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Late January - Early February Pattern Discussion


Bob Chill

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I'm slow on the uptake, that's my excuse.....kind of dumb about a lot of things.

I wasn't referring to you. There are a lot of threads it's confusing I guess but some are more interested in naming stuff than paying attention. Whatever. Stupid to be frustrated with.
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except its on the leading edge of the arctic air and the first post shows the Tuesday low. Honestly I don't care and the discussion is annoying me for some reason so I'll just turn it back to a pure cold discussion if it's easier.

You're a social media guru - you should know you need to make things obvious in like eight characters or less.

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I wasn't referring to you. There are a lot of threads it's confusing I guess but some are more interested in naming stuff than paying attention. Whatever. Stupid to be frustrated with.

I'm actually sort of the blame for the slipper thread as I noted Minnesota didn't know where to put the discussion nor did I.   I didn't think you were referring to me but I was confused so you could have been. 

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I'm actually sort of the blame for the slipper thread as I noted Minnesota didn't know where to put the discussion nor did I.   I didn't think you were referring to me but I was confused so you could have been. 

The only time you are to blame around here is when we do not get snow  :yikes: .

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I'm actually sort of the blame for the slipper thread as I noted Minnesota didn't know where to put the discussion nor did I.   I didn't think you were referring to me but I was confused so you could have been. 

Naa, I'd never blame you even if something was your fault. ;)

 

This wasn't though. No one's really.. though I still think it was fairly clear for anyone who looked in there.  Perhaps discussing snow and a week of cold in one thread doesn't make sense anyway. 

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Naa, I'd never blame you even if something was your fault. ;)

This wasn't though. No one's really.. though I still think it was fairly clear for anyone who looked in there. Perhaps discussing snow and a week of cold in one thread doesn't make sense anyway.

Yeah, I thought that one was more of a cold obs thread .

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I enjoy reading your posts. You are realistic yet optimistic. I was going to post something to this effect back in December; between you and some of the other regular contributors, the clarity of analysis is excellent. I have learned more about weather in our area this winter than any other by reading your posts, usetobe's posts and articles, and then looking at the models for myself. So thanks to you and everyone else who makes this forum excellent.

Good post. I agree

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Today's day 8 super ensemble analogs still popping up some interesting dates. The feb 2003 and feb 2006 storms show up. Feb 1996 is in there also. Some dates with close misses as well. Just means there is potential. Also nice to see the op gfs lose the pacific torch in the long range. Good trends.

Just took a moment in a busy day to scan the 12z gefs. No torch. Just a relaxation in height patterns. Epo reload is prob in the cards. Big cold anoms building is western Canada at the end of the run. Might be another Dec type pattern emerging. Just a wag and its lala.

850 means not bad. Keeps 0 line south the whole time here. Could be setting us up for mixed bangers down the line but just a hunch based on what we've seen all winter. I'm not negative on the pattern. Next weekend still in play.

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"torch" is all but gone in the lr. Looks active in the storm dept but rain is definitely on the table. Ens members still show plenty of amplified solutions. No long duration big warm or big cold solutions. Fine with me. Fair number of ns possibilites through day 10. Some show ss interaction but I'll believe that when I see it. Overall trends are pretty good. Think we'll be in track mode for a couple weeks and hopefully beyond.

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