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2/13-2/19 Potential To Make NYC Coldest Weeks Of 2000's List


bluewave

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Great south bay pile of ice.png

Thought this was pretty cool too. This is a pile of ice that accumulated over the past few days because of the tides forcing chunks up over the bulkhead.

Great pic! I would think that's the result of the strong sw wind Saturday morning. This week should have the best ice on area waters since 04

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Great pic! I would think that's the result of the strong sw wind Saturday morning. This week should have the best ice on area waters since 04

Yeah that could be it. Pretty cool. I will try and swing by again Thursday or Friday morning when the ice should peak out. 

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The models backing off the cold as we got closer to this week kept the 7 day average at 20.0 in NYC

which ranks a hair ahead of 2007 or the 5th coldest week of the 2000's so far.

 

 

Week/Average Temperature(F)

1/6-1/12........1968....12.2
2/12-2/18......1979....12.7
1/15-1/21......1994....13.9
1/20-1/26......1961....15.5
1/12-1/18.....1977.....15.9
1/8-1/14........1981....16.4
12/21-12/27...1989....16.7
1/18/-1/24......2005....17.1
1/28-2/3........1961.....17.2
1/10-1/16......2004.....17.4
1/12-1/18......1982.....17.6
1/18/-1/24.....1976.....18.1
1/28/-2/3.......1971.....18.2
1/19-1/25......1970.....18.4
2/1-2/7..........1996.....18.6
1/18-1/24.......2003....18.7
1/23-1/29.......2004....18.9
1/15-1/21.......1971....19.1
1/14-1/20......1965.....19.4
2/5-2/11........1979.....19.5

1/22-1/28......2014.....20.0

2/4-2/10.........2007....20.9

1/15-1/21.......2009....21.2

 

1/2-1/8..........2014....22.6

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yesterday and today had a top five lowest max temperature for KNYC...21 and 23 max...analogs suggest February will average out at least 3.5 degrees milder with no more single digit temperatures...these analogs are 1957, 1965, 1982 and 2009...There are many other examples of a cold January and milder February...1994 and 1968 were two years with January and February both cold...I would like to think 1994 will be the best analog but I have my doubts with that one...JB's 1917-18 analog had a February that was 10 degrees milder than January...January 2014 will end up averaging around 28.5...On par with 1957, 1965 and 2009...1982 was a little colder...February was near or above average for these years...snowfall was less than January on average...

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yesterday and today had a top five lowest max temperature for KNYC...21 and 23 max...analogs suggest February will average out at least 3.5 degrees milder with no more single digit temperatures...these analogs are 1957, 1965, 1982 and 2009...There are many other examples of a cold January and milder February...1994 and 1968 were two years with January and February both cold...I would like to think 1994 will be the best analog but I have my doubts with that one...JB's 1917-18 analog had a February that was 10 degrees milder than January...January 2014 will end up averaging around 28.5...On par with 1957, 1965 and 2009...1982 was a little colder...February was near or above average for these years...snowfall was less than January on average...

Gonna wind up as the 6th coldest Jan here since 1977 and the coldest month since jan 2004...mean temp should finish around 25.8 or so.
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Yup posted last night in the mid Atlantic thread what might be a tie for the all time record low of -6 for Ocean City, Md

Looks like they blew past that all-time record:

 

-----------------------------------------

... Lowest temperatures in several years across the area... 

Ideal radiation cooling combined with a significant snow cover 

allowed temperatures to drop to their lowest levels in many years. 

Some rural areas of inland Virginia and the lower Maryland Eastern 

Shore experienced below zero readings. 

The following is a preliminary list of low temperatures compared 

with previous records. 

Station temperature previous record coldest since 

Salisbury -6 (record) -4 in 1940 -6 on Jan 28 1987 

Norfolk 6 (record) 10 in 1934 5 on Jan 19 1994 

Elizabeth City 7 (record) 9 in 1934 7 on Jan 11 1982 

*wallops island 3 (record) 13 in 1986 3 on Jan 18 2003 

Richmond 4 (no record) -3 in 1940 4 on Jan 17 2009

The following have period of records that are too short for 

meaningful daily records... so comparison is made to all time records

Station temperature records began previous all time low 

Newport News 1 (record) 2000 9 on Jan 28 2003 

Wakefield NWS -5 (tied) 1994 -5 on Jan 28 2000 

Wakefield -7 (no record) 1983 -8 on Jan 21 1985 

*ocean city -9 (record) 1999 2 on Jan 19 2003 

*virginia beach -1 (no record) 1945 -3 on Jan 21 1985

* note that Virginia Beach (oceana naval base)... Wallops Island 

and Ocean City sites are located about one mile inland.

Another list should be out by noon that will include other 

locations. 

--------------------------------------

 

The VA beach reading is extremely impressive as well.

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The UHI here in NY has few parallels in the US.  DC is probably the closest one.

it's not only the large and numerous buildings but also because it's surrounded by water...DC is being built up at a very fast rate...So much so it needs to be avoided when driving to Florida...I95 near Dumfries is almost as bad as the Stateh Island Expressway during rush hour...

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it's not only the large and numerous buildings but also because it's surrounded by water...DC is being built up at a very fast rate...So much so it needs to be avoided when driving to Florida...I95 near Dumfries is almost as bad as the Stateh Island Expressway during rush hour...

Yea, taking the 495/95 part of the Beltway from southern MD into Alexandria/Dumfries is basically gridlock all the time.

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sandy soils radiate well

 

Yea, but this is still really impressive.  -9 in Ocean City is insane.

 

Got down to -17 in the higher elevations of western VA, I kind of figured this cold shot would be hitting the mid-Atlantic the most.  It actually got close to 0 in parts of coastal NC, which is crazy.

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