Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,864
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Vivin16
    Newest Member
    Vivin16
    Joined

Late January - Early February Pattern Discussion


Bob Chill

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.7k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Close to fork time for the midweek system. 0z and 6z GFS have shown no NW progress, prob a bit more east, Euro pretty much held, and latest SREFs are further east. Not too thrilled with the weekend at this point either..looks mild per Euro and Canadian. GFS keeps warm front just on our doorstep but not sure I buy that. At this point I would welcome low 40s for the weekend if its not too wet. At least I can wash my salt encrusted mess of a car.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am more worried about losing the boundary battle on the more juiced systems next weekend and the day 8-10 system and wasting the moisture on rain after all the cold. 

 

Also, it's gonna be annoying when coastal carolina has double DCA's snowfall total on the year and also exceeds BWI's seasonal snowfall total by Wednesday night...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am more worried about losing the boundary battle on the more juiced systems next weekend and the day 8-10 system and wasting the moisture on rain after all the cold. 

 

Also, it's gonna be annoying when coastal carolina has double DCA's snowfall total on the year and also exceeds BWI's seasonal snowfall total by Wednesday night...

its called weather aint it a bummer!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am more worried about losing the boundary battle on the more juiced systems next weekend and the day 8-10 system and wasting the moisture on rain after all the cold. 

 

Also, it's gonna be annoying when coastal carolina has double DCA's snowfall total on the year and also exceeds BWI's seasonal snowfall total by Wednesday night...

 

There is a long time to go before these modeled storms come to fruition.  Since we can't control any of it just sit back and let it all unfold and take whatever comes.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

meanwhile, if you can believe it, CFS2 went even colder and wetter from yesterday on FEB's forecast!

in fact, it can't get any wetter under its categories and is one category away from its coldest category....crazy

http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT2mMonInd1.gif

http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd1.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am more worried about losing the boundary battle on the more juiced systems next weekend and the day 8-10 system and wasting the moisture on rain after all the cold. 

 

Also, it's gonna be annoying when coastal carolina has double DCA's snowfall total on the year and also exceeds BWI's seasonal snowfall total by Wednesday night...

 

So what? How often do they get to see significant snow? Almost never? Let them have it, cause after this, we'll have much more opportunity for snow than they do.

 

Same thing happened in January 2003 when the Outer Banks got a foot of snow while we were high and dry. They probably exceeded DCA's total to date after the storm. Then there was a rainstorm in early Feb 2003... imagine the weenie meltdowns back then :lol:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

meanwhile, if you can believe it, CFS2 went even colder and wetter from yesterday on FEB's forecast!

in fact, it can't get any wetter under its categories and is one category away from its coldest category....crazy

http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT2mMonInd1.gif

http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd1.gif

Thats wicked. After our BRIEF relaxation in the cold, bring on the -AO -NAO with southern stream. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

meanwhile, if you can believe it, CFS2 went even colder and wetter from yesterday on FEB's forecast!

in fact, it can't get any wetter under its categories and is one category away from its coldest category....crazy

http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT2mMonInd1.gif

http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd1.gif

 

Incredible. I'll be back from upstate NY on Thursday, so bring it on!

If that verifies, then temperature-wise, we'd be seeing a repeat of Feb 2007. Get that with the very wet anomalies, then whoa :o

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There is a long time to go before these modeled storms come to fruition.  Since we can't control any of it just sit back and let it all unfold and take whatever comes.

 

Well, yeah. Sun rises in the east and all that...c'mon H2O, we've been down this road before. It's a weather board. We discuss things we have no control over.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So what? How often do they get to see significant snow? Almost never? Let them have it, cause after this, we'll have much more opportunity for snow than they do.

 

Same thing happened in January 2003 when the Outer Banks got a foot of snow while we were high and dry. They probably exceeded DCA's total to date after the storm. Then there was a rainstorm in early Feb 2003... imagine the weenie meltdowns back then :lol:

I get to be annoyed at what I get to be annoyed at. Given that you have had like 3 feet of snow up your way in the Cockeysville area this winter, I can see you being more sanguine about it. But thanks for the officiousness.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...