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January 18-19th "Threat"


jamesnichols1989

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RGEM is a 495 punisher too...this could end up being a pretty sneaky high impact from ORH hills over to Ray's area.

 

Beginning to have that look. 

 

I'm shocked at how cold the GFS has trended. From a solid rain sounding to a solid snow sounding at BDL from the 12z run to the 00z run. Very impressive trend. 

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850mb temps are all below freezing throughout the event and region, so if we get enough dynamical cooling to take place I think we can get snow even for here, now 925mb temps may have a say in the overall outcome of the event down here, and SErly surface low cuts off sooner as the better precip arrives as the eastern most surface low takes off.

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