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January 2014 Pattern Discussion Part II


Typhoon Tip

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Will...I think I posted the GFS UVV and you guys probably had access to the Euro.  I think they aligned and indicated very much that it was a have and have not situation.  Particularly the late GFS nailed it pretty well but still blew on the QPF.  There's no way you can predict it though, but we're mainly talking about putting your hands over your ears and eyes and denying that well W&N the trends were disturbing.

 

I will go back to what I said about it snowing in the teens here.  I never recall you getting buried or even Boston for that matter in those situations.   In fact it's normally much worse with even less snow up that way.

 

 

Oh, I agree with that Scott...I was mostly talking about the obscene sharp gradient. I mean, we knew inside the mesoband that there would be high totals that diffused out quickly, but there was no real way to forecast such little snow NW of 495 and I-84. I think that's what I was focusing on.

 

I remember thinking that warning criteria would not happen in those areas on Tues morning...but that is different than thinking 1-2" of snow would fall.

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I'd give it a C+...was a B- until that last fiasco.

 

Agree on 50, though.

Decent winter so far, but I'm afraid the nickel and dime (or penny) pattern isn't going to make up 35-40" more inches here, to make average.   

Plus, only 35 days of winter remaining.

I'm fully expecting a late March or April snowstorm to fluff the YTD snowfall amounts up, much like a NFL team picking up three TD's in garbage time when the game is long over.

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He said " I never recall you getting buried or even Boston for that matter in those situations" its not a steadfast rule was my point

 

 

Oh yeah, its def not a set rule. Its happened before '05 too. I think Jan '99 started out in the single digits or close to it even down there...12 hours later we were giving Montreal congrats.

 

But typically its def tougher to get heavier snow further inland when it is frigid down there. Obv Jan 2005 is a good exception, we got 2 feet of snow here in that one.

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A little easier to take when you've known for a week that you had no chance.

NNE had quite the meltdown leading up to that RE the season in general.

Yeah we never ever had a prayer in that last one...no use moaning about it. It's always hard when it's closer, which is why the VT crowd finally freaked out (pun? Haha) after Dendrite built a 20-24" pack while we rained and then went -20F with no snow.

I'm positive though that since December 20th or so, this has been the worst stretch for snow lovers in VT since I moved up here. The below normal temps, above normal precip, and almost no snowfall is a brutally frustrating combination, haha.

High hopes for February and March though...right now this winter is running around a D. We'll hope that Feb and March can push us up to a C, instead of dropping to a failing grade, haha.

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