ono Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 We're definitely at a moderate clip here. I'd venture to say we're close to dumping... Some of the radar returns along the spine just popped lit up 30-35+ dbz briefly. Looking good upstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 New Map! It’s nice to see some of those 18-24” areas along the spine now, that was certainly a big bump from the last map. Our point forecast has been bumped again, so now it’s in the 12-20” range, with 15.5” on the hourly weather forecast graph. The advisories map is now wall to wall Winter Storm Warnings, reflecting increased accumulations off to the west: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 23.3F moderate snow about 5" storm total with blowing and drifting 2 1/4" new past hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 starting to pick up here now, started spittin around 3, just a dusting at this point. should be a fun few days ahead on the skis and everyone knows "GC" is everything above rt 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 6" new...about 4" last hour. Back to -SN/SN now. 24.5F Wow. 4"/hr is pretty freakin' awesome. What's your web cam look like right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 It would be the LOL if this is pretty much it for C/S NH. I could see it end up as 2-3" more and then PL showers later. That would put me at 7 or 8 inches. We were expecting 8-12" yesterday. Im wondering if the conveyor belt of moisture down in E MA starts moving more NNW and NW as the storm moves north which would keep us in the QPF longer than if it stays further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wow. 4"/hr is pretty freakin' awesome. What's your web cam look like right now? I had 2 1/4" last hour with good snow growth and my vis still didn't drop to the insane craziness in quick hitting squalls. I am sure if I had 4" in an hour it would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well, ya got it. Have fun. Thanks. Light snow up here now with maybe 1 1/2sm vis and slowly dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 18z GFS still a big hit... going to rip later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wow. 4"/hr is pretty freakin' awesome. What's your web cam look like right now? http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/cam.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 18z GFS still a big hit... going to rip later tonight. 18zGFS_Feb13.png 18z GFS brings the Sunday event a lot closer, but still not enough. Time for it to trend west even more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Here's the 1hr increase in snowfall after that band. Open them both up in different tabs and toggle them. http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/2014-02-13-145324.jpg http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/2014-02-13-155252.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Here's the 1hr increase in snowfall after that band. Open them both up in different tabs and toggle them. http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/2014-02-13-145324.jpg http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/2014-02-13-155252.jpg That's pretty darn cool, dendrite! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 back into some pretty heavy snow here after a bit of a lull. will go out and measure again in a bit but suspect we are around 8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 7" new...1" last hour. Back to +SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Can't wait for that band to get up here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/cam.htm That's awesome...just looped it, looks like some huge flakes and heavy snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Here's the 1hr increase in snowfall after that band. Open them both up in different tabs and toggle them. http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/2014-02-13-145324.jpg http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/2014-02-13-155252.jpg That's really cool...that's a huge difference for one hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 No way we're hitting the top end. Not at home right now but Gray reporting only 3.3"so far. Look where the back edge is already and we're supposed to sleet later? Bust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yeah that band is making good progress our way also. I wonder if we will pivot in time to avoid the dry slot, or will there be a temporary lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 2" on the dot so far and coming down with big flakes. Won't call them dendrites because I don't want to start that controversy again! I don't have a good view to judge visibility but I suspect it's between 1/2 and 3/4 of a mile. The State is on a delayed opening for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yeah that band is making good progress our way also. I wonder if we will pivot in time to avoid the dry slot, or will there be a temporary lull. I think we dry slot for awhile...at least for me east. Not much to our south atm. BTV mentioned this in their afternoon discussion but said it should fill in and be short lived. 2" on the dot so far and coming down with big flakes. Won't call them dendrites because I don't want to start that controversy again! I don't have a good view to judge visibility but I suspect it's between 1/2 and 3/4 of a mile. The State is on a delayed opening for tomorrow. Yeah, just into that band here now. Much bigger flake size than earlier. Just a delayed opening? I thought for sure they'd just pack it in for tomorrow considering the forecast. Suits me fine when the state closes...cuts down local traffic by 75%...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Waterbury is getting hammered right now and Bolton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Band isn't that crazy here bd radar is opening a dry slot heading this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Another 1" last hour...up to 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Waterbury is getting hammered right now and Bolton. Yeah, that area does good on SEly flow upslope...Waterbury specifically. Between the Worcester Range to the north and the Spine to the west, that SEly flow just runs into a bunch of big terrain. They end up with some decent orographic assist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yeah that band is making good progress our way also. I wonder if we will pivot in time to avoid the dry slot, or will there be a temporary lull. You may be able to pivot there...you'll have the best chance being the furthest west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hvysnow79 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Band wasn't too crazy here now in the dry slot, picked up 3.3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 PF how much do you have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 BTV update: AS OF 610 PM EST THURSDAY...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE. EVERYTHING REMAINS ON TRACK FOR A MAJOR SNOW STORM TO AFFECT THE NORTH COUNTRY. 986-MB LOW NOW OFFSHORE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY WILL PROGRESS NORTHEASTWARD AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE WHILE INTENSIFYING TO SUB-980-MB. THIS IS A VERY FAVORABLE TRACK FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL FOR OUR REGION. INITIAL AREA OF WARM-AIR ADVECTION SNOW DROPPED GENERALLY 2-6" OF SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT AND HEAVIER BAND WITHIN IT IS CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA...NOW COMING INTO THE BURLINGTON AREA. IN GENERAL THIS BAND HAS BEEN WEAKENING OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. BEHIND BAND...MID LEVEL DRY SLOT HAS WORKED INTO MUCH OF SOUTHERN VERMONT...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND MASSACHUSETTS. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO WORK NORTHWARD ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN VERMONT. SNOW WILL LIGHTEN CONSIDERABLY AND MAY EVEN SEE SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE WHERE MOISTURE IN THE SNOW-GROWTH ZONE DECREASES. QUESTION IS HOW FAR DOES THIS COME NORTHWEST BEFORE BAND PIVOTS AND DEFORMATION BAND DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT. AS LOW INTENSIFIES AND MID/UPPER LOW APPROACHES THE REGION...EXPECTING A VERY INTENSE DEFORMATION BAND TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE PA/NJ/NY AREA AND MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA. THIS IS WHEN THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT...GENERALLY 06Z-15Z. SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED 2" PER HOUR. EXACT POSITION OF THIS BAND REMAINS TO BE SEEN...BUT BOTH LOCAL AND GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THIS WILL MOVE DIRECTLY ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. LOCAL MODELS AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE GREATEST RATES MAY AFFECT THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND WESTERN SLOPES WITH HIGHLY BLOCKED LOW LEVEL FLOW (LOCAL WRF FROUDE NUMBERS ARE WELL BELOW 0.5 THROUGH THE MORNING UNTIL 15Z...REMAINING BELOW 1 UNTIL 18Z). THIS IS DUE TO A STRONG LOW LEVEL INVERSION AND NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET OF 35 KNOTS. WEAK VEERING PROFILE ALSO EVIDENT AT KBTV SOUNDING. SOUNDINGS ARE EVEN INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF SOME ELEVATED CAPE...WHICH WILL ONLY ACT TO INCREASE SNOWFALL RATES. SNOW TOTALS OF 10 - 16 INCHES STILL LOOK GOOD FOR VERMONT AND NORTHEASTERN VERMONT...WITH 4 - 8 INCHES FOR THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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