progged to be all that cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The sky is not falling. We said for weeks now that Feb would turn more into a gradient pattern. One storm that is 100 miles further north on the euro does not need to cause panic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Although some of the diaper wearers of NNE will probably like that pattern AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The meltdowns will be fun today. No meltdowns on that pattern. Looks like we may get some chances...finally a gradient pattern look up here. Now if that turns into like 2 or 3 cutters, this winter will be headed for hallowed ground up here, lol. Right now verbatim it looks ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 What storm are you talking about? Next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 GFS looks nice for next weekend. Extended overrunning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Although some of the diaper wearers of NNE will probably like that pattern AWT. Hey now... We are just picking up where you left off after Boston kept Huggies in business from Oct 2011-Feb 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Although some of the diaper wearers of NNE will probably like that pattern AWT. Shots fired Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Shots fired Man, Coastalwx has been shooting at will lately with the confidence of a good local winter so far. No more hiding behind the shed, throwing caution flags, hoping the boogeyman of 2012 has left the property. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Hey now... We are just picking up where you left off after Boston kept Huggies in business from Oct 2011-Feb 2013 Shots fired It's not everyone, but there are definitely some of you guys wearing pullups and doing kaka this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Man, Coastalwx has been shooting at will lately with the confidence of a good local winter so far. No more hiding behind the shed, throwing caution flags, hoping the boogeyman of 2012 has left the property. It's been looking up for a while there. I admit that I thought the end of January would be a little better there and it doesn't appear that wau so I'm wrong there...but I fully believe in a good Feb in NNE. I feel good for this area too....my point is that I think it will transition from more all snow events in ACK and whiffs in NNE...to possibly more ptype issues here and more snowy relative to normal up there. Just my guess. I'm sure Kevin will interpret this post as me saying rain in SNE...lol. I like the look here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Is the Euro the extreme outlier compared to the ensembles? I'd have to think that is overdone to some degree. Also the cold ocean temps should have something ton say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Is the Euro the extreme outlier compared to the ensembles? I'd have to think that is overdone to some degree. Also the cold ocean temps should have something ton say Ensembles try to cut too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 EC ensembles are probably snow to ice in the interior and snow to rain on the coast. GEFS colder, but not sure I buy them. Compromise would be nice for all actually because NNE would do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 It's been looking up for a while there. I admit that I thought the end of January would be a little better there and it doesn't appear that wau so I'm wrong there...but I fully believe in a good Feb in NNE. I feel good for this area too....my point is that I think it will transition from more all snow events in ACK and whiffs in NNE...to possibly more ptype issues here and more snowy relative to normal up there. Just my guess. I'm sure Kevin will interpret this post as me saying rain in SNE...lol. I like the look here as well. Well you are probably on the right path, as usually patterns seem to take a little longer to change than expected...so Jan was a lost cause aside from these chances for some light 1-3" type "events." There was no way a stronger synoptic event would get close to here with that trough axis and -30C 850s just north. Feb looks better if we get that vortex or trough axis a little further west and relaxing. Problem is, with no -NAO, if it relaxes or moves too far west, we get cutters. Hopefully the law of averages will set this up in such a way that we can get some synoptic snows of greater than 3". I'm optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Well you are probably on the right path, as usually patterns seem to take a little longer to change than expected...so Jan was a lost cause aside from these chances for some light 1-3" type "events." There was no way a stronger synoptic event would get close to here with that trough axis and -30C 850s just north. Feb looks better if we get that vortex or trough axis a little further west and relaxing. Problem is, with no -NAO, if it relaxes or moves too far west, we get cutters. Hopefully the law of averages will set this up in such a way that we can get some synoptic snows of greater than 3". I'm optimistic. That block will prevent most cutters. Maybe one or two try to sneak in because every winter always has them...but overall storms will have a tough time cutting I think. Better chances of storms crossing over my head. At the very least, this will be a good pattern for the interior and potentially all areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 We definitely will not have a QPF shortage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 That block will prevent most cutters. Maybe one or two try to sneak in because every winter always has them...but overall storms will have a tough time cutting I think. Better chances of storms crossing over my head. At the very least, this will be a good pattern for the interior and potentially all areas. Its really, really time for this season to either $hit, or get off the pot for a lot of NE. I mean, its been almost a month since many of us have had a real significant event. Near miss, cutter, painfully near miss, cutter?? Tough to see a month as cold is this is going to be with as little snow as there has been in this area. Walking a fine line with going down in frustrating flames if this next round of events is too far nw. I still like Feb, but am growing a bit frustrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Its really, really time for this season to either $hit, or get off the pot for a lot of NE. I mean, its been almost a month since many of us have had a real significant event. Near miss, cutter, painfully near miss, cutter?? Tough to see a month as cold is this is going to be with as little snow as there has been in this area. Walking a fine line with going down in frustrating flames if this next round of events is too far nw. I still like Feb, but am growing a bit frustrated. Have you looked at the GEFS ? easy Ray its a nice if not great look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Just an FYI Can ENS also agree with GEFS, going to be some excellent opportunities for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Have you looked at the GEFS ? easy Ray its a nice if not great look No, I was speaking purely from a hypothetical standpoint. I haven't looked at a model run in a few seasons....hasn't been a top priority. Like I said, I think Feb will produce, but January 2014 will not be looked back on fondly in my eyes. Even Jan '04 wasn't this frustrating because I never saw 1' of snow 25 miles away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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