WhiteoutMD Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Paul Kocin on now http://wxbrad.com/weather-climate-summit-2014/?utm_content=buffer9934b&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 One of the best GFS runs in quite a while. Looks like numerous possibilites as we get to the end of January. The storms that have been forming offshore lately may finally be shifting west. Is that because of better ridging out west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Honestly, I'm not sure why there's such doom and gloom in here. This is the BEST look we've seen in years. Might mean nothing but even the thought of something is better than the last two years. They were horrific. I figure at some point the have nots have to at least reach 75% of climo...so it isnt like it cant snow...unless 3-5" is the new norm for some people...which would suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 One of the best GFS runs in quite a while. Looks like numerous possibilites as we get to the end of January. The storms that have been forming offshore lately may finally be shifting west. Is that because of better ridging out west? I thought the ridging out west was too far to the east but has shifted west now and will be in a better spot. Correct me if I'm wrong on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 One of the best GFS runs in quite a while. Looks like numerous possibilites as we get to the end of January. The storms that have been forming offshore lately may finally be shifting west. Is that because of better ridging out west? yes...plus Masco like the N Atl ridge, and I suppose he is right that that feature could help us where it is versus 50-50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I figure at some point the have nots have to at least reach 75% of climo...so it isnt like it cant snow...unless 3-5" is the new norm for some people...which would suck After the past two years and watching that Day after Christmas storm in 2010 blow up past us... I'm willing to take any snow amounts and be happy. I think we all needed a reality check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I could see us getting 1" this weekend in DC..i know that won't excite most, but we are in good climo now... I could too, of the three events, the third clipper will be colder so it has the most legs. Plus if you slow down the following northern stream I think the vort approaching us sat would stay stronger longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 After the past two years and watching that Day after Christmas storm in 2010 blow up past us... I'm willing to take any snow amounts and be happy. I think we all needed a reality check. I don't really care what others like at this point...if people don't like 0.5" events so be it...Though I do think there is more insanity in not caring about the small ones but always chasing a big one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I could too, of the three events, the third clipper will be colder so it has the most legs. Plus if you slow down the following northern stream I think the vort approaching us sat would stay stronger longer. Isn't that sort of the problem with this progressive pattern Wes? That's not sarcastic by the way... I seriously want to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I could too, of the three events, the third clipper will be colder so it has the most legs. Plus if you slow down the following northern stream I think the vort approaching us sat would stay stronger longer. Hopefully the euro still has it...I don't think anyone was ever too into Wednesday.If I see a couple mangled mood flakes wednesday night I'll consider it a victory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Bob Chill is not feeling funny or humored by 12z gfs op. Bob Chill also likes his chicken spicy. Bob Chill has observed all vorts to come in more amplified as leads shorten. This observation leaves Bob Chill remaining interested in the weekend and the 22nd-23rd. Bob Chill thinks the euro better come in good or Ji's thread is a disaster of epoch propositions. Like Boxing Day 2010? A point in history that serves as a reference for that which comes after? Perhaps a period of time punctuated by events so disastrous that they will be forever remembered? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Maybe having snow chances every 36-48 hours for the next 10+ days starting this weekend is not fun for folks. I remember when this was supposed to be the start of a major thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Paul Kocin talking about snow storms in the east http://wxbrad.com/weather-climate-summit-2014/?utm_content=buffer9934b&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Paul Kocin talking about snow storms in the east http://wxbrad.com/weather-climate-summit-2014/?utm_content=buffer9934b&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer Thanks for sharing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Isn't that sort of the problem with this progressive pattern Wes? That's not sarcastic by the way... I seriously want to know. That makes it tougher but it still a matter of timing and we don't know the timing of the upstream trough. The saturday event isn't likely to be a huge deal even with a stronger vort but would have more potential to give the dc area a 1-3 or 2-4 inch snow rather than a dusting to inch. Of course there is still potential for the Saturday event to miss us entirely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Called us nuts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Nice vort coming down on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Looks like it comes together a little too late for us on the weekend storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Euro has a T-1" on Friday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Euro has a T-1" on Friday night is that the vort the GFS has for Saturday night or different one? thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Interested in the EURO ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2014 Author Share Posted January 14, 2014 Euro has a T-1" on Friday night we always trend the wrong way..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I should have kept count on the number of times I've seen "this is the best pattern since forever" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I should have kept count on the number of times I've seen "this is the best pattern since forever" it's really not that bad outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 is that the vort the GFS has for Saturday night or different one? thx no..it is the vort the GFS has for FRiday night...both have essentially the same solution Euro has nothing Sat night...never develops, though there is something well to our north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I should have kept count on the number of times I've seen "this is the best pattern since forever" yeah, instead of snow storms missing us to the east, west, north, or south, now they go right over us a wave while they drop little to nothing on us we finally have all the ways covered to miss snow, so we got that going for us which is niscch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 no..it is the vort the GFS has for FRiday night...both have essentially the same solution Euro has nothing Sat night...never develops, though there is something well to our north meh....that clipper on the GFS for Sat night/early Sunday morning looked pretty nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 awesome thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 yeah, instead of snow storms missing us to the east, west, north, or south, now they go right over us a wave while they drop little to nothing on us we finally have all the ways covered to miss snow, so we got that going for us which is niscch I think the good pattern everyone is bullish about is after the 21st or so...anything before then is kind of a bonus...of course the advertised pattern might not yield anything either... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welbane Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Does the Euro give us any precip on 22-23rd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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