Ji Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Euro only shows .11 for JYO Wednesday night but the surface temp is 7C at 7pm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Wait, Matt said it was drier than... EDIT: Nvm, saw his correction. ha....love that joke although its probably not a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 i wonder if the Weekend threat becomes a jan 2005 event for new england. it was one of the analogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Euro looks interesting day 8-9 too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Euro looks interesting day 8-9 too... Did you hear? Redskins hired Jay Gruden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 I hate to be IMBY, but how's wednesday looking for us northern folks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 I hate to be IMBY, but how's wednesday looking for us northern folks? I'd say roughly 1" for you....based on Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Did you hear? Redskins hired Jay Gruden Skins have a better chance at winning the SB than DC getting a 6"+ snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 I'd say roughly 1" for you....based on Euro thanks, matt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 I'd say roughly 1" for you....based on Euro Hate to do the same, anything on this side of the mountains down this way on the Euro? Thank you in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2014 Author Share Posted January 13, 2014 Hate to do the same, anything on this side of the mountains down this way on the Euro? Thank you in advance. Looks like around 1 - 1.5 in your area. Areas just west would be the snow bullseye on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Wow Cobb says 3.1 for iAd .., almost snow blower eligible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 18z GFS more like EURO...1-2" for CHO, SW Burbs...T-1" for everyone else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Man, the eastern NC folks would love the GFS if it weren't toasty at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Tossing in forecasts from different websites for our non-event (but only the overnight hours), two days out. IMBY: via wunderground.com : Overcast with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 28F with a windchill as low as 21F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 50% with accumulations up to 2 in. possible. via TWC Chance of rain: 0% via NWS Partly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph. For DCA via Wunderground.com Wednesday Night Overcast with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 28F with a windchill as low as 18F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 40% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible. via TWC Chance of Rain: 0% via NWS Rain and snow likely before 1am, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. For Leesburg via Wunderground.com Wednesday Night Overcast with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 19F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 70% with accumulations up to 2 in. possible. via TWC Chance of Rain: 0% Via NWS Snow likely, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. For Winchester via Wunderground.com Wednesday Night Partly cloudy with a chance of snow in the evening, then overcast with a chance of snow. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 18F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 60% with accumulations up to 2 in. possible. via TWC Chance of Rain: 0% via NWS Wednesday Day: Snow likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 23. Northwest wind around 9 mph. TL;DR Wunderground runs on optimistic models. (totally lock it) TWC barely thinks it will rain during the day, none at night (toss it) NWS point and click sucks, unless you live in DCA where you seem to jackpot with the west (100% lock it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Tossing in forecasts from different websites for our non-event (but only the overnight hours), two days out. Wunderground runs on optimistic models. (totally lock it) TWC barely thinks it will rain during the day, none at night (toss it) NWS point and click sucks, unless you live in DCA where you seem to jackpot with the west (100% lock it) I usually compare weather outlets before storms and it always seems like Wunderground is the most optimistic about snow, particularly marginal events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 I usually compare weather outlets before storms and it always seems like Wunderground is the most optimistic about snow, particularly marginal events. I've noticed TWC is conservative unless the storm is supposed to be a blockbuster, Wunderground goes all in then retreats the day before, and NWS Point-and-Click just sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Hey, we've had two overperformers this year out by Dulles already. These things come in threes. Then we'll have nothing until 2016 and like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Wow Cobb says 3.1 for iAd .., almost snow blower eligible Omfgwtf is going on now cobb only has .6 snow for iad 18zulu gfs. Wut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 This thread is pretty dead, but I don't see why so. The odds for an event for areas west of DCA are pretty decent, and models and forecasts are still changing rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 This thread is pretty dead, but I don't see why so. The odds for an event for areas west of DCA are pretty decent, and models and forecasts are still changing rapidly. How much energy for Coating to an inch?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 boy, that looks nice but I'm sure 1) it won't happen as the NAM depicts and/or 2) it never can reach its potential http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=048ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_048_500_vort_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 the 5H map sure looks ominous at 60 hrs and very similar to yesterday's 12Z Euro http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=060ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_060_500_vort_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 boy, that looks nice but I'm sure 1) it won't happen as the NAM depicts and/or 2) it never can reach its potential http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=048ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_048_500_vort_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M And it wasn't even all that great verbatim. Nice and cold though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Boom. NAM makes a BIG move toward a "rogue to remember" storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 NAM looks awesome at every level except the surface. Throwing no precip back at us. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 NAM looks awesome at every level except the surface. Throwing no precip back at us. Weird. it must be the kicker screwing it up only reason I can see....or guess! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 NAM looks awesome at every level except the surface. Throwing no precip back at us. Weird. I guess we will have to go with the RPM then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I dub thee the Kurtstack storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 How much energy for Coating to an inch?? Plenty of time left with models trending favorably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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