jamesnichols1989 Posted January 17, 2014 Author Share Posted January 17, 2014 NAM trending better at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 NAM trending better at H5. For real? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 That's a funky run for SE MA as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 17, 2014 Author Share Posted January 17, 2014 For real? Especially with the H5 vort and norlun trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 17, 2014 Author Share Posted January 17, 2014 Do I trust it, not at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Its sad when you have to hang your hat on a potential IVT for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 NAM is interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 meh BL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 NAM is crazy unstable...but its pretty warm in the BL...warmer than previous guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Beware the warm tongue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Its sad when you have to hang your hat on a potential IVT for snowwell that's not an INVT for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 well that's not an INVT for youIt's not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 That said, I don't think Ive ever really seen rain at ORH with 528 thicknesses when any sort of steadier/heavy precip was falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 NAM is interesting Boundary layer is torched for virtually everyone until the precip is shut off on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 That said, I don't think Ive ever really seen rain at ORH with 528 thicknesses when any sort of steadier/heavy precip was falling. It is a dynamical cooling set up if you could get the precip heavy enough. Questionable! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 More jan rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Boundary layer is torched for virtually everyone until the precip is shut off on the NAMI will take my chances with -6 850and decent rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 That said, I don't think Ive ever really seen rain at ORH with 528 thicknesses when any sort of steadier/heavy precip was falling.Probably one of those 34-36F deals in lulls and then quick drops to 32F with the heavier bursts. Of course assuming the NAM is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 It's not?surface circulation in Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I will take my chances with -6 850and decent rates Se flow and near coast i wouldnt for se / e ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Probably one of those 34-36F deals in lulls and then quick drops to 32F with the heavier bursts. Of course assuming the NAM is right. Even the 850-1000 thicknesses are freezing cold. I think it snows but probably not stick---ground will still be warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 well that's not an INVT for you The circulation is over canada its an IVT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Kind of reminds me of a March set up where the BL is torched b/c of sun angle, but aloft is freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 surface circulation in Maine?The main sfc low tracks well offshore. We get the inverted trough hanging back with mesolows along it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Probably one of those 34-36F deals in lulls and then quick drops to 32F with the heavier bursts. Of course assuming the NAM is right. If it can be snow, then someone could get a surprise on a NAM-esque setup. That is crazy unstable. Like TTs near 60! Definite norlun forming by 45 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I see it torched south of here, But not here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 congrats NNE...start the pack re-build. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Face value it looks like rain, but if there is sustained intense precip even the coast would flip later on. But it's the NAM..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 The circulation is over canada its an IVTwas looking at 7h, Total totals 53, should be fun if true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 2m temps on nam are low 40's thru 10pm along 128...mid January Wet bulbs at least get around 32 by 7pm. Are we really gonna be that mild if we get precip along 128 belt, i dont buy that, unless se flow is strong Enuf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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