mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'm close to pulling the trigger to being close to being on the fence living on the edge is he!! isn't it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 1/25/2000 - Never Forget Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 1/25/2000 - Never Forget what happened? never mind, Pearl Harbor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 18z will bring the fans back from the exits. we do overrunning events better than most of our other scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 EPS members looking good for d8-10. Plenty of snowy members. DCA has 7 with 6"+ snows for d8-10. About half show 2"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 This year, I'd be happy just want to see the stupid Polar Vortex get owned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Holy crap. Just lock up this 18z run and I'll trade the rest of the winter and part of next. it's the CFS2 forecast for FEB in detail (relatively speaking) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 no, it was the storm exactly 4 years to the day as the CRAS has it.....1/30/10 Figured you would know thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 no, it was the storm exactly 4 years to the day as the CRAS has it.....1/30/10 Mitch is right. I wrote about it in my diary, and laughed about it later. But seriously, it was funny that the CRAS was the only model even close on that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 That 18z run was ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 18z ensembles looking good, 0.25 almost to DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Looking at the 18z GEFS mean, sure looks like there are a few hits for our area based off 72 and 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 still 60 hours out----but euro keeps saying no EURO was edging closer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 18z ensembles looking good, 0.25 almost to DC that's more than a little surprising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS has shown that off an on, a brutal ice event southern half of VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Wishcasting is a powerful force..... ETA: A full phase of the southern vort and earlier slp and 850 lp development. If it can get cranking early and deepen quickly it can help the entire complex stay closer to the coast and be more expansive. You may have figured this storm out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 uh oh.... that's a massive improvement from 12z gefs..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I will walk to work for a week if that were to happen. And that type of setup would favor us easterners. 1/25/2000 - Never Forget Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I will walk to work for a week if that were to happen. And that type of setup would favor us easterners. if this storm happens, Matt and I will both be voting for the Lyndon LaRouche candidates next election cycle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 By my count looks like 5 or 6 of those members would bring snow to DC, let the trend continue! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Holy crap. Just lock up this 18z run and I'll trade the rest of the winter and part of next. this is like a retro 18z run when it gave us 3-4 feet of snow every other day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Two of the GEFS members have a 6" stripe that extends from Birmingham to Boston. 00z will be very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'm still trying to figure out how N md jackpots with this. I guess 0z will answer it for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 ***Today's 18z GFS 500mb is so scarily similar to 1994 its almost shocking;*** January 8-9 1994 was an overrunning storm with precip wedged between the northern confluence. 18z GFS 186 HRS: January 8-9 1994 Few days later on the GFS the remaining energy is ejected similar to the February 11 1994 storm. I am giddy right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Lol at a few members with close to an inch qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Approx. 4-5/10 members bring RIC .75"+ of qpf. Things are looking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Approx. 4-5/10 members bring RIC .75"+ of qpf. Things are looking up. ur in a great spot it would seem....congrats j/k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 ***Today's 18z GFS 500mb is so scarily similar to 1994 its almost shocking;*** January 8-9 1994 was an overrunning storm with precip wedged between the northern confluence. 18z GFS 186 HRS: 186hrs.gif January 8-9 1994 94.gif Few days later on the GFS the remaining energy is ejected similar to the February 11 1994 storm. I am giddy right now. idk how you guys did up there, but that wasn't too hot for us down here in fact, none of those big events were great for us down here that winter unless you like constant ip and zr with snow 50 miles to ur north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.