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January 20-? Cold snap


Ottawa Blizzard

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I thought we were all forecasters. :)

 

Anyway, just wondering as I don't have access to much local info, what is the current state of play for the Ohio River, cuz the temps by mid-week look cold enough to freeze just about anything other than maybe the atmosphere itself. All I remember, rather vaguely, is some sort of energy crisis in Jan 1977 when the Ohio River froze over.

Roger, do you think Environment Canada is underdone with their forecast temperatures for Toronto early next week? They're calling for a high of minus 11 Celsius on Tuesday.

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I thought we were all forecasters. :)

 

Anyway, just wondering as I don't have access to much local info, what is the current state of play for the Ohio River, cuz the temps by mid-week look cold enough to freeze just about anything other than maybe the atmosphere itself. All I remember, rather vaguely, is some sort of energy crisis in Jan 1977 when the Ohio River froze over.

I would have thought large natural gas pipelines are in place now to handle the load. I know we talk often during emergency training about earthquakes and it disrupting the flow of natural gas from a ruptures pipeline to whole states.

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I thought we were all forecasters. :)

 

Anyway, just wondering as I don't have access to much local info, what is the current state of play for the Ohio River, cuz the temps by mid-week look cold enough to freeze just about anything other than maybe the atmosphere itself. All I remember, rather vaguely, is some sort of energy crisis in Jan 1977 when the Ohio River froze over.

 

Ohio River here in Cincinnati doesn't even have any ice along it as of the moment.  River is flowing along at what looks to be a significantly quicker than normal clip --- I know that it's more likely to freeze with lower than average flows.

 

It's certainly been cold here over the last couple days (and all month): down near -10 yesterday morning, right around 0 right now.

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My mean temperature for the month is now in the upper teens. Looking to see if I can surpass 2009, maybe even 2004. All depends on how cold it gets early next week in these parts. Might end up with a mean temperature close to that of January 1978, which is interesting given that this December's mean was almost identical to that of December 1977.

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Tuesday morning looking the worst of the cold next week.

 

 

-35F to -40F wind chills again for the Ohio Valley region. (Tuesday 12z) The reality is, the wind gusts are usually a bit higher than the 2m winds predicted by models, so values below -40 may be possible

 

post-1182-0-61006000-1390501457_thumb.gi

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GFS MOS for ORD...

KORD   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   1/23/2014  1200 UTC                       
 FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192      
      FRI 24| SAT 25| SUN 26| MON 27| TUE 28| WED 29| THU 30|FRI CLIMO
 N/X  -7  26|  7   7|  0  25| -7  -4|-15  -2| -7   8|  3  22| 12 15 31
 TMP  -3  20| 18   2|  5  20| -2  -7|-12  -3| -4   6|  7  19| 15      
 DPT -11  11|  8  -4| -2   6|-11 -17|-21 -15|-11  -2|  2   9|  8      
 CLD  PC  OV| OV  PC| OV  OV| PC  PC| PC  PC| PC  PC| OV  OV| OV      
 WND  14  24| 21  21| 13  17| 23  15| 14  17| 13  10| 10   9|  9      
 P12   6  15| 61   2|  5  31| 12  11|  9   8|  7   6|  7  15|  7 25 24
 P24      15|     61|     31|     18|     13|     10|     17|       36
 Q12   0   0|  1   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|       |         
 Q24       0|      1|      0|      0|      0|      0|       |         
 T12   0   1|  0   0|  0   1|  3   0|  0   1|  1   1|  1   2|  1      
 T24        |  5    |  4    |  4    |  1    |  1    |  1    |  2      
 PZP   2   1|  2   1|  2   2|  3   2|  3   2|  2   2|  4   3|  5      
 PSN  98  99| 98  98| 97  97| 95  96| 94  94| 88  90| 82  88| 79      
 PRS   0   0|  0   0|  1   1|  1   1|  1   2|  2   2|  4   3|  6      
 TYP   S   S|  S   S|  S   S|  S   S|  S   S|  S   S|  S   S|  S      
 SNW       0|      1|      2|      1|      0|      0|       |        
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Nasty, nasty.  :shiver:

 

 

Bit of a break late next week.

 

Considering that's an 850 anomaly plot, the -1 to -3c it shows over northern IL is probably still at least - 10c and still cold, but I guess that will feel balmy compared to what we'll see before that. I hope the -PNA pattern gets us into a regime of normal cold and snow. This extreme cold is getting old.

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My point stays sub-zero from Sunday night through Wed morning.  Fun times!!

 

 

Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -5. Blustery.

 

Monday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -2.

 

Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -17.

 

Tuesday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -4.

 

Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -12.

 

Wednesday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near 8.

 

Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -1.

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  • Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -9. Northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

Monday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -5. Northwest wind around 15 mph.

Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -20.

Tuesday Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -3.

Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -13.

Wednesday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near 7.

Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -4.

oh what fun Thank God for the wood stove, Furnace at 62 house at 78

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