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January 2014 Pattern Discussion Part II


Typhoon Tip

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Hopefully some surprise sneaky events over the next 12 days or so. The QPF Queens may worry unless something is modeled 10 days out.

 

 

Yeah well this last storm was a good example...it was not modeled well. It showed up again like 2-3 days before it happened.

 

 

A lot of these clippers and smaller imulses will probably be modeled poorly.

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Yeah that's when I'm hopeful for some synoptic action... after Feb 1st.  I like the progged trough axis.  I knew this end of January run would likely be too far SE... the trough axis was never there for us up here aside from clipper or windex type situations.  Thus the punt on January a while back for anything significant (ie. a true warning event).

i think I was 30-1 yesterday from what I read, saw the ruler through the snow stuff you talk about

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i think I was 30-1 yesterday from what I read, saw the ruler through the snow stuff you talk about

 

Nice!  Should do a core and see exactly what you come up with.  Its always interesting.  I always think that snow looks great prior to an arctic outbreak...the fluffy, sparkling fluff when its near 0F is true northern winter type stuff.

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How about a steady diet of upslope

 

Haha that works too.  Again, its a moot point, no one controls the weather.  We all root for our backyards to some degree. 

 

I'm still looking for my first warning criteria storm, so wouldn't necessarily feel bad if it happened while you guys have had a couple blizzard warnings so far this season.  But its best to just talk about the pattern as this tends to get folks riled up, haha.

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Its pretty darn impressive already... -23F here last night, and I was right on the edge of ridiculous cold vs. meh cold.  -35F in the Saint Lawrence Valley this morning and -29F just north of here.

 

I'm all set with these temps. 

Yea, I have no use for this.

Miserably uncomfortable, and its an oes cj pattern.

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What is the point of posting something like this at this range?

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/next-significant-northeast-sno/22397585

 

I really seems that weather is being treated like a television event not to be missed now-a-days.  Any hype is good hype for some, I suppose.

 

 

 

The next storm that has a chance of bringing accumulating snow to a large part of the Northeast is scheduled for Monday, Jan. 27, 2014.

 

"Scheduled" like that reliable 2:05 bus into Boston.  Very risky wording.

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Congrats on everyone who got snow last night! My major concern where I live is that the next week and half really I don't believe we can get anything far enough north with significant moisture, for either this Saturday or even the moday event?  I think that the areas that did well last night will continue the trend until something changes.  Unfortunately looking at the begining of Feb that change will be rain up here and we don't cash in except cold?  Am I wrong?

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Yea, I have no use for this.

Miserably uncomfortable, and its an oes cj pattern.

 

It's not an OES CJ until I complete the triple crown.  I've had it during a major event (but it was a minor boost) on 1/3, I've had it make a moderate event major and drive a ton of snow (today), now I need the mega high pressure parking to our NW and a 15 degree snow dumping between CoastalWX and I under partially visible moonlight and gentle winds.   I haven't had one of those in maybe 9 years here, I think during that brutal 03 or 04 winter.

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Congrats on everyone who got snow last night! My major concern where I live is that the next week and half really I don't believe we can get anything far enough north with significant moisture, for either this Saturday or even the moday event? I think that the areas that did well last night will continue the trend until something changes. Unfortunately looking at the begining of Feb that change will be rain up here and we don't cash in except cold? Am I wrong?

Monday looks more like a NNE deal based on the clipper track. Sat us a widespread SHSN look with the approaching fropa.
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