Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Quoted for posterity. Good luck out there Oh noes, I've been quoted so I can be trolled later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Quoted for posterity. Good luck out there It could be a couple of inches, but man you are trying pretty hard lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 It could be a couple of inches, but man you are trying pretty hard lolJust trying to get winter back in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Looking forward to more rain this winter. Have not had enough yet, and am always wanting more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Just trying to get winter back in here wish-casting is frowned upon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 wish-casting is frowned upon.Euro smiles upon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Looking forward to more rain this winter. Have not had enough yet, and am always wanting more. Yes, sne winters are usually filled with some awesome dec jan and feb rain, esp along cp, it is what it is, and it is crap, which is why people fantasize about Leon lett 20 years after his fat dumb azz screw'd up. If we are lucky we get a month of cutter free snow pack, which keeps us coming back every year fantasizing about "gate to gate" and Leon Lett and the year middleboro got 110". It is a exercise in denial dissapointment and triumph to be a snow weenie here hoping every year that this "will be" great.I gotta get outta here, but i dont wanna live w the mtn goats and 3 tooth'd women of elevated nne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Euro smiles uponlol, it gives you nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Looking forward to more rain this winter. Have not had enough yet, and am always wanting more. At least we can avoid a dangerous drought come April when summer begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Not for nothing, but the euro ensembles had decent precip probs for ern MA. Might be rain for a lot, but some areas away from the coast could be snow, especially with a track like that supporting more nrly winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Not for nothing, but the euro ensembles had decent precip probs for ern MA. Might be rain for a lot, but some areas away from the coast could be snow, especially with a track like that supporting more nrly winds. That was kind of weird on the Euro ensembles to see that much precip...and the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 I continue to be invested in the chance of a couple sloppy inches. Offshore storm interaction with front from west..Precip should blossom. I envision rain turning to wet snow in hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 That was kind of weird on the Euro ensembles to see that much precip...and the track. Yeah not sure what to think about that. Certainly was an eye opener. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 I continue to be invested in the chance of a couple sloppy inches. Offshore storm interaction with front from west..Precip should blossom. I envision rain turning to wet snow in hillsof course you do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Not for nothing, but the euro ensembles had decent precip probs for ern MA. Might be rain for a lot, but some areas away from the coast could be snow, especially with a track like that supporting more nrly winds. Was just gonna say...ENS looked ok for eastern CT/northern RI/ interior SE MA with a track like that. The significantly negatively tilted 500mb troughis the only way this has a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 0z nam looks like 36-40 f crap for orh and alot of mass with some light precip and hvy stuff just off shore. Snowgoose would say its a red flag that nam at 77 hrs isnt that far nw. Its a torch as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Happy to have not spent time with this or the f/u. I'm focused on post MLK and getting tons of work done in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 It's evolving folks. GFS playing catchup. Foreign models = winning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 The 12z GFS has low pressure centered over or near the Great Lakes for most of the first 8 days of its run. That is in response to the upper level pattern and persistent vorticity advection over the Lakes. That's typically what you get with linear flow from VA to Greenland. The trof axis is pretty favorable, the PNA is spiking, and there are plenty of s/ws in the flow to tilt the trof axis and iniative 2nd cyclogenesis. But the GFS is consistent in showing unfavorable interactions between energy near the Lakes and energy that rounds the base of the trof. Kind of a shame. The Euro pulls it off, but it's tenuous and mostly confined to the east. This is looking like a frustrating period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 The 12z GFS has low pressure centered over or near the Great Lakes for most of the first 8 days of its run. That is in response to the upper level pattern and persistent vorticity advection over the Lakes. That's typically what you get with linear flow from VA to Greenland. The trof axis is pretty favorable, the PNA is spiking, and there are plenty of s/ws in the flow to tilt the trof axis and iniative 2nd cyclogenesis. But the GFS is consistent in showing unfavorable interactions between energy near the Lakes and energy that rounds the base of the trof. Kind of a shame. The Euro pulls it off, but it's tenuous and mostly confined to the east. This is looking like a frustrating period. If we do manage to make it another 8 or 10 days without much winter/snow to show for it...ouch. That puts us into the last week of January and then we're a short hop from higher sun angles and lime season. (haha). I do hate wasting what should be some of the more fun times like we have, but hopefully February produces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Well starting this weekend and then near the 21 we have two chances. I don't see a big issue. You don't get snow immediately on a pattern change, just doesn't work that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Yikes, might be punting to Feb for snow-ouch ouch ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I continue to be invested in the chance of a couple sloppy inches. Offshore storm interaction with front from west..Precip should blossom. I envision rain turning to wet snow in hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 You guys are out of your mind lol. Have fun worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 You guys are out of your mind lol. Have fun worrying.They need to come to grips w the face sne is not a very snowy place espn along cp. accepting that as a snow lover is tuff.At least jan 19-20'th onward enter a good pattern of likely light to mod events and most will be above normal snowfall wise by feb 10 I think the coming pattern looks good for a coast and cape cod esp in a week or so. Would be funny if most storms were suppressed to mid atl lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I gotta get outta here, but i dont wanna live w the mtn goats and 3 tooth'd women of elevated nne. lol. Vim Toot would resent that remark to the highest degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Well starting this weekend and then near the 21 we have two chances. I don't see a big issue. You don't get snow immediately on a pattern change, just doesn't work that way. Leon abandoned us and left us with 50 degree rainstorms in the heart of winter. Hopefully when he gets back from his fifth lunch we'll have a great second half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Yikes, might be punting to Feb for snow-ouch ouch ouch Such is life in nyc metro winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Kevin, how's the 2-3" of slop looking? I wait anxiously for your thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Trollers gon troll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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