Chicago Storm Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 Do you guys think the Chicago Lake Effect deserves its own thread? Would be nice to clear up clutter. No, especially since some is synoptic. Its not really cluttered. There's only one event ongoing and the thread ends with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Just under an inch with SN. Snow has completely transitioned from sand like to high ratio fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 real deal lake band increasingly evident on radar and pushing rapidly west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 See the LOT radar is in good ol' VCP 31 again. What's it take to for them to switch to 12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Snow intensity has increased here. LES seems to have made its move inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 settin' up nicely.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Can really start to see the band now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Graphical Now-cast shows a WWA for portions of SE LOT....but I'm not seeing anything on it anywhere...anybody else see it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Temp is 53 now...forecast of 1.5 inches of snow tonight53, Jesus!Haven't had that since early to mid November It's 2℉ up here in the yoop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Looks like some really nice les about to come on shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Just like the past few events, radar returns around here are meh...But it's a decent -SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 4-6" seems like a good floor at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 4-6" seems like a good floor at this point. I'm thinking we could break 6 down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I'm thinking we could break 6 down here. for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 high end SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 high end SN Was just going to say returns rapidly increasing and you're about to get hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Pretty nasty over here. I had 1.1" at 7:30pm. It has been snowing steadily since then, but now the wind is blowing fairly hard. There are big drifts over my driveway. I'm not sure if I'll be able to get an accurate total. They probably should have issued an advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Was just going to say returns rapidly increasing and you're about to get hammered. staying up just to see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 1.4" through 9pm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Was just going to say returns rapidly increasing and you're about to get hammered. About 1" down with at least 4-5 hours of good snow to go based on the most conservative modeling. Should be a good event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 About 1" down with at least 4-5 hours of good snow to go based on the most conservative modeling. Should be a good event. It does seem to be organizing a bit more quickly than models suggested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 probably about .8 inches here after several measurements in somewhat protected areas....wind has been kickin' the last 3 hours or so...decent SN at the moment and for the last hour or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 It does seem to be organizing a bit more quickly than models suggested. RAP runs this afternoon were hinting at a little bonus enhancement before the main band got going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATEDNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL910 PM CST MON JAN 20 2014.DISCUSSION...905 PM CSTWILL BE ISSUING A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR LAKE COUNTY ANDREORIENTING THE FORECAST SNOW MAXIMA SLIGHTLY MORENORTHWEST...INCLUDING MORE OF EASTERN COOK COUNTY.LAKE EFFECT SETUP ALREADY HAS TAKEN SHAPE WITH -22C AIR AT 850MB ASSEEN ON THE 00Z GRB SOUNDING PROGRESSING QUICKLY DOWN THE LAKE. SNOWSHOWERS...MAINLY UNFOCUSED...ARE MOVING INTO THE NE IL AND THE LAKECOUNTY IN SHORE AT THIS HOUR...WHILE A WELL-DEFINED BAND IS SEEN ONTHE MKE TERMINAL DOPPLER RADAR OVER MID-LAKE...WITH UP TO 30 DBZINDICATIVE OF MODERATE-HEAVY SNOW. THE TREND ON THIS BAND HAS BEENTO EVOLVE ITS WAY SOUTHWEST AND TRAJECTORIES WOULD INDICATEINTO THE SOUTHEAST LAKE COUNTY SHORE/NORTHEAST COOK COUNTY SHORE BY10-11 PM.OBSERVATIONS ON LAND HAVE BEEN SLOWLY TRENDING TOWARD BETTERCONVERGENCE...LIKE THERE PRESUMABLY IS OVER THE LAKE...BUT IS STILLSOMEWHAT ILL-DEFINED ON SHORE. SO CONFIDENCE IS NOT THAT GREAT ONHOW LONG THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL PERSIST INTOEASTERN/SOUTHEASTERN LAKE COUNTY AND HIGH RES GUIDANCE INDICATES ATREND TO GRADUALLY SHIFT THIS MORE SO INTO COOK COUNTY BY THE MIDDLEOF OVERNIGHT. BUT EVEN SO WITH THE RADAR TRENDS AND THE FORECASTINSTABILITY MENTIONED IN PREV AFD STILL SEEN ON LATEST SHORT TERMGUIDANCE...FEEL THAT A QUICK BURST OF THREE PLUS INCHES CERTAINLYCOULD BE SEEN IN SOUTHEAST LAKE.AS FOR EASTERN COOK COUNTY...TRENDS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THEPRIMARY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND DIRECTED INTO CHICAGO FOR SEVERALHOURS IF NOT THE ENTIRE OVERNIGHT. THIS ALONG WITH THE FACT OFONGOING SNOW SHOWERS HAS LED TO A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SNOWFALLAMOUNTS...BUT NOT BY MUCH SIMPLY DUE TO THE WIDTH OF THE BAND BEINGVERY NARROW AND UNDULATIONS REMAINING LIKELY.NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE WATCH FOR PORTER COUNTY ASUNCERTAINTY REMAINS FOR HOW QUICKLY AND HOW FAR EAST THE LAKE EFFECTSNOW WILL MOVE TUESDAY.AS FOR AREAS FURTHER SOUTH...LIGHT SNOW WITH THE SHORT WAVE ANDSYNOPTIC MID-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL CONTINUE INTOOVERNIGHT...WITH ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AROUND AN INCH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Good snow falling here in Elmwood Park. Considering I'm 13 miles NW of the heart of downtown Chicago & the fickleness of LES, I'm gonna enjoy this as long as I've got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Quality snow coming onshore about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Eastern Cook looking great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Got a ratio of about 15:1. Top layer was definitely more fluffy then what fell before 7pm. Officially above average for the season now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Given radar returns over southern Lake Michigan and the possibility of the band stalling over Chicago overnight, this has a chance to turn into something pretty epic by Chicago LES standards. Sure there's the little bit of system snow but this is going to be almost all lake effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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