IWXwx Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 I honestly think LAF is good for 4-5" with some lolli 6's in the area. We're talking at least 20:1. Expecting similar results for my side of the state. I'm still liking the call I made on Thursday for LAF. However, I was never really expecting to receive the amounts of those farther west due to opening of the system, but with the slight southward shift from the models the past several runs, I look to get fringed and will be more than happy to see 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 An additional 1" last night brings my seasonal total to 27.6". Mood flakes rolling on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 some 35dbz returns showing up in the line that pushed east of QC. Looks like a t-storm squall line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 1/2 mile OBS at DVN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 some 35dbz returns showing up in the line that pushed east of QC. Looks like a t-storm squall line yeah, family up west of Stockton IL just reported that vis is way down on their farm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Definitely sub 1/4 mile with very heavy snow atm. Just pouring out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 nice^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 LOT update AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATEDNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL800 AM CST SAT JAN 18 2014.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...758 AM CSTJUST A QUICK UPDATE...AS HEAVY SNOW IS EVOLVING EAST SOUTHEASTAND IS PROBABLE TO TAKE EVEN BETTER SHAPE INTO A NORTH-TO-SOUTHBAND OR BANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS IN NORTHWEST IL AND TOWARDTHE I-39 CORRIDOR SOUTH OF ROCKFORD.UPSTREAM 12Z MPX SOUNDING INDICATED IMPRESSIVE DRY ADIABATIC LAPSERATES AT 650MB AND ABOVE...WITH RADAR AND SATELLITE INDICATING THISINSTABILITY BEING TAPPED WITH CONVECTIVE-LIKE ECHOES ACROSSCENTRAL IA RACING ESE IN THE CLIPPER "WARM SECTOR". THESE WILLCONTINUE TO CONVERGE WITHIN THE STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION DRIVENBAND NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI...AND THIS BAND IS SLOWING AND INCREASINGIN REFLECTIVITY...MEANING THE HIGH LIKELIHOOD THIS WILL STALL ANDREALLY PUT DOWN SOME IMPRESSIVE RATES OF AT LEAST 1.5 IN/HR PLUS ASFRONTOGENESIS INCREASES. UPSTREAM RATES OF ONE IN/HR PLUS HAVEBEEN OBSERVED AT NUMEROUS LOCATIONS IN A SWATH ALL THE WAY BACK TOTHE CANADIAN BORDER LAST NIGHT...AND THIS IS A GOOD TYPE OF EVENTTO EXTRAPOLATE THESE FORWARD PARALLEL TO THE CLIPPER PATH. THENARRE-TL AND ALMOST ALL OTHER HIGH RES GUIDANCE INDICATES HIGHRATES/REFLECTIVITY ACROSS NORTHWEST IL AND INTO THE I-39 CORRIDORSOUTH OF ROCKFORD BY 10 AM. THAT SEEMS REASONABLE AND IS WELLCOVERED IN THE FORECAST WITH THE HEAVY SNOW AS MENTIONED IN THEPREVIOUS AFD. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY COVERAGE LOOKSFINE...BUT WILL ISSUE AN SPS FOR WINNEBAGO AND BOONE COUNTIES ASMODEST RATES ARE LIKELY AT TIMES BEGINNING IN A COUPLE/FEW HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 I hope that line maintains most of its intensity. I'd love to get blitzed for 15-20 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Definitely sub 1/4 mile with very heavy snow atm. Just pouring out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Winter wonderland up here... band just to my west and south is very intense... still coming down hard here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Now snowing very lightly in the Madison Area. Flakes so small they are barely visible but they are plentiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 IFA's OBS from blowing snow in addition to falling snow? 1/4 mile for them too....but seems a bit west, although there are also some separate waves popping up out that direction as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Ripping good. Parents 30 miles west of here said heaviest snow of the year by far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 random flurries have commenced here in the brook... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 An additional 1" last night brings my seasonal total to 27.6". Mood flakes rolling on. two wave clipper total at YYZ is currently sitting at 1.7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Looking at the current radar, I think Chicago is going to do well. As for LAF, ugly looking dry slot to the west of the first band. I'm thinking we'll come in on the lower end of totals, more like 3" than 5"...and places just to the north/northeast of here "jackpot" in Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Just cloudy here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Gonna miss some of the best returns of the year just to our southwest. Looks to be ripping right now in central Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Peru, IL...rocking. METAR KVYS 181615Z AUTO 14016KT 1/4SM +SN OVC007 M07/M08 A2975 RMK AO2 T10711085 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Hopefully the good stuff near 80/39 can keep its intensity and ENE component Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Hopefully the good stuff near 80/39 can keep its intensity and ENE component Radar filling in nicely in JoDavies County.....something to keep an eye on there as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 snow started here within the last 10 minutes. Strong start so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Really snowing good now here. Gravity waves in LaSalle/DeKalb county rippling north away from the really good stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 yeah most intense sector is sinking south over Pontiac area, but little ripples shooting off to the NE. I have one overhead now, Good rippage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 SN started about 5 minutes ago....cleared surfaces re-whitened in a matter of minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 nice feed right into that heavy band east of Peoria.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Flurries here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Snowing nicely. Too bad this thing is booking. LOT update: * SNOW GRADUALLY BEGINNING...BUT LIKELY LASTING FOR A SHORTER DURATION THAN INITIALLY THOUGHT. IFR VISBY...MVFR CIGS...AND ACCUMULATING SNOW STILL LIKELY...ESPECIALLY 20Z-23Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 18, 2014 Author Share Posted January 18, 2014 5.0" reported out near SQI a short time ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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