A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 maybe....interested to see the trend on the RAP for forecasted strength/placement of LP throughout the day... You should have some sweet views of the plumage over the lake from the office tomorrow....I forget what direction you face though we have a full floor so i can get views all directions but the view is largely obstructed with buildings to the east, although there are a few places I can see all the way to the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Can anyone in the Chicago area remember what the largest LES event at one time was for them? Just curious as how often the other side of the big lake gets any decent LES? I wouldn't think it occurs to often, I do know areas toward the southern tip towards Gary on east happens more frequently compared to Chicago direction. Can't remember if it was January or February 2005 or 2006. But we had 6-7" of synoptic snow and 6-9" LES. Wrigleyville had 16-18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Can anyone in the Chicago area remember what the largest LES event at one time was for them? Just curious as how often the other side of the big lake gets any decent LES? I wouldn't think it occurs to often, I do know areas toward the southern tip towards Gary on east happens more frequently compared to Chicago direction. [/quote CHI LE events never live up to the hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Can't remember if it was January or February 2005 or 2006. But we had 6-7" of synoptic snow and 6-9" LES. Wrigleyville had 16-18" It was January 22, 2005...one of my best LES chases ever. The band eventually stalled in Lake county IN and dumped 18-24" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 CHI LE events never live up to the hype. I can't think of a time when LOT had the city proper down for hyped amounts...it's usually a 2-8" thing favoring far SE Cook. There have been a handful of overperformers as well but this is going to be too transient for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 too low for sure Trying not to get my hopes up. These isolated lake effect events (especially on this side of the lake) tend to underachieve. Don't get me wrong, definitely like my position for some of the highest IL totals and am encouraged that Izzi is tootin' his horn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I can't think of a time when LOT had the city proper down for hyped amounts...it's usually a 2-8" thing favoring far SE Cook. There have been a handful of overperformers as well but this is going to be too transient for that. I can't think of a time when the city had 2 good lake effect setups less than a month apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Can anyone in the Chicago area remember what the largest LES event at one time was for them? Just curious as how often the other side of the big lake gets any decent LES? I wouldn't think it occurs to often, I do know areas toward the southern tip towards Gary on east happens more frequently compared to Chicago direction. for more information, this was discussed here as well back in late November.... http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41759-pre-thanksgiving-cold-lesother-snow-prospects/page-5#entry2490727 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I can't think of a time when the city had 2 good lake effect setups less than a month apart. we're really going big in the snow department this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I can't think of a time when LOT had the city proper down for hyped amounts...it's usually a 2-8" thing favoring far SE Cook. There have been a handful of overperformers as well but this is going to be too transient for that.hope you guys get creamed! depth is at a season peak here. N flow does nothing for me tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 There was another synoptic storm turns into LES in 2009 or first week of 2010. Ended up with 9-10". Remember driving home from work on i55 and basically driving blind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 CHI LE events never live up to the hype. well it's all relative IMO...a 3 inch LE event is a bigger deal for Chicago, where it may only be a nuisance LE event for legit snowbelt regions... On the other hand, Chicago has already been affected by a decent (by Chicago standards) LE event this year....otherwise, I would tend to agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 hope you guys get creamed! depth is at a season peak here. N flow does nothing for me tho. snowdepth1.jpg Now that's deeeep winter. Looks awesome, Bo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 there are plenty of double digit LE events around NE IL so never is probably too strong of a word. More accurate would be to say models are often too far west with lake bands and often miss the subtle meso lows that lead to rare over performers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 well it's all relative IMO...a 3 inch LE event is a bigger deal for Chicago, where it may only be a nuisance LE event for legit snowbelt regions... On the other hand, Chicago has already been affected by a decent (by Chicago standards) LE event this year....otherwise, I would tend to agree Chicagoan's are hardened by Winter already. They can weather about anything at this point. a 3-5" snow is nuisance snow by most at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 5" falling over an urban area in 2-3 hours will always be more than a nuisance snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 5" falling over an urban area in 2-3 hours will always be more than a nuisance snow.good point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 5" falling over an urban area in 2-3 hours will always be more than a nuisance snow. This. Gonna be a close call as far as morning rush hour and whether the band is still affecting the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This. Gonna be a close call as far as morning rush hour and whether the band is still affecting the city. maybe the skyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 1-3" per hour rates seriously reduce visibility anyway but throw in wind gusts pushing 30 mph and there's probably going to be whiteout/near blizzard conditions even in the urbanized areas closer to the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 5" falling over an urban area in 2-3 hours will always be more than a nuisance snow. yeah, that's a mess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 RAP advertising about a 2-3 hour window for Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 hope you guys get creamed! depth is at a season peak here. N flow does nothing for me tho. snowdepth1.jpg deepsnow1.jpg I need to bring my sled over and put some good use to that untouched snow, have about the same depth at my house but I am surrounded by thick woods so hurts my ability to run around the house. Yea, also not a fan of the N Flow winds, such as waste, all we get is the cold, very little snow, the clipper middle and end of the week looks like we will tack on to the snowpack however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 there are plenty of double digit LE events around NE IL so never is probably too strong of a word. More accurate would be to say models are often too far west with lake bands and often miss the subtle meso lows that lead to rare over performers. Question on meso's, aren't they basically formed by a differential lake breeze and typically associated with weak wind fields? Also, spot on the west bias in models. It's so typical that I tend to assume LaPorte will get nailed when Porter is in the bullseye at 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 always can count on the euro to keep things in perspective. Yea I know...ratios will be rock'n. I'm on the Harry train....let's take our chances with a re-boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I need to bring my sled over and put some good use to that untouched snow, have about the same depth at my house but I am surrounded by thick woods so hurts my ability to run around the house. Yea, also not a fan of the N Flow winds, such as waste, all we get is the cold, very little snow, the clipper middle and end of the week looks like we will tack on to the snowpack however. I would never consider running my sled around my house. I prefer the untouched snow. plenty of places to go ride... I'm weird that way. it's so much more serene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 wagons east on the RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 wagons east on the RAP ? 17z RAP still has it snowing in Chicago at 11z Tue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 ? 17z RAP still has it snowing in Chicago at 11z Tue. it has inched east 3 runs in a row. Far SE side still does well but ORD is more or less shutout (not surprising, just saying). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 euro clipper express thru 168 and it's still looks to be building beyond that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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