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NNE Winter Part 3


mreaves

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Event totals: 6.8” Snow/0.51” L.E.

 

The snow definitely dried out after this morning’s super dense accumulation – down to 6.3% H2O, which is half of what it was.

 

Details from the 5:00 P.M. Waterbury observations:

 

New Snow: 5.7 inches

New Liquid: 0.36 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 15.8

Snow Density: 6.3% H2O

Temperature: 20.1 F

Sky: Snow (2-5 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 12.0 inches

 

I stopped in at Bolton Valley for a few runs today, and conditions were certainly nice with the new snow.  I’d say there was 6-7” new up top when I was there, which seems to jive with their report.

 

For Vermont ski areas that provided P.M. storm total updates, they’re listed below north to south.  With the forecast, I would have thought there would be a notable disparity between the totals at the northern and southern resorts, but that doesn’t seem to be the case yet.  We’ll have to see how it settles out when the totals come in tomorrow morning.

 

Jay Peak: 9”

Smuggler’s Notch: 8”

Stowe: 8”

Bolton Valley: 6”

Mad River Glen: 6”

Sugarbush: 4”

Pico: 8”

Killington: 8”

Okemo: 5.5”

Bromley: 6”

Magic Mountain: 7”

Stratton: 9”

Mount Snow: 11”

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Event totals: 6.8” Snow/0.51” L.E.

 

 

Jay Peak: 9”

Smuggler’s Notch: 8”

Stowe: 8”

Bolton Valley: 6”

Mad River Glen: 6”

Sugarbush: 4”

Pico: 8”

Killington: 8”

Okemo: 5.5”

Bromley: 6”

Magic Mountain: 7”

Stratton: 9”

Mount Snow: 11”

 

You know I was going to joke about this yesterday that I would bet money Jay Peak comes in with the highest snowfall total despite the obvious models favoring the southern areas.  But watch, I bet storm total snowfall may be highest at Jay Peak tomorrow morning.  They do well in all patterns up there.

 

All joking aside, the northern Greens did about twice as good as I was expecting, especially considering at its southern most forecast on the models a couple days ago, the northern Greens were even progged to get as little as <.25" of melted QPF.  The area that I busted big time on was the central Greens...like Okemo, Sugarbush/MRG area, etc.  I figured they were all a lock for like 10-14".  

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Here are the current snow totals.... Looks like Orange County took it home.  Lots of 7-9" amounts in the BTV area, and it looks like that's where we'll end up here in the Stowe/Morrisville area of Lamoille County.

 

VERMONT

...ADDISON COUNTY...
ORWELL 8.0 553 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
WHITING 7.5 635 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
2 N SALISBURY 6.7 601 PM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER
CORNWALL 6.5 418 PM 2/05 PUBLIC

...CALEDONIA COUNTY...
2 SW SUTTON 9.5 542 PM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER
NEWARK 8.0 620 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
1 W LYNDON CENTER 7.8 506 PM 2/05 LYNDON STATE COLLEGE
WEST BARNET 6.0 527 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
ST JOHNSBURY 5.9 400 PM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER

...CHITTENDEN COUNTY...
1 NE SOUTH BURLINGTO 8.6 652 PM 2/05 NWS OFFICE
1 SSW UNDERHILL 8.5 647 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
2 NW WESTFORD 8.5 525 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE
1 W MILTON 8.0 300 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE
1 N MALLETTS BAY 7.6 508 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE
1 S ESSEX CENTER 7.5 526 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE
WINOOSKI 7.4 630 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
2 SE SOUTH BURLINGTO 7.3 541 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE
2 NNW WILLISTON 7.0 612 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE
ESSEX JUNCTION 6.8 628 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE
WILLISTON 6.5 431 PM 2/05 PUBLIC

...FRANKLIN COUNTY...
2 W NORTH FAIRFAX 7.5 535 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE
FAIRFIELD 7.0 620 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
ST. ALBANS 7.0 422 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
SWANTON 6.3 422 PM 2/05 PUBLIC

...LAMOILLE COUNTY...
MORRISVILLE 8.7 558 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
STOWE 7.8 616 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
MOUNT MANSFIELD 6.5 400 PM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER
1 SSE SMUGGLERS NOTC 5.0 130 PM 2/05 PUBLIC

...ORANGE COUNTY...
TUNBRIDGE 12.0 633 PM 2/05 1200 FEET
BROOKFIELD 11.0 636 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
CORINTH 11.0 618 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
WILLIAMSTOWN 7.3 633 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
1 E THETFORD CENTER 7.0 421 PM 2/05 PUBLIC

...ORLEANS COUNTY...
NEWPORT CENTER 8.0 552 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
TROY 8.0 648 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
BARTON 6.7 330 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER

