Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 we need to be north of the fook line for next week and 6z GFS/Euro/GGEM say maybe some ice to start but mostly rain. Lets see what happens over the next couple of day but we need a big 1045 High next week to help us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 we need to be north of the fook line for next week and 6z GFS/Euro/GGEM say maybe some ice to start but mostly rain. Lets see what happens over the next couple of day but we need a big 1045 High next week to help us Heights seem to want to favor being south of the fook line. I'm expecting it. We probably need what appears to be a big storm d8-10 to get out of the way. If it's wrapped (looks like it will be so far) it's going west of us. Maybe it hits a wall of confluence and slides. Hard to say but any big storm will prob be rain. We'll see how it shakes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Heights seem to want to favor being south of the fook line. I'm expecting it. We probably need what appears to be a big storm d8-10 to get out of the way. If it's wrapped (looks like it will be so far) it's going west of us. Maybe it hits a wall of confluence and slides. Hard to say but any big storm will prob be rain. We'll see how it shakes out. If we end up punting the next three systems to shuffle the deck, worth nothing that we would then be into the second week of February and the time for us to cash in with a good system starts to run short. Plus, Ian gets to dust off the sun angle material in all its glory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 what a disaster this run is...so much for the glory of the 18z run from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Recent history says good snowy January = bad February. That being the case, hello spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 If we end up punting the next three systems to shuffle the deck, worth nothing that we would then be into the second week of February and the time for us to cash in with a good system starts to run short. Plus, Ian gets to dust off the sun angle material in all its glory. It's gonna be ugly. We've got like two weeks left until flowers start trying to grow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 It's gonna be ugly. We've got like two weeks left until flowers start trying to grow. The warm rain for middle of next week will certainly assist with that, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 It's gonna be ugly. We've got like two weeks left until flowers start trying to grow. but the children!!!11! they need more time off!!1!1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 looks like winter is over. Rockin Februarys always work out. Hard to get snow when the 850 temps are between 3 and 10 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The feb 4-5 isnt that wet anyway....it looks like the prolonged precip maker is getting pushed back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I've become kind of disinterested in the pattern, though I think DC cashes in with one more, maybe last week of February as I had been pinpointing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 It's gonna be ugly. We've got like two weeks left until flowers start trying to grow. What if this becomes the next March 2010? Remember when nearly every forecaster (don S, usedtobe, etc) expected a repeat of feb 2010? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 If you dont score Feb 1-15(PD weekend), your pretty much doomed in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The feb 4-5 isnt that wet anyway....it looks like the prolonged precip maker is getting pushed back euro ensembles are getting worse and worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I've become kind of disinterested in the pattern, though I think DC cashes in with one more, maybe last week of February as I had been pinpointing... when the average high temp becomes 55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 euro ensembles are getting worse and worse yes...they looked really bad at 00z. Looked like a La Nina 500mb pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 the curse of the HM storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Where is the spring thread? Hoping for a cherry blossom season that isn't effed up like last year's was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 If you dont score Feb 1-15(PD weekend), your pretty much doomed in this area. we are kind of due for a rockin last 10 days of February ala 1986, 1987, 2003, 2005, 2007..I'd much rather have a storm on February 26th than March 4th...every day at that time of year kills us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 yes...they looked really bad at 00z. Looked like a La Nina 500mb pattern we'll still get a 1-4" storm on April 3rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 we'll still get a 1-4" storm on April 3rd Ian will be upset when a backdoor front kills the instability layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I knew it wasnt going when i saw 4 straight cutters on the Euro Control a few days ago to start of February. Yet the CFS keeps insisting on record cold February:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Ian will be upset when a backdoor front kills the instability layer. I like the late season stuff, but most people dont care for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Meteorological winter around here really is only 2 months. Feb is so often torchy, especially the back half. Sun angle is killer and skin care enthusiasts begin to pack on the sunscreen around this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I knew it wasnt going when i saw 4 straight cutters on the Euro Control a few days ago to start of February. Yet the CFS keeps insisting on record cold February:( the weeklies have way backed off..legit torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I knew it wasnt going when i saw 4 straight cutters on the Euro Control a few days ago to start of February. Yet the CFS keeps insisting on record cold February:( I knew we were hosed when the CFS went cold and wet. We needed that to show warm and dry... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Meteorological winter around here really is only 2 months. Feb is so often torchy, especially the back half. Sun angle is killer and skin care enthusiasts begin to pack on the sunscreen around this time. If by so often you mean 50% of the time, I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 onto next winter with maybe an El Nino. We are going to do an entire winter without a -NAO. Pretty impressive that we finished the year with near normal snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 onto next winter with maybe an El Nino. We are going to do an entire winter without a -NAO. Pretty impressive that we finished the year with near normal snow LOL at this epic weenie meltdown from GFS OP look in fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 LOL at this epic weenie meltdown from GFS OP look in fantasy land. its every model... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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