weathafella Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Lakes region gets whacked nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 So verbatim there would definitely be problems for someone trying to drive from MHT to ORH late morning tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Its on, Looks like a low warning event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Nice run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Its on, Looks like a low warning event Tenuous... a little wiggle here, a forky fart there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Boundary layer warmth is an issue along the coastal plain, but during the afternoon hours a fairly robust frontogenic suggestion would erupt a burts of light to moderate snow N or the Pike and west of I-95. Looks like that could be a snowy late afternoon scene, with butterscotch evening skies and snow falling in the street lamps before ending later one. 2 ...maybe some 3" amts? Tricky though... when we get into meso- type stuff, there can be prodigious results here and there. That's the appeal on this thing for me. I am not concerned so much with a 40F entrance into this thing, because DP/wet bulbing into a column that is less than 540dm thickness is probably good for snowing into a shallow warm layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 So verbatim there would definitely be problems for someone trying to drive from MHT to ORH late morning tomorrow? Yeah if you get into some of those heavier bursts...I-495 between 290 and Rt 3 might get a little dicey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Boundary layer warmth is an issue along the coastal plain, but during the afternoon hours a fairly robust frontogenic suggestion would erupt a burts of light to moderate snow N or the Pike and west of I-95. Looks like that could be a snowy late afternoon scene, with butterscotch evening and snow falling in the street lamps before ending later one. 2 ...maybe some 3" amts? Tricky though... when we get into meso- type stuff, there can be prodigious results here and there. That's the appeal on this thing for me. I am not concerned so much with a 40F entrance into this thing, because DP/wet bulb in a column that is less than 540dm thickness is probably good for snowing into a shallow warm layer. Ugh...Two towns too far to the west for the heavy band in the Jan 2-3 deal, not 1-2 towns too far east for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Yeah that's nice looking. That's pretty good for like Rays area over to ORH hills and up into S NH. It did cool from the 00z run. BOS is at freezing at 12z tomorrow, so there could be at least flakes in the air right into the city...at least early on in the morning. Even Kevin prob gets an inch in the morning. We'll see...gravy, anyway. Fun ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Nice run. 2-4,3-6" type deal for the Lakes Region? We need about 8" to get the snowmobile trails back open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I'll take an inch or 2 and run. That's all I ask for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I'll take an inch or 2 and run. That's all I ask for You might get it, though it could melt a bit in the afternoon there if precip shuts off down that way. But I think you'll be snowing tomorrow AM for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Yeah if you get into some of those heavier bursts...I-495 between 290 and Rt 3 might get a little dicey.Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I have the wiggle room of fat Albert in a Volkswagen gulf in melrose tomm am. I consider catpaws a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Could be a situation where the higher elevated area of shrewsbury could do well tomorrow whereas the rt 9 area does poorly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 You might get it, though it could melt a bit in the afternoon there if precip shuts off down that way. But I think you'll be snowing tomorrow AM for a few hours.Nice. Just get me the ground whitened up. Hopefully you guys can grab 3 or 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Ugh...Two towns too far to the west for the heavy band in the Jan 2-3 deal, not 1-2 towns too far east for this Well ... I also mean that as, 'should it get that warm' Frankly I think for a [partially] clear overnight with cloud deck running over at dawn is a pretty clear indication for "cold capping" and a chance that the models are warming the 1300m depth too much during the morning, tomorrow. We'll see... just a sneakin' stupidstition. Sometimes I dream up those types of idiosyncrasies and they are correct, other times ...heh, not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Could be a situation where the higher elevated area of shrewsbury could do well tomorrow whereas the rt 9 area does poorly.Rt 9 is very up and down. I believe it gets near 600' and as low as 350'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Kevin it's close. 925mb is 0C for you at 12z. Cools slightly through 18z. You are gonna need a decent band I think for an inch or two. You'll probably get some minor accumulations although grass might show by 4pm...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Kevin it's close. 925mb is 0C for you at 12z. Cools slightly through 18z. You are gonna need a decent band I think for an inch or two. You'll probably get some minor accumulations although grass might show by 4pm...lol. How 'bout the impulse coming over the boarder at 120! wow... wonder what that's slated to do - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 How 'bout the impulse coming over the boarder at 120! wow... wonder what that's slated to do - Move over to the pattern thread and find out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 How 'bout the impulse coming over the boarder at 120! wow... wonder what that's slated to do - Well, at 144, it is getting ready to...hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Kevin it's close. 925mb is 0C for you at 12z. Cools slightly through 18z. You are gonna need a decent band I think for an inch or two. You'll probably get some minor accumulations although grass might show by 4pm...lol.well then I'm only 85% invested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 well then I'm only 85% invested Well if it's an inch you want then invest away. Hopefully lift is sufficient or it's curtains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Well if it's an inch you want then invest away. Hopefully lift is sufficient or it's curtains. Hopefully he doesn't have to add a chapter into the "Tolland Horrors of Winter" chronicles...behind Dec 20, 2007 norlun, MLK storm 2010, Feb 24, 2013 inverted trough if Ray or ORH gets 4-5" of large aggregate paste and its cat paws or slushy coating in Tolland with 36F sunshine poking out of the clouds in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 BTV must be yanking my chain. This would be the second largest "snowstorm" of the season, aside from the 6" sometime in mid-Dec, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Looking at gfs, that is a solid thump in emass 6-11am. Maybe it moves around a bit, but 6-9Am, i could see this as snowfall in boston, if things break right, there is....potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I like seeing 100 joules of CAPE on the NAM soundings. Wiz doesn't even get those for some of high high shear/low CAPE days. That said... boy it's toasty post-12z. Rain even for Tolland. Hopefully an early thump where things are just cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I like seeing 100 joules of CAPE on the NAM soundings. Wiz doesn't even get those for some of high high shear/low CAPE days. That said... boy it's toasty post-12z. Rain even for Tolland. Hopefully an early thump where things are just cold enough. Met questions, where is that warmth generated from, upper air is cold, saturated column then mixes it up, how does the BL warm up so quickly with clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Met questions, where is that warmth generated from, upper air is cold, saturated column then mixes it up, how does the BL warm up so quickly with clouds. Flow strengthens out of the southeast especially just off the deck. Looks warmest around 950mb. Mini torch there getting advected in from ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.