...RUTLAND COUNTY...
1 NE PROCTOR 10.0 512 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
MT. TABOR 8.5 633 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
1 N WEST RUTLAND 8.1 142 PM 2/05 COCORAHS
RUTLAND 8.0 528 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
FAIR HAVEN 8.0 636 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
DANBY FOUR CORNERS 7.0 609 PM 2/05 PUBLIC

...WASHINGTON COUNTY...
NORTHFIELD 10.5 617 PM 2/05 1400 FEET
MONTPELIER 8.0 532 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
WATERBURY CENTER 7.0 419 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
BERLIN 6.8 632 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
WORCESTER 3.5 1247 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER

...WINDSOR COUNTY...
ROYALTON 11.0 621 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
SPRINGFIELD 10.0 543 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
ROCHESTER 9.0 647 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
WILDER 8.0 635 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
WOODSTOCK 8.0 618 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
NORTH POMFRET 7.0 310 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
CHESTER 6.0 348 PM 2/05 PUBLIC

$

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Hahaha no worries. Enjoy the snow and pray QPF verifies. Snow growth/ratios look solid with DGZ within the area of best lift, especially mid morning through afternoon with the deform banding.

In a perfect model world, I could envision 0.60" QPF with 15:1 ratios, or 9". God knows that won't happen.

Well I guess this did work out lol

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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7.5 inches so far here in Peacham. Easy shoveling snow.

 

7.5" here as well. Still snowing so maybe we get to 8". Happy and satisfied, at least for a day or two.

 

7.5 inches here as well for the trifecta. 

 

I decided to go out and clear the driveway despite the darkness.  It worked well.  I just taped a very bright wide-beam LED flashlight to the front of the blower and I was all good to go!  I was a "nighttime virgin" until today...never brought the blower out after dark before...lol!

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You know I was going to joke about this yesterday that I would bet money Jay Peak comes in with the highest snowfall total despite the obvious models favoring the southern areas.  But watch, I bet storm total snowfall may be highest at Jay Peak tomorrow morning.  They do well in all patterns up there.

 

All joking aside, the northern Greens did about twice as good as I was expecting, especially considering at its southern most forecast on the models a couple days ago, the northern Greens were even progged to get as little as <.25" of melted QPF.  The area that I busted big time on was the central Greens...like Okemo, Sugarbush/MRG area, etc.  I figured they were all a lock for like 10-14".  

I was surprised by the totals up north and in the southern greens (low side) as well.  That afternoon band really did Sugarbush seems to be in a fun lately -- missing out on the fluff bombs at Stowe and Jay Peak to the north and on the coastals to the south.  However, I think the Sugarbush report is as of 3:00, so the total might be more in line with others.  Nice to be heading in the right direction finally.

 

Still a few flakes in the air here near Saratoga Springs.  10+ out of this one, with most coming this afternoon.

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around 1.5" since 6pm here.  Still snowing lightly, slowing down.   

 

edit: just went out and took a settled measurement- a hair over 8" with some likely compaction throughout the event.  Have picked up an additional 1/4" in the past half hour or so ultralight fluff of the see-thru variety.  still snowing.

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Snow was ending and I was at a friends house near the Matterhorn Bar, so took a ride up to the base snowstake since the snow is about done...found another 3.5" since 2pm, so total at 1,500ft is 8.5" as of 9pm. Just flurries now though so that'll probably be the base total.

At home at 750ft, I found 4.4" after 9-10am when I had 3.0"...so my total looks to be 7.7" at home.

Largest single day snowfall of the season!

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Event totals: 8.2” Snow/0.56” L.E.

 

Another 1.4” of snow fell this evening, often with stars and the moon visible.  There was still a little light snow falling when I made my observations, but the sky was mostly stars, so I’m not sure how much more accumulation there will be.

 

Details from the 11:00 P.M. Waterbury observations:

 

New Snow: 1.4 inches

New Liquid: 0.05 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 28.0

Snow Density: 3.6% H2O

Temperature: 10.4 F

Sky: Light Snow (1-3 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 13.5 inches

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Event totals: 8.3” Snow/0.56” L.E.

 

A final tenth of an inch fell overnight, which is presumably the end of this latest event. 

 

Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations:

 

New Snow: 0.1 inches

New Liquid: Trace

Temperature: 2.3 F

Sky: Partly Cloudy

Snow at the stake: 13.0 inches

 

Not surprisingly, this has been the largest storm in terms of snowfall for the calendar year, more than doubling the next closest event.  The final tenth overnight actually pushed this storm to second place for storms this season, just passing a storm at the end of November that delivered 8.2”.  Seasonally, this storm certainly helped, bringing the snowfall deficit down to 26”, the S.D. from the mean down below -1.00 to -0.87, and the snowfall up to 72.9% of average.  Snowfall for the season also just pushed past 70”, which is not normally much of a benchmark, but it’s felt like it with the way that the area has seemed to need a lot of scratching and clawing for accumulations.

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