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January 2014 Pattern Discussion Part II


Typhoon Tip

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  On 1/23/2014 at 8:53 PM, ORH_wxman said:

 

You know its a cold airmass when a downslope dandy is still like a -14 or -15 departure for BOS.

 

Tomorrow's cold will be more noticeable I think.

I did work outside in a long sleeve shirt today for about 20 minutes, yesterday 2 mins without gloves and my fingers were numb.

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  On 1/23/2014 at 8:56 PM, CoastalWx said:

I don't know...the more I look at the euro ensembles..the more interesting it seems. Maybe noting happens..but I thought it was interesting. If not Wednesday or Thursday...then maybe Friday or Saturday?

Euro Ens certainly look interesting, what a great pattern that COULD produce

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  On 1/23/2014 at 9:14 PM, nutmegfriar said:

Is Monday the "scraper"?

 

No that is a clipper going well NW of us...middle of next week...like Wed/Thu there could be a coastal offshore close enough to "scrape" us. 12z OP Euro showed it close enough for SE areas for a light to moderate snow.

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  On 1/23/2014 at 9:10 PM, ORH_wxman said:

I have far more interest in something next weekend or early the week after than next week.

I suppose we could get lucky with a scraper next week. I'd probably be more interested if I was on Cape Cod, MA, USA.

 

Probably not...I'm here and I'm not that interested.  I find it's more pleasurable without all the foreplay....like this last one 60 hours of tracking closely is much better than 120!

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Right now I don't like the look of the H5 setup until after the Wednesday event, NAM has some southern stream shortwave for Monday, or southern stream moisture along the clipper front for Monday over the OH Valley.  Something interesting to watch develop in the coming three and a half days unless its a phantom showing this run and next run shows nothing.  GFS doesn't show this so I'm guessing its the phantom NAM 84 hours out.

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  On 1/23/2014 at 11:34 PM, weathafella said:

Euro ens were colder again in the long range. Let's get some overrunning so we could being Leon back. Seriously the stretch from MLK to Pday looks epic.

 

The composite mean of the 12z Euro ensemble analogs suggests an anomalously tight 850 mb temperature gradient over the central US. This is supported by the presence of a trough over the southwest and a weak ridge downstream. That could be a favorable pattern going forward with several moderate snow events (at least for the interior NE) within 5 days of those analogs.

 

1609591_10153749347225273_1900481505_n.j

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  On 1/23/2014 at 11:34 PM, weathafella said:

Euro ens were colder again in the long range. Let's get some overrunning so we could being Leon back. Seriously the stretch from MLK to Pday looks epic.

93/94 died with the mid month torch and the fact that philly has more snow than boston right now
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  On 1/23/2014 at 11:46 PM, forkyfork said:

Euro ens were colder again in the long range. Let's get some overrunning so we could being Leon back. Seriously the stretch from MLK to Pday looks epic.93/94 died with the mid month torch and the fact that philly has more snow than boston right now

Philly is having an incredible run. They probably will double their snow climo. BOS is 0.4 less even though climo is much higher.

But we're in that type of setup. I agree on the torches and likely won't snow like that but we're doing some solid cold that's growing biceps!

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