H2O Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Waxed broom ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I'm sorry Mattie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 it snowed and there was a water main break on my street this morning. It washed all the salt away and was a nice ice rink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 it snowed and there was a water main break on my street this morning. It washed all the salt away and was a nice ice rink. Quick commute for you to the job site then huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Listening to the morning crew on WTOP b*tch and moan about cold weather every day makes me want to nutpunch a puppy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Waxed broom ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Sorry Kay and Nancy... I like what I am not (me, tall and skinnyish), curvy women and my man to be husky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Waxed broom ftw. Can you send me some to try please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 If we could just get one regionwide 8-12+ inch event in February now, I'd probably put this in my top five winters list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The Atlanta Journal Constitution is a helluva read this morning. Their gridlock continues from yesterday. 24 hours worth now in spots: http://www.ajc.com/news/news/local/gridlock-continues-as-unspeakably-horrible-commute/nc53m/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Weather 101 question: When I peer at a map, what constitutes "confluence"? I am watching the current GFS run unfold, and HM is happy about the increased "confluence". Is that something associated with the H pressing in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 How many full cycles of extremes of our annual weather can we get in a period of a couple weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Weather 101 question: When I peer at a map, what constitutes "confluence"? I am watching the current GFS run unfold, and HM is happy about the increased "confluence". Is that something associated with the H pressing in? It's the reason for the high pressing in. You can see confluence on a 500mb map by looking at the way the height lines bunch together. This helps strengthen surface high pressures and helps keep the storm track south. Didn't work so well on todays 12z GFS though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 It's the reason for the high pressing in. You can see confluence on a 500mb map by looking at the way the height lines bunch together. This helps strengthen surface high pressures and helps keep the storm track south. Didn't work so well on todays 12z GFS though. Thanks so much, will go back and look at that on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Weather 101 question: When I peer at a map, what constitutes "confluence"? I am watching the current GFS run unfold, and HM is happy about the increased "confluence". Is that something associated with the H pressing in? This should help. It's not a current panel. I grabbed it off a blog somewhere but it shows what we look for. Tightly packed isobars running east west indicated cold surface high pressure and it also acts like a wall that keeps energy from cutting north quickly. We need this for storms to stay below us. Different things help us with confluence to the north so storms don't cut. Ridging over greenland or a 50/50 low over the maritimes. The PV can act as a 50/50, I always look at h5 as vorts are ejecting the rockies and entering the plains. You can get an idea where they are going well in advance. The biggest wildcard with next week's system is how strong it's going to be in the plains. We have confluence on all the runs but it's not super strong and there is no classic -nao in place to fight it. Confluence wins the battle with a weaker storm and a stronger storm punches the confluence in the face. We have no idea exactly where the PV will be come next week. On the 12z gfs the storm is strong and the pv pushes NE as times go. But there is ridging over greenland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Much much appreciated, BobC. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 How many full cycles of extremes of our annual weather can we get in a period of a couple weeks? unless we go from a Cat4 to a HECS in 14 days I say it will be a fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 This should help. It's not a current panel. I grabbed it off a blog somewhere but it shows what we look for. confluence.JPG Tightly packed isobars running east west indicated cold surface high pressure and it also acts like a wall that keeps energy from cutting north quickly. We need this for storms to stay below us. Different things help us with confluence to the north so storms don't cut. Ridging over greenland or a 50/50 low over the maritimes. The PV can act as a 50/50, I always look at h5 as vorts are ejecting the rockies and entering the plains. You can get an idea where they are going well in advance. The biggest wildcard with next week's system is how strong it's going to be in the plains. We have confluence on all the runs but it's not super strong and there is no classic -nao in place to fight it. Confluence wins the battle with a weaker storm and a stronger storm punches the confluence in the face. We have no idea exactly where the PV will be come next week. On the 12z gfs the storm is strong and the pv pushes NE as times go. But there is ridging over greenland. models always seem to want to break down patterns well before they actually do so my weenie hope is the PV will be stronger as we move forward in time. I'm hoping the PV will be a 18 yr old Mike Tyson and not the one facing Buster Douglas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 If the Euro Feb 8 storm happens I will wax everyone's broom for free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 All-in for the 2/8-9 storm. I'm just going to bump this until it looks like there isn't going to be a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Assuming cutter and wet on Saturday, and if the next wave after that is nothing to an inch on Monday followed by a cutter mid-week next week, there will be a LOT of hopes pinned on that Day 10 storm that the models are advertising. I look forward to the board angst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Assuming cutter and wet on Saturday, and if the next wave after that is nothing to an inch on Monday followed by a cutter mid-week next week, there will be a LOT of hopes pinned on that Day 10 storm that the models are advertising. I look forward to the board angst. I look at it differently. I'm looking forward to a couple warmer than normal days. Time for some outdoors stuff. Monday is bonus. Wednesday is messy but fun if we get to track and guess how temps play out. Next weekend is a pipe dream and if it busts we're not done yet this year it appears. See? Easy peezy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 day 10 storms work out so great there is no reason not to go all in. None. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 day 10 storms work out so great there is no reason not to go all in. None. I would have chimed in about the likely warm layer showing up during the storm but the storm evolution will be different tomorrow so I thought I'd write it here instead of in a serious thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 It would take one heck of a looooooong time to dig them out. https://www.facebook.com/alaskanphototours/posts/10202940442134246?stream_ref=10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 hot lovers thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 hot lovers thread. Lets get together baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Governor of GA trying to deflect blame to the National Weather Service--- it's pretty cool to watch the OCM's from the Weather Channel offering a passionate defense of the NWS. (Winter Storm Warning was issued for south Atlanta metro Monday night, and the entire Atlanta metro region at 3:38 am on Tuesday.) Cantore was pissed and said that the officials should just say "We blew it!" on taking the chance on the forecast busting. http://www.weather.com/news/georgia-gov-nathan-deal-winter-storm-atlanta-20140129 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Governor of GA trying to deflect blame to the National Weather Service--- it's pretty cool to watch the OCM's from the Weather Channel offering a passionate defense of the NWS. (Winter Storm Warning was issued for south Atlanta metro Monday night, and the entire Atlanta metro region at 3:38 am on Tuesday.) Cantore was pissed and said that the officials should just say "We blew it!" on taking the chance on the forecast busting. http://www.weather.com/news/georgia-gov-nathan-deal-winter-storm-atlanta-20140129 Atlanta played the climo card and lost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Governor of GA trying to deflect blame to the National Weather Service--- it's pretty cool to watch the OCM's from the Weather Channel offering a passionate defense of the NWS. (Winter Storm Warning was issued for south Atlanta metro Monday night, and the entire Atlanta metro region at 3:38 am on Tuesday.) Cantore was pissed and said that the officials should just say "We blew it!" on taking the chance on the forecast busting. http://www.weather.com/news/georgia-gov-nathan-deal-winter-storm-atlanta-20140129 I clicked the video and couldn't get past how crazy hot that dude doing the intro and outro was. and lol @ ATL officials. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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