yoda Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GEFS Day 7 mean h5 is silly https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/425144558565859328/photo/1 HUGE ridge out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Gefs and euro ensembles now at odds in the lr. Gefs has flipped to aob door to door and euro aoa d12+. Euro ens mean has gotten a good bit wetter d11-15 compared to previous. Euro is far from a torch but the means favor trough west/ridge east. -epo signal is strong and looks to go nowhere. Main difference is the euro lowers heights more in the nw and eastern goa and raises heights downstream in our neck. Imo- even if the euro is right it will be a transient pattern. We've seen this a couple times already and the east flipped back to a more wintry lw pattern pretty quickly. If the gefs is right then we won't waste much of our prime climo. Good stuff either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS looking like it wants to try again this coming weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS is a train of storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS is a train of storms one of the coldest 384 runs Ive ever seen. I wonder what caused it to blowtorch on saturday runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS is a train of storms Ens members have been looking like that for a while. Not all are snow but virtually every member has been showing one or more prolific precip maker per run.Without Atlantic help we will prob get a cutter/runner but potential on the heels of one of those as long as we don't lose the Pac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Best normal winter ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Best normal winter ever Until 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 euro also has several nice events and chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 euro also has several nice events and chances i see a bunch of .01s through 168 but that could change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 i see a bunch of .01s through 168 but that could change there is a 0.25-ish event toward the end of the run...plus like a 0.05 or somethin at 192 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 How is the weekend event looking? Or has it become non-existent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 How is the weekend event looking? Or has it become non-existent? probably wont know till Thursday/Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 18z is only out to Thursday on the model I have access to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 probably wont know till Thursday/Friday Very true. Showing the storm now is a bad sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 How is the weekend event looking? Or has it become non-existent? Actually something in the gulf, but stays way way south and slides OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 lots of snow chances on the GFS including Super BOwl Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 It appears that we will be getting a normal to above normal winter without any -NAO this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 It appears that we will be getting a normal to above normal winter without any -NAO this season After tomorrow's storm i should be above normal and it is only Jan 21st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 6z GFS shows a potential northern stream bowling ball next Monday/Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Another frigid run of the GFS. This upcoming 10 day period in terms of cold is getting lost with the current storm. Looks to be the coldest stretch relative to averages since Feb. 2007. May end up challenging some of the coldest periods we've ever seen since the 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 According to this site, BWI after this morning around 33, doesn't get above 30 degrees through the entire run! http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kbwi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 EURO shows a beastly low Day 9-10, great pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 EURO shows a beastly low Day 9-10, great pattern. What does this mean....details Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 What does this mean....details Verbatim its a convoluted track. It starts moving up way too far West for our liking but then moves sideways and forms a miller a type low off sc coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Verbatim its a convoluted track. It starts moving up way too far West for our liking but then moves sideways and forms a miller a type low off sc coast. In other words not likely to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Verbatim its a convoluted track. It starts moving up way too far West for our liking but then moves sideways and forms a miller a type low off sc coast. Fast eastward moving Miller B, so it's too far west and too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 Fast eastward moving Miller B, so it's too far west and too far east. It's bizarre imo. It's like a midwest to gulf transfer and then reform off the east coast. RR, we may get a coastal but prob not like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 It's bizarre imo. It's like a midwest to gulf transfer and then reform off the east coast. RR, we may get a coastal but prob not like that. looks like a chance or 2 at minor stuff before then or am I wrong reading those horrendous free maps proving all the more "you get what you pay for" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Verbatim its a convoluted track. It starts moving up way too far West for our liking but then moves sideways and forms a miller a type low off sc coast. The convoluted that is because of the big vortex that is located near James Bay which produced confluence that forces the storm to redevelop. Move that vortex and the evolution would be way different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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