needbiggerboat Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 There's something wrong with you. You try shoveling snow with various pieces of metal scattered throughout your body and temps in the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Guilty. I can't tell if Matt is trolling me. If he is, I took it hook, line, and sinker. I was a bit worried hitting 59 today. There can't be very many examples of it hitting 59+ on a day in Jan then getting 6" snow the day after. There is good cold ready to be tapped close by though.. but we may lose a little on the front in spots (mainly downtown). I was already expecting that on roads at least... I think we'll be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Most stations around lost 1-2 last 90 mins. Pretty cold nw in pa and freezing spots in all directions of dcs. Good for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I was a bit worried hitting 59 today. There can't be very many examples of it hitting 59+ on a day in Jan then getting 6" snow the day after. There is good cold ready to be tapped close by though.. but we may lose a little on the front in spots (mainly downtown). I was already expecting that on roads at least... I think we'll be ok. Yeah, probably realistic re: downtown, etc. I should take my own earlier advice and stop worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Sometimes I think my claim to fame is having the lead on a forecast that ultimately busts. Seeing LWX go there after the Euro came out made me smile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Fortunately we all know north and west will perform so I can hang my hat on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Sometimes I think my claim to fame is having the lead on a forecast that ultimately busts. Seeing LWX go there after the Euro came out made me smile. My new point and click: TuesdaySnow. Temperature falling to around 16 by 5pm. Northeast wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Tuesday NightSnow, mainly before 9pm. Low around 3. Wind chill values as low as -13. Blustery, with a northwest wind 20 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I will dream of your deck in my sleep RR. Here's to it not being 38 when I wake up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I will dream of your deck in my sleep RR. Here's to it not being 38 when I wake up. If it is 38 when you wake up i will wax my deck and send you up close pictures of my snow. You should be fine if the front moves at the speed it seems to be moving now. I say you wake up to 31-32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I literally blame Jim cantore for the slow temp drop and north trend worries. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Feds AND DC Gov't closed. Yesssssssssssssssssssss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 This one could be another chapter in how we get screwed within 12 hours of event start. Seems like my concerns about the north trend last night were valid. Everyone hates people who bring up concerns, but why, if the concerns are valid? So, we have less QPF, warmer temps, lower rates, lower liquid:snow ratio, later start...I could see having wet streets most of the daylight hours. Maybe a little thump near the end after dark to finally give us a decent coating. Like 2-3" on grass, 1" on roadways. Most will then sublimate overnight. A far cry from what everyone was expecting 12 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 I literally blame Jim cantore for the slow temp drop and north trend worries. Sent from my iPhone Cantore is the one thing katodog can't predict Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I am not sure what to think. This storm is one heck of a mind fvck. I'd love to get a lot of snow with this because of all that cold air behind it. Thats a fortune in arctic air about to annihilate us over the next 7 to 10 days! But, I do know where I live. This is NOT Wisconsin. I have always dreamed of a ton of fresh snow then days and days and days of frigid cold, giving me plenty of time to enjoy jebwalks in the snow while blasting 70s and 80s music on my headphones. I wish to god that I had gotten a chance to move someplace like Barrow Alaska where they get 4 inches of snow then they have -35 weather for months on end with strong winds. Or maybe Antarctica where there is thousands of feet of ice and snow and -135 degree lows. It really sucks to be us in DC in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 So now that I read the model thread I guess I should go into work based on mr b's posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 So we have maybe a glimmer of hope with the 6Z GFS, but we all know it's usually prudent to go with the model that screws us the most down here. And hanging on to hope with one last model that still shows us with good snow is a top sign of a busting system. And we're hanging onto 6Z GFS, which seems to be typically the least "trusted" of the 4 GFS runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 fwiw, I suggested sending swiscaster on a vacation last night... It's either going to snow or it's not, dude. It's either going to be awesome or it's not. There is still plenty to say that it will snow, and it will be awesome. Let's try focusing on that for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 so the 6z GFS is less trustworthy than the 6z NAM? Thats a good one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 So I guess people only like it when people post verbatim QPF totals, buy good model runs lock-stock-and-barrell, and toss bad model runs for no reason. At least allow a contrary view on here. My posts on the concerns are valid after living here through decades of storms and following this board for 10 years. It is not "whining." Just not as positive of a viewpoint based on tribal knowledge. Why is this discounted? I thought I was in America. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Came in here to make fun of really stupid posts in the storm thread only to find the same posters making the same posts in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Came in here to make fun of really stupid posts in the storm thread only to find the same posters making the same posts in here. Randy moved that one out of the storm thread. That's why it has infected two threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Came in here to make fun of really stupid posts in the storm thread only to find the same posters making the same posts in here. Lol Tough crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I thought the cold temps were the only thing we truly had locked. Now I'm still in a good mood, just saying though, it can go wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 This one could be another chapter in how we get screwed within 12 hours of event start. Seems like my concerns about the north trend last night were valid. Everyone hates people who bring up concerns, but why, if the concerns are valid? So, we have less QPF, warmer temps, lower rates, lower liquid:snow ratio, later start...I could see having wet streets most of the daylight hours. Maybe a little thump near the end after dark to finally give us a decent coating. Like 2-3" on grass, 1" on roadways. Most will then sublimate overnight. A far cry from what everyone was expecting 12 hours ago. I can't tell if he's being serious or if he's a parody poster... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 So I guess people only like it when people post verbatim QPF totals, buy good model runs lock-stock-and-barrell, and toss bad model runs for no reason. At least allow a contrary view on here. My posts on the concerns are valid after living here through decades of storms and following this board for 10 years. It is not "whining." Just not as positive of a viewpoint based on tribal knowledge. Why is this discounted? I thought I was in America. You said it once. We got it. Then you doubled down and kept going. We got it then too. And the next 100 times you said it. How many times do you want to keep saying the contrary view, especially with no science and just a gut feeling to back it up? There is nothing wrong with stating the obvious, bad or good..but continuing to bang the bust drum ad naseum before a storm starts quickly gets tiring. I left your first 2 "contrary" posts up, but then you kept going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I didn't know DCAlex and Fretcaster were related. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I didn't know DCAlex and Fretcaster were related. Your avatar made me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 There has been little if any change in blended guidance for 24 hours. The only surprise to me are start temps. That will be long forgotten by the time I serve my kids pizza and beer for lunch I think there should be a rule that if you are going to incessantly b**ch you need to come up with fresh material each post or stop posting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 And even the temp surprise seems overblown, I hope, as those where precip has started are reporting a quick drop in temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 My humidity is only 70%. Storm cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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