eyewall Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 In a little confession here I realize I have let way too much of the weenie, more than putting on my meteorology hat. I have let the troller coaster of emotions trump the science too often. As for the NWS I do realize BTV has a very difficult task in dealing with terrain, microclimates, and other small scale factors that many models will miss. I wasn't intending to go on a bashing spree of any kind, just stating I noticed some snow forecasts being off. Hell, I haven't done any better myself that is for sure (of course I am getting used to how it works here still). January jaded me, but February has been good with a pair of 8" storms and a few smaller events making up for lost ground. After the warm up at the end of this week we do hit another cold pattern, I haven't seen any real disagreement there. The question is how will the eventual storm track respond. The Euro says congrats NC on the 25th/26th, and would suggest we depend on the northern stream disturbances again, but of course the last storm ended up coming up to New England after starting off as more of a OTS solution. 0.7" for today so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Nice little event here today...2.75" as of 4:45pm. It lightened up for an hour but back into decent rates now. Don't be so hard on yourself, eyewall. You just took your weather weenie-ism to the extreme...you became a meteorologist!...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Still snowing good here, with 3.5" on the ground. We had a little lull but picking up nicely. A friend in the Sterling Valley section of Stowe sent me this picture...they've got a bit more than town in that neighborhood: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Still snowing good here, with 3.5" on the ground. We had a little lull but picking up nicely. image.jpg A friend in the Sterling Valley section of Stowe sent me this picture...they've got a bit more than town in that neighborhood: image.jpg Very nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 definitely showing a bit of teeth on this one. Running errands and and after going for a ski it's at about 3" here. Lots of drifting from this morning out in the meadows. Watched a school bus getting pulled in front of my house by the town plow truck. Knew it was steep, but now I realized why it's the only ~150 yards of asphalt on about a 5 mile stretch. Coming down nicely at maybe 1/2"/hr now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 So what's the deal for tomorrow? My P+C has rain, but none of the models do. WPC shows a weaker copy of today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 About 3.5" here and still snowing. Eyewall, don't worry about it. You have been a very welcome addition to our mini-sub forum. Just look at last Friday as an example of tough accumulation forecasts. PF was reporting 5" while areas just a couple of miles away had double that. Even mets with years of experience up here can have a hard time once and a while. Now about this Friday's warmup, my P&C has gone from rain and 45* to frzra changing to RA and a high of 40*. How much rain is going to fall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Guidance from WPC is indicating around 1" unfortunately. This is a rainer we don't want but it's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Today's storm total 6". Light snow began around 8am and ended late morning. Couple of hours of just cloudy and then light snow began in the early afternoon. It became moderate at times with a 10 minute period of heavy snow with less than 1/4 mile vis. A nice average "snowy day". Nothing rememberable. Just missed the good stuff again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 About 3.5" here and still snowing. Eyewall, don't worry about it. You have been a very welcome addition to our mini-sub forum. Just look at last Friday as an example of tough accumulation forecasts. PF was reporting 5" while areas just a couple of miles away had double that. Even mets with years of experience up here can have a hard time once and a while. Now about this Friday's warmup, my P&C has gone from rain and 45* to frzra changing to RA and a high of 40*. How much rain is going to fall? This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Just a shade of over 4" now at Topnotch Resort at 900ft elevation on Mountain Rd in Stowe. Snowing harder than radar would indicate. Still fluffy big flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 About 4 inches here in Peacham as of about 6:30. It was surprisingly hard to get consistent measurements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 This stuff started settling almost as soon as it was done. Will go down as an even 4.0". I could tell by the cleared driveway that a few more tenths fell, but the depth remain unchanged. Nice surprise and wintery scene...fell with no wind so it stacked up on every little branch and elevated object. