Bob Chill Posted January 17, 2014 Author Share Posted January 17, 2014 Since I don't know where to post anymore. It's d7-15. I can't count. Wow, 12z gefs is the stormiest run I've seen this year by far. Every single member give us some sort of coastal d8-15. Some are pretty big and some members give us multiple snows. Very few rainy solutions mixed in there but even those are prolific w/ ss interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Since I don't know where to post anymore. It's d7-15. I can't count. I had to move mine as well lol Re your GEFS post: Def agree. It took me a minute to make sure it wasn't an old cache run that got snuck in there... looks very nice. Hopefully we get to cash in on one of those threats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Since I don't know where to post anymore. It's d7-15. I can't count. We're probably gonna get a "sneaky" storm next week...one that pops up like in the 72-84 hour range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 We're probably gonna get a "sneaky" storm next week...one that pops up like in the 72-84 hour range. I tend to agree. I still like the Tues-Wed period for a sneaky light event, maybe 1-3ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Crap, the EURO has the PV coming down into the Lakes Day 6 with -24c h85 temps over the Ohio river. Here comes the PV hype again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Crap, the EURO has the PV coming down into the Lakes Day 6 with -24c h85 temps over the Ohio river. Here comes the PV hype again... Is this a different pv or did the last one leave it's wallet and is coming back to get it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 By 150h, the PV is over PA / NY (closed 510dm contour).... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Is this a different pv or did the last one leave it's wallet and is coming back to get it? It's actually a second one behind the first one, lol. And it touches off a miller B to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 By 150h, the PV is over PA / NY (closed 510dm contour).... Strike up the hype band.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I'm posting about the euro in the medium range model thread.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 17, 2014 Author Share Posted January 17, 2014 And it touches off a miller B to our north. that's the part that sucks. GFS takes a vort and lp just below us. Stupid euro north tracks us and cartops it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Oh man...the -AO blocking this run is nuts...major unloading about to unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 It's actually a second one behind the first one, lol. And it touches off a miller B to our north. Euro has been Miller B happy this winter at this range so it'll change, even though I doubt in our favor p.s. nice to have you in our forum HM for some real analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Some of the GFS ensembles have a HECS day 8-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Some of the GFS ensembles have a HECS day 8-9. does that include DC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 17, 2014 Author Share Posted January 17, 2014 does that include DC metro There's 3 pretty big solutions tightly clustered. We are in good on all three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Check out P007 and P010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 That is nasty looking cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Check out P007 and P010 gfsens.gif p010 had a closed ULL over Toledo... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 That's the real deal moving into Ontario at 192h with h85 temps -36 to -38C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 This run's -AO block is VERY impressive and heading for Greenland... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 p010 had a closed ULL over Toledo... Well it shows a low off the coast, looks cold enough; Doesn't really matter, just lately I'd be more happy if the GFS showed a storm compared to the EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 986 off Wallops on p010..... daddy likes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Well it shows a low off the coast, looks cold enough; Doesn't really matter, just lately I'd be more happy if the GFS showed a storm compared to the EURO p010.gif 986 off Wallops on p010..... daddy likes It isn't a HECS pattern for us...not even remotely close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 does the euro have any qpf for us besides .01? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 This -AO is so furious, it may make the OPI guys nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 does the euro have any qpf for us besides .01? The entire run is northern stream grand larceny as Chill likes to call it...super fast flow...hard for us to get anything meaningful....your 8-12" probably doesnt have a chance until the end of the month if at all...best we can hope for is getting a fat piece of the dummy end of a miller B or threading the needle like 2/4/95 which was still only like 5-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 does the euro have any qpf for us besides .01? 0.07" or so QPF for me through the next 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Yes it's all northern stream, Arctic air and snow showers but this run went significantly toward a -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 17, 2014 Author Share Posted January 17, 2014 IMO- the run is kind of a disaster of sorts. We don't need a massive -ao and pv intruding. Kills the ss chances. This run shows that pretty well. It's a squasher on many levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.