mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 it's a cold front. by the way, did you say that with an Iverson kinda tone? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d29VsG35DQM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 if I could get Mon over your head I think I'd take the clipper. Yes his or kevins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Actually, I do! A nice one marked off in 1/10" increments You will end sending out a search party looking for it in foot plus event. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 well for some of us the nearly bone dry long range qpf progs from several days ago starting post saturday are verifying and saturday was rather dry for some of us here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2014 Author Share Posted January 22, 2014 Is it possible that the MJO is actually physically scared of phase 7 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Anyone have any long term thoughts for the end of next week? I've got an important flight with tight connections and the pattern looks stormy. Should I look into rescheduling or giving myself an extra day? Congrats to those who got a nice snowstorm last night. I ended up with .3" of powder. On the bright side my snowpack survived the week long warm spell and I haven't seen the grass, except for one spot near my septic tank, since December 16th. This guy Alex at Accuweather has a snowstorm "scheduled" for Monday. Maybe if enough people protest the date, he can have the storm put on hold for you: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/next-significant-northeast-sno/22397585 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Who will start the count-down-to Super Bowl-weather-disaster thread? Tomorrow we will be within 10 days, and let's face it, we all want complete meteorological chaos in NJ. We've wished for it since they announced NJ as the site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 That's the worst scoring MJO plot. The GEFS non bias corrected can be off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Who will start the count-down-to Super Bowl-weather-disaster thread? Tomorrow we will be within 10 days, and let's face it, we all want complete meteorological chaos in NJ. We've wished for it since they announced NJ as the site. Good luck...said storm would have to hit within 12 hrs of game time to be an issue and who knows, could be a rainy cutter which would be no big deal. (There's been rainstorms in SB's before-see Miami just a few years ago) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Good luck...said storm would have to hit within 12 hrs of game time to be an issue and who knows, could be a rainy cutter which would be no big deal. (There's been rainstorms in SB's before-see Miami just a few years ago) euro last two runs likes snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2014 Author Share Posted January 22, 2014 That's the worst scoring MJO plot. The GEFS non bias corrected can be off. Whatever it is ... is hilarious how it climbs in strength straight up on the right side of the interface between 6 and 7, and barely touches the line three times like it's super hot. ts tsss ts , ouch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 off topic but insane This Day In Weather History Spearfish, SD (1943)Spearfish, SD - temp. rose 49 degrees in 2 minutes from minus 4 degrees to 45, later fell from 56 above to 4 below in 27 minutes. Glass windows cracked due to the rapid temperature changes. Mount Carroll, IL (1930) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2014 Author Share Posted January 22, 2014 Crazy Uncle prepares a mega bomb, D6 ... That 500mb vortex is in the process of sinking S leading into that day, which means that within the confines of the Ukmet's imagination ...this thing would most likely evolve into a monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Its quite possible that the PV on Saturday actually comes much further south then currently modeled. Model progs on the american models indicate that upper level energy within the envelope of the Polar Vortex drops down into the Mid Atlantic states. Right now it is a wait and see process, but if Atlantic moisture could get involved earlier than progged, then I could see interior SNE get in on a few inches of snow as the front swings through the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 This guy Alex at Accuweather has a snowstorm "scheduled" for Monday. Maybe if enough people protest the date, he can have the storm put on hold for you: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/next-significant-northeast-sno/22397585 Yeah I saw that. My question wasn't about a specific storm but just wondering how worried I should be. I'm thinking of re-booking a day earlier just for the piece of mind. I'm not sure what that would cost me in terms of real dollars. I wasn't paying proper attention when I booked the flights and put myself in a spot where a weather delay would be disastrous personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2014 Author Share Posted January 22, 2014 Step one for ruining the Superbowl ... relax the flow in a cold +PNAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Crazy Uncle prepares a mega bomb, D6 ... That 500mb vortex is in the process of sinking S leading into that day, which means that within the confines of the Ukmet's imagination ...this thing would most likely evolve into a monster. Get that trough more negative and looks interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Garage ftw... (I should look into replacing my car's battery... 5 years old now) No garage at the Pit. Have to start the truck every couple of days in this cooler air. I think we need to watch the Monday timeframe carefully, I think there is enough time for this to track and trend south. Just an observation. There's also enough time for this to track and trend north. 4.0/-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Ed North Shore wx has a great article on a Jan 05'! OES that will be pertinent Saturday http://www.northshorewx.com/oes20050119.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Crazy Uncle prepares a mega bomb, D6 ... That 500mb vortex is in the process of sinking S leading into that day, which means that within the confines of the Ukmet's imagination ...this thing would most likely evolve into a monster. Some of the GFS ens are close to showing something like this. EURO had this type of setup, but the trough was really positive and not too separated from the PV, something to keep an eye on for sure. Especially how the last storm snuck up on us within 72 hour lead time, the setup was there (just like this) just need to bring it all together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Here's Crazy Snowman talking here - Are there chances this little Clipper DOES evolve into something interesting for Monday / Tuesday? Dig more and such? The GFS is going the wrong way (more NW now) but I could come home early from LA if I had to but I'd have to decide Quickly. I'm the one person running home FOR a Snowstorm that isn't even there yet vs. running From one that Is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Nova, Typhoon Haiyan on now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2014 Author Share Posted January 23, 2014 Nova, Typhoon Haiyan on now Thanks Steve. Missed the first 15 minutes but I get the run up - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2014 Author Share Posted January 23, 2014 wow, surge just like a tsunamis Heh, just confirmed that observation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Funny 1/30ish keeps popping up...alternating between some OES days on previous runs/ens...to outright offshore coastals on more recent runs. Looking forward to that time period give/take a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 I'd still watch that clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 I'd still watch that clipper. I'm guessing you're saying that to Brian, Eric and Jeff? Looks like the EC brings it way north. (?). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 I'm guessing you're saying that to Brian, Eric and Jeff? Looks like the EC brings it way north. (?). Well it favors more NNE, but I could see some light snow down here...especially your hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Well it favors more NNE, but I could see some light snow down here...especially your hood. I agree with GC being situated well for this in the context of the 3 southern NE states. But, I'm not sure that is bears watching as you indicated (for down here). I'm guessing a pretty non-impacting coating, but not much more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 -1.3 Day 2 in a row below zero. Tonight could make 3.. What a cold winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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