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 So what's the deal for tomorrow? My P+C has rain, but none of the models do. WPC shows a weaker copy of today. tommorrow's low track looks more progressive than today with all the models and i don't see qpf coming nearly as far into CNH as today's did if there is any Shift East last 12 hrs like we saw on today's models than a good deal of NH may miss out in fact....that said .....Nam looks good on NH/Maine border up past rochester for a few hours of lift up to about Gunstock and then over to sebago and the poster at 750 or so' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Another 2-4, 3-6" deal tomorrow for here based on the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 In a little confession here I realize I have let way too much of the weenie, more than putting on my meteorology hat. I have let the troller coaster of emotions trump the science too often. As for the NWS I do realize BTV has a very difficult task in dealing with terrain, microclimates, and other small scale factors that many models will miss. I wasn't intending to go on a bashing spree of any kind, just stating I noticed some snow forecasts being off. Hell, I haven't done any better myself that is for sure (of course I am getting used to how it works here still). January jaded me, but February has been good with a pair of 8" storms and a few smaller events making up for lost ground. After the warm up at the end of this week we do hit another cold pattern, I haven't seen any real disagreement there. The question is how will the eventual storm track respond. The Euro says congrats NC on the 25th/26th, and would suggest we depend on the northern stream disturbances again, but of course the last storm ended up coming up to New England after starting off as more of a OTS solution. 0.7" for today so far. I've been rooting for you all winter. If and when I move up to vt, I'm going to want 5000" of snow my first winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j24vt Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 2.3" today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Nice resurgence of snow right now at Topnotch...RT 108 has a few new tenths on it as this snow shower sits over Mansfield. Wonder if the mountain sneaks out a fluffy 6" spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 2.3" today No way, really?! The NWS PNS shows another report of 4.0" out of Moscow, too...I feel very confident in my measurement but that's like half. A friend in Sterling Valley had a similar 3.5-4" amount, too, and that's near you right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Nothing but a few stray flakes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Nothing but a few stray flakes here. It's really picked back up...not overly heavy but fluff that stacks up nicely. Photos from 10pm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j24vt Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 No way, really?! The NWS PNS shows another report of 4.0" out of Moscow, too...I feel very confident in my measurement but that's like half. A friend in Sterling Valley had a similar 3.5-4" amount, too, and that's near you right? Way. Just went out and double checked the amount in the driveway in a couple spots. Definitely not enough to shovel We are near Foxfire on Stagecoach Rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Way. Just went out and double checked the amount in the driveway in a couple spots. Definitely not enough to shovel We are near Foxfire on Stagecoach Rd It's amazing how variable snowfall can be around here...from where you are to Luce Hill Rd/Darkside area and Mountainside condos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 We picked up close to 10 inches in 6 hrs (3p - 9p). Now bring on tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Event totals: 3.9” Snow/0.19” L.E. There was 3.9” on the snowboard when I checked at 6:00 P.M. today, and then another tenth of an inch fell before it really tapered down. Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 3.9 inches New Liquid: 0.19 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 20.5 Snow Density: 4.9% H2O Temperature: 22.6 F Sky: Light Snow (1-4 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 19.5 inches Sledding with the boys was fantastic tonight with the new 5% champagne on top of the snowpack – it was calm with brilliant stars, but flakes were still filtering down at times. Indeed the snow has picked back up as of late as PF mentioned, with 0.3” on the board. Interestingly, that now puts this season’s snowfall neck and neck with last season for this date, at 95.4”. The forecast suggests that there are additional snow chances over the next couple of days, and then again during the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 3.25" total on the day here. Looks like we do it again tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Looks like we are done with 4.2" at the condo. This is the type of fluff that piles up with dead calm winds, huge flakes, very cold surfaces, and massive snow growth. Accumulates nicely even on the power lines, good wintery scene out there tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Wow...they really got smoked in NH and still getting it in Maine! I had no idea this was going on today...lol. Congrats you guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Finished with 12.6"...depth up to 35". Looks like another 1-2" today. Then we torch (well at least aloft). Saturday will probably be my warmest day with sun, mixing, and leftover relatively warm 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 ^ Damn, dude. 4.2" here yesterday and now over 90" for the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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