Chattownsnow Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 didn't expect that answer. thanks for weighing in on my question! Learned something new. I guess we will see how this evolves soon. the 12Z GFS looked pretty awful though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 SREF is basically the NAM ensembles Was not aware of that......interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Was not aware of that......interesting Same here. Thanks for letting us know. With that said. Operational Nam sucks at 12z. 12z nam hires is encouraging to say atleast. Was checking out online to see how well Sref does but came across this...http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/ Anybody use that? Looks to be an older run but suppose to be the most recent but I was checking out that page and came across this. Its the last frame and doesn't go further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 I guess everyone is watching the Panthers game but the EURO might of shown an interesting solution for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 I guess everyone is watching the Panthers game but the EURO might of shown an interesting solution for you guys.I saw it, im a little too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 I saw it, im a little too far west. I assume coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 I assume coastal?yes but its only after it hits the Atlantic. Nothing from the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Yay ! A coastal low!! Somebody go get brick off of the bball court! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 I figured. Nothing to be excited over. Maybe later in month no snow for you probably Elizabeth City to New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 I guess everyone is watching the Panthers game but the EURO might of shown an interesting solution for you guys. Have the ensembles ran? I did notice yesterday a couple gfs members should a coastal of course the whole state got snow but sweetest spot was I95 east and NE. Even with todays run shows an intestifying LP center on the coast. With spots in NC,VA up to .25-.5" qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 no snow for you probably Elizabeth City to New England Oh I know i was just guessing it was a coastal. You know I'm not excited till a block comes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Oh I know i was just guessing it was a coastal. You know I'm not excited till a block comes surprise upslope snow in the mountains and snow east of 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 May go chase!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Y'all don't suppose we can keep the bitching, whiny and sandy vags over in banter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Just for fun there are some slight similarities with this past event you may have heard of: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Just for fun there are some slight similarities with this past event you may have heard of: Oh my... that does look similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Try to temper the enthusiasm! It's just one run, and would be nice if GFS would come on board! Where is brick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Try to temper the enthusiasm! It's just one run, and would be nice if GFS would come on board! Where is brick? Only speaking for myself here: very little enthusiasm for this event at this point, but my interest is up a notch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Isn't it time for DGEX or NAM or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Well, with the Panthers getting ready to go down, here's something to maybe bring our spirits up. It's not much, but it's something. From the afternoon AFD from GSP: A THIRD AND STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MOUNTAINS FROM THENW LATE TUESDAY. THIS FRONT MOVES INTO OUR AREA TUESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING MUCH LOWER THICKNESS VALUES OVER OUR AREA. ALTHOUGH MINIMUMTEMPERATURES WOULD BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL BEFORE COLD ADVECTIONARRIVES IN FORCE...VERTICAL PROFILE SUPPORT A NW FLOW SNOW EVENTINITIATING IN THE NC MOUNTAINS ALONG THE TN BORDER...LASTING THROUGHWEDNESDAY BEHIND THE DEPARTING FRONT. MODEL WINDS AND MOISTURESUGGEST THAT WARNING CRITERIA ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE ACHIEVED.ALTHOUGH MOISTURE ALONG THE BOUNDARY AS IT DEPARTS THE MOUNTAINS ISLIMITED...THERE MAY BE ENOUGH FOR SOME LEE SIDE PRECIPITATION EARLYWEDNESDAY...WHICH COULD BE SNOW BASED ON MODEL SOUNDINGS AND SURFACETEMPERATURES. THE NAM IS DRIER WITH ITS FRONT THAN THE GFS...AND NOTAS SUPPORTIVE OF LEE SIDE PRECIPITATION. HIGH TEMPERATURES AREEXPECTED TO BE SEVERAL CATEGORIES BELOW NORMAL IN ROBUST COLDADVECTION...BUT STILL WARM ENOUGH FOR A CHANGEOVER TO LIQUID IN THEMOST OF THE LEE SHOULD PRECIPITATION LINGER PAST LATE MORNING AS THEGFS SUGGEST. ANY ACCUMULATIONS EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS WOULD BE RATHERLIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chattownsnow Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 well the NAM will peak more interest for the Carolina folks, if the Euro wasn't enough I think this forum should get a little busier after word gets out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Anyone look at the latest NAM? It is MUCH better. Edit: You beat me to it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Need a few more runs to see if it's real or memorrex, Don't you think ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 nam and euro both look good for nc but I think its to early to bite. Now if we see this tonight again and then in the morning, it might be time to get excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Need a few more runs to see if it's real or memorrex, Don't you think ? Yeah, but this is the best look at this event we have seen yet. The trends are getting better. Looking at 700mb rh shows a brief window of good snow growth between 66h and 72h. Definitely worth discussing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Am I looking at it wrong that the 18z nam is putting down around a inch for us upstate folks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Looks like all rain on the soundings for this area. Nothing to see here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Isn't it time for DGEX or NAM or something? Its out of DGEX timeframe now. Yesterdays 18z run looked good for N SC, NC, VA. well the NAM will peak more interest for the Carolina folks, if the Euro wasn't enough I think this forum should get a little busier after word gets out. Anyone look at the latest NAM? It is MUCH better. Edit: You beat me to it.... Yeah completely different from 12Z. Qpf ranges from .10-.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 The problem is while we're cold enough at 850, we're above freezing below that level all the way to the surface. Significantly above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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