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Late January - Early February Pattern Discussion


Bob Chill

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WXSOUTH @WxSouth 18m

Foot of snow possible between CLT, RDU, ORF. No model has enough interaction from Baja low yet, but they will soon. Regardless, snow in SE

 

WXSOUTH @WxSouth 18 mins

Once more influence from Baja is seen by models, they will adjust QPF west and increase amounts in SE overall. Big Ticket item #snow #ice

 

Interesting take

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Always on the offensive huh? I was referring to the southern cut off not interacting with the main s/w as depicted in the 18z run. No need to be regionalist.

 

why?  we have completely different climo and expectations...

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Close to fork time for the midweek system. 0z and 6z GFS have shown no NW progress, prob a bit more east, Euro pretty much held, and latest SREFs are further east. Not too thrilled with the weekend at this point either..looks mild per Euro and Canadian. GFS keeps warm front just on our doorstep but not sure I buy that. At this point I would welcome low 40s for the weekend if its not too wet. At least I can wash my salt encrusted mess of a car.

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I am more worried about losing the boundary battle on the more juiced systems next weekend and the day 8-10 system and wasting the moisture on rain after all the cold. 

 

Also, it's gonna be annoying when coastal carolina has double DCA's snowfall total on the year and also exceeds BWI's seasonal snowfall total by Wednesday night...

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I am more worried about losing the boundary battle on the more juiced systems next weekend and the day 8-10 system and wasting the moisture on rain after all the cold. 

 

Also, it's gonna be annoying when coastal carolina has double DCA's snowfall total on the year and also exceeds BWI's seasonal snowfall total by Wednesday night...

its called weather aint it a bummer!!

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