Plowable Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Looks like we're getting a bonafide something here . I've heard up to 1" of ice to snow to sleet snow maybe 6" either way gonna be fun here at the beach. Time to stock up on beer and sit back and watch Armageddon set it hahahaha ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Did the 18z GFS just give us a snowstorm for a few days from now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 It gets the southern cut off fully involved.. Indeed it does. Even if this was correct, could this nudge a bit more north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Did the 18z GFS just give us a snowstorm for a few days from now? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Oops...mistook the 18z GFS for something else... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 still 60 hours out----but euro keeps saying no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Oops...mistook the 18z GFS for something else... Goldie Hawn? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Goldie Hawn? lolNah Ji's CRAP, I mean, CRAS model.Looks like Wes could sneak in an inch or 2 if 18z GFS was right... that would be kinda funny .1 QPF line is just SE of DCA... 0.25 around Wes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 CRAS two in a row? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS keeps inching its way north. 18Z was a pretty good move north. I know those snow clown maps are a bad forecasting tool, but the differences between 12Z and 18Z for SE VA are fairly substantial. 18Z looks like it gets accumulating snow as far north as Cambridge on the eastern shore. Again, I know the clown maps are not reliable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Nah Ji's CRAP, I mean, CRAS model. Looks like Wes could sneak in an inch or 2 if 18z GFS was right... that would be kinda funny and the GFS has been the more progressive model this winter soooo.......who's staying up for the Euro with Bob and Yoda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 we were like 3 days out before the 18Z NAM caught on to the MLK event, so it would not be unheard of this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 12Z 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'm so in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS phases the baja low, big H5 changes, whether it is right? Well....will obviously need more support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 and the GFS has been the more progressive model this winter soooo.......who's staying up for the Euro with Bob and Yoda? As long as you are up for the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 And not only is it further north, but also considerably west. Weenie hopes will probably be drug through the mud later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Last thing I want to see is FL and SC get a lot of snow. We are SNE here. Start chuckin' weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 What is kind of ironic is last Sunday at 18z was when the models made the big shift with the eventual snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Those snow depth maps from 12z and 18z are ridiculous, if you're in coastal NC u gotta be so pumped but also so worried that soon you're gonna be toeing the rain/snow like if this continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I know it's not apples to apples time-wise, but compare the 48 hr. RGEM at 12Z to the 48 hr. 18Z RGEM definitely more interesting down south wrt moisture at 700mb and the trough looks a bit better too note the renegade streak of moisture as well on the 18Z run straight up the Apps.....hmmm 12Z is on top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 and the GFS has been the more progressive model this winter soooo.......who's staying up for the Euro with Bob and Yoda? I trust that this thread will have added about 20 posts between about 1:00 and when I aake up. Meanwhile, the SE VA thread will have about five new pages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 We got a shot now. One more shift like that N and bullseye. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 WTH, I'm in. Seasonal trend says this comes north and those in the Carolinas/SE VA get screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 CRAS two in a row? I'm a numbers guy. The cras is the equivalent to doing a quick pick mega millions. It hit once so we have to wait at least another 125 million runs before odds start tipping. I'm out. But I might be in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Don't lie Bob. You're already in! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'm a numbers guy. The cras is the equivalent to doing a quick pick mega millions. It hit once so we have to wait at least another 125 million runs before odds start tipping. I'm out. But I might be in. but the thing about the CRAS is, it was such a hit for us Bob (more to go after the final panel at 84 hrs.,) that if it was off by 50 miles, we'd still get 4" with ratios I'd bet iow, it doesn't have to be completely right, just close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'm a numbers guy. The cras is the equivalent to doing a quick pick mega millions. It hit once so we have to wait at least another 125 million runs before odds start tipping. I'm out. But I might be in. Maybe this is its pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 These panels are pretty nice from 12z gefs. D12 12z gefs h5 d12.JPG D16 12z gefs h5 d16.JPG Heights are building into the western nao region through the end of the run. Good looks before d12 as well. Just wanted to point out where the gefs thinks were going. The look has been similar but improving through the last 4 GEFS runs. Those are REALLY nice looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 And I've been called optimistic..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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