snowfan Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 >1" snowfall probs 30-40% for most of the area. 40-50% for 95 S/E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 GFS as expected said "silly weenies" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Here in Greenbelt they are getting in urgent need of a snowpack refresher. Not quite so urgent in Columbia, but certainly by the weekend. I shoveled off my deck into a big pile. Doubt it lasts though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 GFS as expected said "silly weenies" Mid-week dead? Never mind. Saw it. Trending is gone and its dry. On to the weekend / next week I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I shoveled off my deck into a big pile. Doubt it lasts though. If we can get one more 5"+ snow (and I think there's a good chance we can), the parking lot piles should last until April barring a March like we had in 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Mid-week dead? Pretty much, no NW trend whatsoever from 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 Mid-week dead? I was never really alive so it's more dead than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 GFS as expected said "silly weenies" Which ones?? I say buns for all!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I was never really alive so it's more dead than yesterday. This was your post not even twelve hours ago: "Yes, but 0z didn't take it all away. Evolving situation. We're still in the game that we weren't in just half a day ago." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 This was your post not even twelve hours ago: "Yes, but 0z didn't take it all away. Evolving situation. We're still in the game that we weren't in just half a day ago." To be fair, in the game meant some precip so I suppose we are still in that game. But inside of 48 and hanging on the edge isn't a good position. I also posted that there was no support from the euro or its ensembles at all and that 18z was on its own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 Man, fri afternoon and night is a nail biter on this run. Right on the line but better than the last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Man, fri afternoon and night is a nail biter on this run. Right on the line but better than the last run. for our 1 inch of snow? next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 this arctic airblast this week is not that impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 for our 1 inch of snow? next 1" is what's next. Might be cold rain @ metlife. Betting the under might be a smart play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Too bad we can't cash in on Wed. We only get so many chances in NOVA. This weekend looks weak and ineffectual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 this arctic airblast this week is not that impressive I'm not entirely negative, I still think next week holds promise, but man..some wind has been taken out of the sails here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 this arctic airblast this week is not that impressive Agreed but we have to rid ourselves of the dominant northern stream; get the southern stream involved and hope to cash in with the greater precipitation chances in early- mid Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 we need to be north of the fook line for next week and 6z GFS/Euro/GGEM say maybe some ice to start but mostly rain. Lets see what happens over the next couple of day but we need a big 1045 High next week to help us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 we need to be north of the fook line for next week and 6z GFS/Euro/GGEM say maybe some ice to start but mostly rain. Lets see what happens over the next couple of day but we need a big 1045 High next week to help us Heights seem to want to favor being south of the fook line. I'm expecting it. We probably need what appears to be a big storm d8-10 to get out of the way. If it's wrapped (looks like it will be so far) it's going west of us. Maybe it hits a wall of confluence and slides. Hard to say but any big storm will prob be rain. We'll see how it shakes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Heights seem to want to favor being south of the fook line. I'm expecting it. We probably need what appears to be a big storm d8-10 to get out of the way. If it's wrapped (looks like it will be so far) it's going west of us. Maybe it hits a wall of confluence and slides. Hard to say but any big storm will prob be rain. We'll see how it shakes out. If we end up punting the next three systems to shuffle the deck, worth nothing that we would then be into the second week of February and the time for us to cash in with a good system starts to run short. Plus, Ian gets to dust off the sun angle material in all its glory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 what a disaster this run is...so much for the glory of the 18z run from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Recent history says good snowy January = bad February. That being the case, hello spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 If we end up punting the next three systems to shuffle the deck, worth nothing that we would then be into the second week of February and the time for us to cash in with a good system starts to run short. Plus, Ian gets to dust off the sun angle material in all its glory. It's gonna be ugly. We've got like two weeks left until flowers start trying to grow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 It's gonna be ugly. We've got like two weeks left until flowers start trying to grow. The warm rain for middle of next week will certainly assist with that, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 It's gonna be ugly. We've got like two weeks left until flowers start trying to grow. but the children!!!11! they need more time off!!1!1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 looks like winter is over. Rockin Februarys always work out. Hard to get snow when the 850 temps are between 3 and 10 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The feb 4-5 isnt that wet anyway....it looks like the prolonged precip maker is getting pushed back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 It's gonna be ugly. We've got like two weeks left until flowers start trying to grow. What if this becomes the next March 2010? Remember when nearly every forecaster (don S, usedtobe, etc) expected a repeat of feb 2010? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 If you dont score Feb 1-15(PD weekend), your pretty much doomed in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I've become kind of disinterested in the pattern, though I think DC cashes in with one more, maybe last week of February as I had been pinpointing... when the average high temp becomes 55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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