gymengineer Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 How about 1/26/87 and 2/1-2/96. Salisbury probably did good both times, not sure about Norfolk. Both were good for Salisbury but not as good for southern VA, although it looks like Norfolk got some ocean or bay enhancement in 2/2-3/96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Well, for highs in the teens, for DCA it would be more like highs 103 or 104 and above... Been there, done that, experienced the awful sequels...and don't mind if it's years before another sequel is released!! I'd take highs in the teens in mid-winter any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I would go back and have Washington moved to the junction of the Monocacy and Potomac rivers. Yeah, yeah..I know they aren't navigable, but we're talking time machines here... Yeah, if only the people who planned the Capital were snow lovers! Instead, they built it on a swamp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 The hotter the better (in summer) Play a softball double-header in the outfield on one of those days and you might not agree! Especially when the opposing team crushes damn near every pitch out there and you're running all over the place. EDIT: I will say that the cheap beer makes it a tad more bearable! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Cold temps yes but none of the threats look that solid to me...it will take some winter magic to pull that trough back NW to make this a good threat for most of us on Wednesday...I may eat those words though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 that is brutal. I am just a weirdo that loves extreme weather. Back to the topic though. It seems like we are ending this month the right way, coldest temps of the season and multiple threats on the table. Ha! Yeah, it was brutal especially since our team sucked that year so they were hammering the ball everywhere! I agree, extreme weather is very interesting, though I much prefer the snow/cold variety. And yes, on topic...I'm intrigued by the last part of this month in general and the possible event next Wednesday in particular. Interesting that the Euro (and to a lesser extent the GFS?) is giving some nod to that potentially becoming more than a Carolina-only storm. As someone said earlier in here, when's the last time we had a storm that ran the coast? May be nothing in the end, but...well, worth keeping an eye on I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 18z gefs shows 2 hits and some scrapes. One hit looks just like the euro. But only 2 members doesn't give much confidence. But it's a baby step from 12z. OTOH- 18z gefs is very active down the line. Pac moisture opens up and all kinds of various looks. We're on the winning side of some solutions and losing side on others. Regardless, there's a heck of a lot of storminess across the country and lots of moisture. Superbowl sunday is going to get interesting for nyc I have a feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 GFS is always too deep with the troughs at this time range.. expect it to lift north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Cold temps yes but none of the threats look that solid to me...it will take some winter magic to pull that trough back NW to make this a good threat for most of us on Wednesday...I may eat those words though 84 hours before the last event the models barely had a storm, this setup is as good or even better as the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 84 hours before the last event the models barely had a storm, this setup is as good or even better as the last storm. Totally agree with you on that. I'm still quite amazed by how little time we had actually tracking the storm before it came. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Totally agree with you on that. I'm still quite amazed by how little time we had actually tracking the storm before it came.As others have said, those are the best kind, boom or bust. Bob and a select few including myself watched from a bit further out, but most caught on inside 3 days. I love next Wednesday's threat right now. And think for the average model watcher, not laser weenie like Bob, the Wednesday event could have similar offerings. Definitely better than a 10 day devastator, 12/26/10 was tear jerking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 GFS @ 72 hours is already shooting the energy associated with the eventual mid week system farther West, could be interesting this run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 The only snow event of consequence where BWI/DCA received a moderate or better event along with places like SBY and Norfolk I can recall was the 3/1/80 storm which crushed SE VA and eastern NC about as much as Duke crushed by hopes that night when they beat MD by 1 pt in the ACC tournament (and, of course, MD had several chances to win at the end.) I think BWI received around 5" and DCA was probably closer to 7" (I'm sure Wes has a better memory of it in light of my double emotional devastation that night!) Elizabeth City, NC was near 2' and Norfolk was probably closer to 18". I would also note that 79/80 was a neutral ENSO with below temps DEC, FEB & MAR at BWI. Don't forget about the Blizzard of 96. That crushed just about everyone and everything along a line from Charlotte to Greenville, NC and northward, including Salisbury (MD), Norfolk, etc. Obviously, it was a bigger hit for DCA and BWI, but it was still a solid warning criteria event for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 GFS @ 72 hours is already shooting the energy associated with the eventual mid week system farther West, could be interesting this run! Nope. Took a step back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 The only four letter word that I can come up with that's appropriate is fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 Gfs wants none of it. Model war. But kinda close in now. Not thrilled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't see any similarity with what just happened. This thing is much more suppressed to the south and east IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 And........ its gone. It doesn't matter though. Only 1 OP run but I'm sure it will be overanalyzed 6-7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't see any similarity with what just happened. This thing is much more suppressed to the south and east IMO plenty of time this was the 120 hr. forecast from the GFS on 2/1/10 so expect it to change between now and Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Njwinter Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 The model of choice for the Wednesday/Thursday store will be the Euro. The GFS will be up to its usual tricks and won't latch on until Saturday or Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Anyone staying up for 6z happy hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't see any similarity with what just happened. This thing is much more suppressed to the south and east IMO Still a long way to go however I tend to agree with you. The last kinda blew up and coincided along with the arctic intrusion. This one looks a lot harder to time with the new arctic air mass that comes in on Mon. night and Tues. By late Tues. and early Wed. morning the air mass is deeply entrenched so it seems OTS or offshore development is more likely but who knows. Still always hope for the best and know drastic changes can happen in a short period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Anyone staying up for 6z happy hour? at my age, I can't even make it for 6pm happy hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't see any similarity with what just happened. This thing is much more suppressed to the south and east IMO North trends only happen when they screw us -Ji last Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 Worst run of the gfs this winter. Sucks all the way to crayola crayon truncation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Worst run of the gfs this winter. Sucks all the way to crayola crayon truncation Ji you hijacked Chill's account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 At least we get dumped on after the superbowl. Too bad its rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Storm that did hit had cold air source from low pressure way to north/ne. This is high pressure cold and better chance to be suppressive. These are lot of fun to watch; waiting on is high too strong or just right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 At least we get dumped on after the superbowl. Too bad its rain As long as it's mostly clear with temps dropping through the 20s and light winds for the Super Bowl. Because that's my 10 Day SuperCast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Not too optimistic for the Wed-Thu chances but we do have time for things to change. With huge area of arctic HP to our west and the broad look to the trough, hard to imagine getting a storm close enough to the coast to have any affect on our weather. Euro was the only model really showing anything and now it looks at best a glancing blow for immediate coast. Model mayhem and NW trends commence by Sunday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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