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January 18-19th "Threat"


jamesnichols1989

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Wow, 18z GFS is definitely at least advisory snows north of the pike in the interior...close to warning snows near the NH border. Something to really keep an eye on.

 

Got back from the gym and went "whoa!" It's got .6" melted equiv thump at my pad.  Not sure where that is coming from, but it comes fast on this run...Like 2.25" per hour snowfall for just under 3 hours.   That would actually cause a few problems...

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Remember his "innocuous" post the other day.." Hey guys , what date did we have a T last week, I forgot to log it". Then he puts it down as a half inch. Lol. Gotta make sure we include all dustings

It was a legit half inch.  I had like 0.4" here.  My side street was covered through Saturday morning.

 

And he registered it as a "T" anyway.  

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GFS looks the best up here, over .6" QPF

SREF mean looks like about .6 as well with snow under 6" so at least that guidance, poor ratios below 10-1

 

 

I actually think ratios will be OK where sfc temps are below freezing. If you're 32-33F then yeah, there will be some muck issues.

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I was suprised that The Rent was so low. lol

 

 

Too bad my trip to Bath will consist of only a couple inches per that map.  Hopefully things will trend cooler.

 

Both The Rent and Brainard are in the flood plain of the Connecticut River... both are protected by levees. Not sure why Kevin expected them to be higher lol. 

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