Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 Let's do this. Mashed potatoes for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 anyone have 12z euro qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 not sure how well it will stick during the day..we tend to ignore the surface and BL here in dc metro or say dumb things like "there is time for it to work itself out"...which almost never happens...it is 34 and snowing and sticks to a cartop if hard enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 anyone have 12z euro qpf? roughly 0.25" for DC ...maybe a little less to the west and a little more to the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2014 Author Share Posted January 10, 2014 anyone have 12z euro qpf? .3 contour runs 95. Some .4-.5 s/e but not all snow verbatim. Uniform decrease to the nw. .1 out by winchester. very similar to GFS. And it will change a lot so no specific details needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2014 Author Share Posted January 10, 2014 not sure how well it will stick during the day..we tend to ignore the surface and BL here in dc metro or say dumb things like "there is time for it to work itself out"...which almost never happens...it is 34 and snowing and sticks to a cartop if hard enough Yea, the only thing that can save us is the fact that the low deepens and has a good track. Precip would be organized and relatively heavy on the nw side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 cant wait to track another 1-3 inch event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 cant wait to track another 1-3 inch event Its better than nothing... and you will like it or the snow gods will give you cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2014 Author Share Posted January 10, 2014 cant wait to track another 1-3 inch event The next ku threat thread is reserved for you to start. 14-15 is gonna be rockin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 cant wait to track another 1-3 inch event You don't have to...unless you think the school teachers are counting on you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 Its better than nothing... and you will like it or the snow gods will give you cold rain actually at this point...nothing is as good as a 1-3 inch event that ends in 7 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 Yeah, I'd rather have nothing as I would 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 once the storm gets going sfc temp on the GFS is 35...BL is warmer..could be mix or rain....great event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 Its better than nothing... and you will like it or the snow gods will give you cold rain That is entirely realistic based on what the models are showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 That is entirely realistic based on what the models are showing I know that... just poking Ji cause you know he hates the tiny snow events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 Why are we even trying anymore...kinda miserable in here...glad everyones keeping it real cuz I was worried people were expecting a foot...yeesh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2014 Author Share Posted January 10, 2014 That is entirely realistic based on what the models are showing It is but it's a good vort pass and decent suface low track and it's 5 days away. No reason not to have fun with it even if it sucks in the end. There were enough GEFS members on board as well. We have nothing else to track either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 Wasn't the temp forecast for Sunday about 4 days ago 60's? We need about 5 degrees. No reason at all to think we can't get that. And no reason to think it won't be wetter, just like practically every system we've had. At least the pieces are there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 I know that... just poking Ji cause you know he hates the tiny snow events i think after 3 years, We are are due a real snowstorm. We have a right to complain about small events...they are getting old. We need a winter storm warning where the accumulation forecast is 8-12. I am not even asking for a KU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2014 Author Share Posted January 10, 2014 i think after 3 years, We are are due a real snowstorm. We have a right to complain about small events...they are getting old. We need a winter storm warning where the accumulation forecast is 8-12. I am not even asking for a KU I agree but Jan isn't the best month for big ones. Maybe towards the end. If we can hold onto a similar lw pattern that has been persistent since met winter started I would say Feb will deliver but that's so far away that it isn't even worth discussing. This event is flawed but these types of systems can be dynamic as they pass. It may end up surprising. I like the look and hate the temps. Can't say much else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 Wasn't the temp forecast for Sunday about 4 days ago 60's? We need about 5 degrees. No reason at all to think we can't get that. And no reason to think it won't be wetter, just like practically every system we've had. At least the pieces are there. actually there is every reason to think that for us in DC.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 cant wait to track another 1-3 inch event I know. Exciting, huh? Especially right in the heart of our "warm spell". Not too shabby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 cant wait to track another 1-3 inch event For DC. Will be 3-5 for you but we'll still have to endure days of fringe complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 i think after 3 years, We are are due a real snowstorm. We have a right to complain about small events...they are getting old. We need a winter storm warning where the accumulation forecast is 8-12. I am not even asking for a KU that is a KU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 If only FUs were KUs...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 that is a KU lol not even close. You know what the KU's are man...96,2003,2009,83,79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 once the storm gets going sfc temp on the GFS is 35...BL is warmer..could be mix or rain....great event! MOS temps are always way too warm in most situations, esp 5 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 I know. Exciting, huh? Especially right in the heart of our "warm spell". Not too shabby. Exactly.. I thought next week was supposed to be torch central Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 MOS temps are always way too warm in most situations, esp 5 days out MOS is 47 on the 15th at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 MOS is 47 on the 15th at DCA. It'll work itself out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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