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January 2014 Pattern Discussion Part II


Typhoon Tip

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  On 1/24/2014 at 11:35 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

They have named the Jan 2/3 storm a KU and ranked it #37. How is that possible? Only a small area was affected by major snow

i actually agree with you. how is that storm on the list while march 2001 isn't?

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  On 1/25/2014 at 12:05 AM, forkyfork said:

i actually agree with you. how is that storm on the list while march 2001 isn't?

Its a dumbfounding day when we agree. And it's dumbfounding how they called that a KU. You could name 10 other storms that affected the Northeast/ mid Atlantic far worse than this one did
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  On 1/25/2014 at 12:20 AM, forkyfork said:

they must be including chicago. a large part of that total was LES

 

Looks like you are correct:

 

  1. How is RSI different from the Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale (NESIS)?

    RSI is calculated for specific regions (Northeast, Southeast, …). Only the snowfall within a particular region is used to calculate the index for that region. NESIS on the other hand uses snowfall and population information from the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. in its calculation. Therefore NESIS is a quasi-national index. The "Northeast" designation is due to the fact that the algorithm used to calculate NESIS has two constants specifying the average area and population affected by 10" or more snowfall. So NESIS can be considered a quasi-national index that is calibrated to the Northeast.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/rsi/faq

 

For the statisticians among us:

 

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/rsi/nesis

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Whos this met that comes on the mike franceserrrrr show lately? He says today,

"mike, theres only one model that goes out far enough to super bowl weekend, the global forecast system....yesterday it was saying big storm and today its a philadelphia then out to sea system with just light snow. But i wont be confident enough to make a forecast until 5 days out."

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  On 1/25/2014 at 12:59 AM, ruNNaWayIcEberG said:

Whos this met that comes on the mike franceserrrrr show lately? He says today,

"mike, theres only one model that goes out far enough to super bowl weekend, the global forecast system....yesterday it was saying big storm and today its a philadelphia then out to sea system with just light snow. But i wont be confident enough to make a forecast until 5 days out."

Kevin Wood.

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