H2O Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 And now people will freak with any further north shift in the runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 And now people will freak with any further north shift in the runs With reason. North trend. Good thing whatever falls is white area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I bet DC will find a way to get screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 And now people will freak with any further north shift in the runs Looks to be ratcheting up already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I bet DC will find a way to get screwed.I think only a north trend could do that... Even there I think we are a lock to match or best early mo which would be fine as long as we get DCA past 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 And now people will freak with any further north shift in the runs Matt started that sh*t. I told him yesterday to stop worrying so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 A classic DT rant and back-patting on his FB page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 In the northwest areas I'd bet my weenie life that someone squeezes out a foot. I can only imagine the image searches going on right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Matt started that sh*t. I told him yesterday to stop worrying so much. These systems usually trend north though we're close enough now it shouldn't totally screw us if it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 i'll be honest, i'm always concerned with temps getting too mild the day before a storm, not because they can't drop but just because based off of past experience, i find that it can be an indicator towards a bit of a north trend. i'm not skilled enough to know why, but have seen it happen in my time. that said, storm looks good on paper right now, but i think it's extremely fair and probably wise to be cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 These systems usually trend north though we're close enough now it shouldn't totally screw us if it does. Fortunately this go around, there's like a 100 mile buffer instead of our normal 50 mile buffer that disappears on the north shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 i'll be honest, i'm always concerned with temps getting too mild the day before a storm, not because they can't drop but just because based off of past experience, i find that it can be an indicator towards a bit of a north trend. i'm not skilled enough to know why, but have seen it happen in my time. that said, storm looks good on paper right now, but i think it's extremely fair and probably wise to be cautiously optimistic. Temps aren't any warmer than they were expected to be. I think the bigger concern is that it slows our entry to subfreezing though models still get us there even in the city before snow starts... I'm not too worried and I never dismiss warmth/sun angle etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Temps up in the 50s. Snowstorm cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Fortunately this go around, there's like a 100 mile buffer instead of our normal 50 mile buffer that disappears on the north shift. Yep. In this case it might make me get like 4" instead of 8" but at this point I'm not going to say not to 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 i'll be honest, i'm always concerned with temps getting too mild the day before a storm, not because they can't drop but just because based off of past experience, i find that it can be an indicator towards a bit of a north trend. i'm not skilled enough to know why, but have seen it happen in my time. that said, storm looks good on paper right now, but i think it's extremely fair and probably wise to be cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 North trend, warm temps, deficit is too big. It's all over. Next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Two things DC does well: wind and worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Temps aren't any warmer than they were expected to be. I think the bigger concern is that it slows our entry to subfreezing though models still get us there even in the city before snow starts... I'm not too worried and I never dismiss warmth/sun angle etc. agreed. i'm not the type that falls for the latest great model depiction, though. i'm also the type that knows the models can continue their trend past what we want it to lock in at. this system has trended good quickly, that's also sometimes a yellow flag to me. my eyes are on 6z. i'll feel more comfortable at that. for now, i'm enjoying the chance that we can get an areawide, cold snow. i want it. my jeep wants it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Two things DC does well: wind and worrying.Next up is the canceling at midnight because radar looks bad. And jb2 finding extra precip in Oregon leading to a doubling of forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Two things DC does well: wind and worrying. i think we do better at busted forecasts, to be honest. the wind is annoying though, especially when trying to play basketball outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 WSW up for the Baltimore/DC area, kiss of death for all weenies, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I still find it very amusing that we have a WSW and its 53-54 outside. This must be some kind of record for warmest period under a WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This must be some kind of record for warmest period under a WSW. No. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I still find it very amusing that we have a WSW and its 53-54 outside. This must be some kind of record for warmest period under a WSW. Not even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Thanks Ji for bringing "tuck" to the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I still find it very amusing that we have a WSW and its 53-54 outside. This must be some kind of record for warmest period under a WSW. Thats a joke right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I still find it very amusing that we have a WSW and its 53-54 outside. This must be some kind of record for warmest period under a WSW. March 93. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 might be time for storm mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Funny how the Wxbell snow maps are now decent since they aren't counting rain as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Anyone worried about temps, play around with the temps graphic. The front doesn't cross until very early tomorrow morning, but temps dive all day. Go outside and enjoy the taste of spring. http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/lwx.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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