Jonger Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Gaylord is really gunning for that record year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 MKX updated their map. RGEM is really wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 18z GFS even further south...MKE does good. Edit: sfc low placement still similar, just heavier precip a tad south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 18z GFS even further south...MKE does good. Edit: sfc low placement still similar, just heavier precip a tad south. Sounds like a Saukville special.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 wetter run across northeast IL/southeast WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Sounds like a Saukville special.. Indeed. Looking good for 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 This system is quickly getting quite impressive via the latest NAM/RAP trends picking up on a stronger and slightly south track. Could be a 6-10" band in WI with some TSSN further south with the WAA snows early tomorrow Should I bust out the TT index again? Environment looks good for some heavy bursts even south of the low track and some of the simulated reflectivity progs certainly support that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Should I bust out the TT index again? Environment looks good for some heavy bursts even south of the low track and some of the simulated reflectivity progs certainly support that. Feel free! LOT did mention some instability and heavier bursts possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Was thinking 1-2" this morning, but think I'll go with 1.2" last call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 DVN mentioning possible thunder with a burst of heavy snow in eastern Iowa overnight. We could get a quick inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 DVN mentioning possible thunder with a burst of heavy snow in eastern Iowa overnight. We could get a quick inch. Just noticed that as well. LOCAL TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES ALL SUGGEST NORTHERN 1/2 OF AREA THE BIGGEST AFFECTED WITH ISOLATED THUNDER POSSIBLE WITH LOBE ON INTENSE BUT NARROW SNOW BAND PASSING TOWARD MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 lol @ the point for here tomorrow. Thunder mentioned yet less than an inch of snow. Don't see that very often. Tuesday Snow before 8am, then snow likely between 8am and 10am, then patchy blowing snow and a chance of snow after 10am. Some thunder is also possible. Temperature rising to near 33 by 8am, then falling to around 26 during the remainder of the day. Windy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest 25 to 30 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 No mention of thunder, but the accum's went up. Snow likely before 9am, then snow with areas of blowing snow between 9am and 3pm, then snow likely with areas of blowing snow after 3pm. High near 34. Breezy, with a south wind 10 to 20 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 MKX is favoring the wetter runs. Warning now. 4km NAM 4km NAM also shows a 6-8" inch area between Muskegon and the Saginaw Bay, also a spot on the Traverse City area. For lake effect off Lake Michigan, it shows just Berrien County and South Bend. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4US_18z/snow60.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 4km NAM also shows a 6-8" inch area between Muskegon and the Saginaw Bay, also a spot on the Traverse City area. For lake effect off Lake Michigan, it shows just Berrien County and South Bend. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4US_18z/snow60.gif Surprised GRR hasn't expanded advisories southwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Here's what LOT had to say about the instability ..... MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS ALSO HINT AT THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL AREA OF CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY IN THE LOWER LEVELS UNDER THE LARGER INVERSION...WHICH WITH THE UNIDIRECTIONAL NORTHWEST BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS MAY SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF HORIZONTAL CONVECTIVE ROLLS AND AREAS OF LOCALLY HEAVIER SNOW TOMORROW AFTERNOON. OVERALL THE AIRMASS DOES NOT LOOK ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR THERMALLY ENHANCED SNOW GROWTH...WITH NO PARTICULARLY DEEP DGZ OVER A BROAD AREA...BUT LOCAL CONVECTIVE EFFECTS COULD ENHANCE THINGS ON THE MESOSCALE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Surprised GRR hasn't expanded advisories southwards. Very typical. I swear they are scared to issue advisories or warnings for Muskegon County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 It looks like the Thursday system might also have some instability to play with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Very typical. I swear they are scared to issue advisories or warnings for Muskegon County. Can't help but chuckle when I look at the NWS homepage and see damn near the entire state of Wisconsin covered with WWA's and two rows in the NRN GRR CWA. Haha oh well. At least we're ahead of the game and have a HWO while DTX has nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Can't help but chuckle when I look at the NWS homepage and see damn near the entire state of Wisconsin covered with WWA's and two rows in the NRN GRR CWA. Haha oh well. At least we're ahead of the game and have a HWO while DTX has nothing. Haha...yeah, much of the part of WI that is right across the lake from us has Warnings. GRR will wait til we have six inches, like they normally do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 I'll go with 2.4" ORD for tonight-tomorrow's system. The snow that is left is going to get rock solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 pretty much zero snow left here...b2b 12"ers were obliterated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 It's going to need to snow at least a couple inches to cover up the bare spots showing up here. If it gets above freezing again next week, the snow cover depletion will start right where it left off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 pretty much zero snow left here...b2b 12"ers were obliteratedit's your fault we had the thaw. you said you were sick of it already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 it's your fault we had the thaw. you said you were sick of it already. As long as he doesn't whine about it in the complaint thread, we're all good. He just pointed it out. If you lived in a non-LE belt area west of Michigan, you would probably think the same. Some areas in the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest go through periods of little to no snow and consistent cold, dry weather, the likes of which you rarely see in NW LM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 it's your fault we had the thaw. you said you were sick of it already. it really has been much more pleasant...the snow bug is gone and i'm ready for spring (or another big dog) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 it really has been much more pleasant...the snow bug is gone and i'm ready for spring (or another big dog)I'd love to play you in poker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I'd love to play you in poker. i'm hot and cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 i'm hot and coldall or nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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