usedtobe Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 CWG has a new mascot today as reported in the Post. Much nicer than wooly worms. I'm not sure which is cooler, the fish or the owl....I guess the owl since I don't usually see them but do hear them on occasion but that is a nice striper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Needless to say, the GFS is a completely different solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 18z dgex closer to coast and gives precip to much of area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 Since the gfs completely lost the storm for wed-thur, the only logical thing is for it to come back at 0z and be a direct hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Since the gfs completely lost the storm for wed-thur, the only logical thing is for it to come back at 0z and be a direct hit. I mean the differences b/t its 12z run and this one are just obscene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Does it make sense that on the 18z run there are vorts south of us with no ocean storm and on the 12z run there are no vorts south of us but there is an ocean storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I'm hugging the Euro and a north trend unless it's too amped like usual.. I haven't really looked that closely. DC is a snow town again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 OMG, this might be the best setup I've seen in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Ends up as rainy overrunning, plenty of time for changes...to the NW. However nice gradient pattern, there is definitely potential if we receive some Atlantic support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 OMG, this might be the best setup I've seen in a while. omg1.gif too many vortexes over Greenland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Without NAO -active ss may mean back to normal. Messy events..wintry mix. But better than cold and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 Without NAO -active ss may mean back to normal. Messy events..wintry mix. But better than cold and dry Ji, I've known you for a long time now. Are you ok? I mean seriously...I'm not sure I recognize your posts anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Ji, I've known you for a long time now. Are you ok? I mean seriously...I'm not sure I recognize your posts anymore The Facebook monster ruined him. He's all legit and stuff now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 18z DGEX throws the mid-week storm up the coast for a SECS from South Carolina to NE (not that it means much, but I guess it would be a best case scenario) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 The Facebook monster ruined him. He's all legit and stuff now. Ah, I don't mess around wirh facebook much because I waste enough time doing others things already. If Iwas was on facebook I would troll his page incessantly until he comes back around this old self and things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 18z DGEX throws the mid-week storm up the coast for a SECS from South Carolina to NE (not that it means much, but I guess it would be a best case scenario) 126.gif 132.gif 138.gif I would love me some SECS up and down the coast. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 18z DGEX throws the mid-week storm up the coast for a SECS from South Carolina to NE (not that it means much, but I guess it would be a best case scenario)Has the DIGDUG ever been right for the right reasons at this lead? I don't even look at it unless it's posted. Its like a random weather map algorithm based on sports scores or something On the flip side, 12z gefs was a big step from 6z with its members. There's a couple solutions that might do it and they seem to have different timing in the flow by a day or day and a half. I think 18z gfs was initialized with surface data from the wrong year. So I'm tossin it like the cras. Well, unless its shows snow. Then I'm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Curly Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I'm not sure which is cooler, the fish or the owl....I guess the owl since I don't usually see them but do hear them on occasion but that is a nice striper. PM sent........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Has the DIGDUG ever been right for the right reasons at this lead? I don't even look at it unless it's posted. Its like a random weather map algorithm based on sports scores or something On the flip side, 12z gefs was a big step from 6z with its members. There's a couple solutions that might do it and they seem to have different timing in the flow by a day or day and a half. I think 18z gfs was initialized with surface data from the wrong year. So I'm tossin it like the cras. Well, unless its shows snow. Then I'm in. DGEX will be best known for its late JAN. 2010 prediction of 36" of snow on the ground at the end of its range, which was mid FEB, and all of us at Easternwx laughed....but it turned out to be right, of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2014 Author Share Posted January 25, 2014 12z EPS snow output still hangin on with enough members for wed-thurs (9 or showing at least 2") to keep it on the radar. Secondary models like the jma and dgex apparently keep it alive too. 18z gfs/gefs want nothing to do with it. I suppose we have until Sunday night to get a clearer idea of the track if a storm even exists. I keep thinking back to all the previous cold pushes not being as deep into the south as modeled at medium leads. Especially with the gfs but the euro has done it too. No signs of letting up on this cold push so far. Folks in the deep south will be making a run on jackets and gloves. If I was young I would buy a few thousand pairs of cheap wholesale $5 winter gloves and sell them for 20 a pop from the back of a truck and have some minions set up some lemonade style stands in high traffic areas. If the cops harass I'd bribe them with free gloves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Dgex 500mb basically looks like a more amped version of the EURO. Need at least 2 days to see if this has a shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 getting a little nervous....the euro control shows about 4 storms after 192 hours. All 4 are cutters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Ah, I don't mess around wirh facebook much because I waste enough time doing others things already. If Iwas was on facebook I would troll his page incessantly until he comes back around this old self and things.Another week without snow and he'll start to come around if not before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 getting a little nervous....the euro control shows about 4 storms after 192 hours. All 4 are cutters since the euro control's fantasy storms never verify I'd say we're good plus, don't forget how the Euro wants to wind everything up and the fast flow has been king this year I'd say they're right where we want them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Dude you say this every other day OMG, this might be the best setup I've seen in a while. omg1.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Dude you say this every other day I'm not sure he realizes that DC's only had 7-11" so far this year compared to Philly's 30plus.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 OMG 00z NAM h5 at 84!!!! Well not really, but looks like a decent s/w coming into E ID Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 OMG 00z NAM h5 at 84!!!! Well not really, but looks like a decent s/w coming into E ID Actually, there is something to it. It's vastly different than the GFS. But....everybody say it with me...it's the NAM @ 84 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Actually, there is something to it. It's vastly different than the GFS. But....everybody say it with me...it's the NAM @ 84 hours Hey, this winter anything goes. That being said, it is the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Actually, there is something to it. It's vastly different than the GFS. But....everybody say it with me...it's the NAM @ 84 hours Well the point of my post was to troll Icez for a sec... but the NAM at 84 did look decent with s/w... hope GFS comes up with at least one six tonight on the two dice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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