snow. Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Anyone get a look at the Euro Ensembles yet? They have the event...mean is similar to euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2014 Author Share Posted January 23, 2014 They have the event...mean is similar to euro Big step in 12 hours though. Ens look very much like the op considering the lead. Big signal for east NC snow. I think we're .15 on the means and uniform step up to the se. We may back our way into this one. Only 3 ind members showed a hit @ 0z. Looking forward to the member output in a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 They have the event...mean is similar to euro Well that's a start, plenty of time for this thing to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 is the JMA broken or have they fixed it? Its hasnt shown any big storms this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 is the JMA broken or have they fixed it? Its hasnt shown any big storms this year Maybe that means they did fix it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 is the JMA broken or have they fixed it? Its hasnt shown any big storms this year it was one of the earliest models to the 1/2 party so that's not all together accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2014 Author Share Posted January 23, 2014 18z gfs practically identical to 12z run. Maybe the tiniest of better looks @ h5 on the front. But at least it wasn't a step in reverse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2014 Author Share Posted January 23, 2014 Wow, euro ind members are starting to really like next wed-thurs. Half the members show accum snow @ dca. 13 @ 2+" and looks like 8 or so are 5". Biggest hit is 10" from what I'm seeing. DCA is close to 2" on the means. Big jump from last night. ETA for snowdude: SBY has 16 members @ 6"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 I'm in. Until I'm out again. Have fun with that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Are the EPS related to the EURO? Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 25m Even more amazing, half of EPS ensembles go for major 6-12'' snowfall along Atlantic coast from Georgia into Carolinas Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 28m Wow, the snowfall forecasts for Gulf Coast including Tallahassee, Jax & Gainesville more legit -- EPS members 50/50 on > 1'' accums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2014 Author Share Posted January 23, 2014 Yes, EPS is the euro ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 18z dgex - cyclogenesis remains off the coast, but it's there...very frigid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 hmmm, 5-6 days out and GFS is off the coast, but with the last 3 runs trending better, and the Euro shows a minor hit with ensemble members suggestive of a light to mod event how can we not like where we are at this point....and forget him, he's the exception Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 The only snow event of consequence where BWI/DCA received a moderate or better event along with places like SBY and Norfolk I can recall was the 3/1/80 storm which crushed SE VA and eastern NC about as much as Duke crushed by hopes that night when they beat MD by 1 pt in the ACC tournament (and, of course, MD had several chances to win at the end.) I think BWI received around 5" and DCA was probably closer to 7" (I'm sure Wes has a better memory of it in light of my double emotional devastation that night!) Elizabeth City, NC was near 2' and Norfolk was probably closer to 18". I would also note that 79/80 was a neutral ENSO with below temps DEC, FEB & MAR at BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 The only snow event of consequence where BWI/DCA received a moderate or better event along with places like SBY and Norfolk I can recall was the 3/1/80 storm which crushed SE VA and eastern NC about as much as Duke crushed by hopes that night when they beat MD by 1 pt in the ACC tournament (and, of course, MD had several chances to win at the end.) I think BWI received around 5" and DCA was probably closer to 7" (I'm sure Wes has a better memory of it in light of my double emotional devastation that night!) Elizabeth City, NC was near 2' and Norfolk was probably closer to 18". I would also note that 79/80 was a neutral ENSO with below temps DEC, FEB & MAR at BWI. That and January 1940..... 1/02 was kind of close but not really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 The only snow event of consequence where BWI/DCA received a moderate or better event along with places like SBY and Norfolk I can recall was the 3/1/80 storm which crushed SE VA and eastern NC about as much as Duke crushed by hopes that night when they beat MD by 1 pt in the ACC tournament (and, of course, MD had several chances to win at the end.) I think BWI received around 5" and DCA was probably closer to 7" (I'm sure Wes has a better memory of it in light of my double emotional devastation that night!) Elizabeth City, NC was near 2' and Norfolk was probably closer to 18". I would also note that 79/80 was a neutral ENSO with below temps DEC, FEB & MAR at BWI. That and January 1940..... 1/02 was kind of close but not really. 1899 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 1/25/00 gave SBY and Norfolk decent snows, right? The snowfall map I'm looking at shows them in the 1-4" or 4-10" contours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 1899 1/1857? Greater than a foot from NC through New England, including Norfolk, peaking around 2 feet in the DC/Baltimore area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 1/1857? Greater than a foot from NC through New England, including Norfolk, peaking around 2 feet in the DC/Baltimore area... we need a time machine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 1/1857? Greater than a foot from NC through New England, including Norfolk, peaking around 2 feet in the DC/Baltimore area... I will travel back to the Washington-Jefferson storm... rumored 3 feet around DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 I didn't move here from Norfolk to see them get snow blasted. Otherwise I may see how you guys felt DEC. 26, 2010 when I was in Norfolk getting snow blasted ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 we need a time machine Can you imagine what a repeat of 1899 would be like on this board? Temps below zero all the way down to Florida, temps in the negative teens here. The blizzard itself: >12" of snow from central SC all the way through Maine, >4" across MS, AL, GA, and SC, 2-3" across southern LA through to northern FL... 50+ mph gusts with temps in the single digits during the peak of the blizzard in DC.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 This current cold snap is equivalent to what in the summer time? days with highs in the teens = 100? highs in the 20s = 95-99? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 1/25/00 gave SBY and Norfolk decent snows, right? The snowfall map I'm looking at shows them in the 1-4" or 4-10" contours. I don't think SBY did very well and the coastal areas that the models are currently depicting to do well next week did not do well with it http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20000125/ the Euro map sort of peaked my interest in the chances of SE VA and eastern NC doing well along with us since there is enough cold air around next week, unlike most times with only a few other storms mentioned, it is pretty rare, though obviously not impossible, for DCA/BWI to score well along with the beach areas of VA and NC if it's going to happen, next week probably presents the best chances for snowfall over a wide area of the SE and the MA in a very long time I'd like to see it happen, but odds still favor somebody getting screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2014 Author Share Posted January 23, 2014 we need a time machine I've been searching for satellite pics from after the storms but I can't find any and I'm not sure why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Fringed again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 we need a time machine I would go back and have Washington moved to the junction of the Monocacy and Potomac rivers. Yeah, yeah..I know they aren't navigable, but we're talking time machines here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I've been searching for satellite pics from after the storms but I can't find any and I'm not sure why. They are archived along with the great eastern blizzard that dumped 62 inches on Baltimore in 1044. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 The only snow event of consequence where BWI/DCA received a moderate or better event along with places like SBY and Norfolk I can recall was the 3/1/80 storm which crushed SE VA and eastern NC about as much as Duke crushed by hopes that night when they beat MD by 1 pt in the ACC tournament (and, of course, MD had several chances to win at the end.) I think BWI received around 5" and DCA was probably closer to 7" (I'm sure Wes has a better memory of it in light of my double emotional devastation that night!) Elizabeth City, NC was near 2' and Norfolk was probably closer to 18". I would also note that 79/80 was a neutral ENSO with below temps DEC, FEB & MAR at BWI. That and January 1940..... 1/02 was kind of close but not really. How about 1/26/87 and 2/1-2/96. Salisbury probably did good both times, not sure about Norfolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 This current cold snap is equivalent to what in the summer time? days with highs in the teens = 100? highs in the 20s = 95-99? Well, for highs in the teens, for DCA it would be more like highs 103 or 104 and above... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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