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Winter of 2013/2014 as we approach midway of met winter


Minnesota Meso

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As we approach the midway point of meteorological winter, I thought it would be nice to get a snapshot of what has transpired so far in the CWA'S of most of our members. Please keep in mind that this is not a complaint thread, take that to where it belongs.   What would be appreciated by the author is what factors have led to the result so far, and what needs to happen to change the pattern to either wetter, or more milder and colder conditions depending on your area.  Of course any poster from AmericanWx is welcome to respond.

 

I suggest that each poster take about three major reporting sites in their CWA and give a summary of the first half of Winter.  I will start with the far northwest corner of this subforum, excluding the Duluth area, you can add more stat's than what I'm showing if you want to.

 

MSP

Dec average temp: 12.4 which was 7.3 below normal

Dec precip: 1.46 which was +.30 above normal

 

Jan through 01/08

  Ave temp: -2.2 which is 18.1 below normal

  Precip:  .14 which is .12 below mormal

  Seasonal snowfall is 17.3" which is 8.0 below normal

  Current snowpack 6"

 

STC

Dec average temp: 6.2 which was 9.7 below normal

Dec precip: 1.77 which was .95 above normal

 

Jan through 01/08

Ave temp: -7.0 which is 18.9 below normal

Precip:  .13 which is .06 below normal

Seasonal snowfall is 24.1 which is 2.8 above normal

Current snowpack  8"

 

Eau

Dec average temp: 11.1 which was 7.1 below normal

Dec precip 1..53 which was .53 above normal

 

Jan through 01/08

Ave temp: -4.1 which is 18.1 below normal

Precip: .02 which is .20 below normal

Seasonal snowfall is 21.3 which is 2.1 above normal.

Current snowpack is 8"

 

 

The result so far is that we are very cold, would love to see the -EPO relax and a - PNA develop with the axis over the interior Southwest of the US, and a good Southeast ridge develop, but that doesn't appear to be in the offering any time soon.

 

Edit

 

Opps the EPO has gone strongly pos. so much so that we may stay in a zonal flow even though the AO is strongly neg. Looks like it will be very cold east and south of here and that is were the baroclinic zone may set up

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Temps have been cold, precip's been average, snowfall's been average.

 

We're not so deep into January that a lot of the negative departures can't be undone. That being said, I'm thinking it's more likely than not that YYZ averages slightly below normal for DJF. Snowfall will probably end up near average. Assuming that occurs it'll be two years in a row. Very unusual for us the last 2 decades or so when it seems to be either feast or famine with no middle ground.

 

edit: on second inspection, 19" at YYZ and 24.1" at downtown Toronto is probably at least 2-3" above normal y-t-d for both. That beings said, I won't change my prediction of near normal snowfall.

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Only one site from the IND CWA records all three elements, so I'll just do it for Indianapolis (IND).

 

December 2013 Stats

Mean temp: 29.9º -1.7º

Total precip: 4.44" +1.27"

Total snow: 8.8" +1.9"

 

Coldest hi/lo temps: 19º/2º

Warmest hi/lo temps: 61º/50º

Highest precip total from one storm: 3.39" (12/20-21)

Highest snow total from one storm: 4.5" (12/5-6)

 

January 2014 Stats (thru 1/9)

Mean temp: 14.2º -13.8º

Total precip: 1.57" +0.70"

Total snow: 18.2" +15.8" (currently the 9th snowiest Jan on record)

 

Coldest hi/lo temps: 5º/-15º

Warmest hi/lo temps: 41º/20º

Highest precip total from one storm: 1.12" (1/5)

Highest snow total from one storm: 11.4" (1/5)

 

Overall Snowfall Stats

Met winter snowfall to date: 27.0" +17.7"

Season snowfall to date: 27.1" +16.7"

Current snow depth: 11"

 

One of the best starts to meteorological winter in recent memory for Indianapolis. -EPO has ruled/saved the day. A dip in the AO and NAO around the start of Jan has kicked it into high gear, pretty historic start to the month with very cold and very snowy conditions in the first 9 days. So, I'd like nothing to change...but it already is, as a thaw is upon us...alas, that is typical of central Indiana winters. As for the rest of January, I think we average above normal with temperatures, but with some cold shots as well. No big snowfalls in the offing either, but a small event or two is possible. Hopefully there is some EPO ridge retrogression, and some AO and/or NAO help by the time February rolls around. It'd be nice to finish off this winter in good/great fashion, considering its phenomenal start here thus far.

 

Daily graph for the winter to date.

 

 

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Detroit, MI (DTW)

 

December 2013 Stats

Mean temp: 26.8º -3.3º

Total precip: 2.42" -0.04"

Total snow: 15.5" +5.8"

 

Coldest hi/lo temps: 19º/5º

Warmest hi/lo temps: 59º/37º

Highest precip total from one storm: 1.47" (12/20-22)

Highest snow total from one storm: 7.7" (12/14)

 

January 2014 Stats (thru 1/9)

Mean temp: 9.2º -16.8º

Total precip: 1.45" +0.82"

Total snow: 22.4" +18.4" (currently the 7th snowiest Jan on record with 22 days to go!)

 

Coldest hi/lo temps: -1º/-14º

Warmest hi/lo temps: 32º/20º

Highest precip total from one storm: 0.96" (1/5-6)

Highest snow total from one storm: 11.0" (1/5-6)***Dec 31-Jan 2 storm dropped 11.1", but only 10.8" fell IN Jan.

 

Overall Snowfall Stats

Met winter snowfall to 1/9: 37.9" +24.5"

Season snowfall to date: 39.1" +24.2"

Current snow depth: 13"

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:clap: 

Detroit, MI (DTW)

 

December 2013 Stats

Mean temp: 26.8º -3.3º

Total precip: 2.42" -0.04"

Total snow: 15.5" +5.8"

 

Coldest hi/lo temps: 19º/5º

Warmest hi/lo temps: 59º/37º

Highest precip total from one storm: 1.47" (12/20-22)

Highest snow total from one storm: 7.7" (12/14)

 

January 2014 Stats (thru 1/9)

Mean temp: 9.2º -16.8º

Total precip: 1.45" +0.82"

Total snow: 22.4" +18.4" (currently the 7th snowiest Jan on record with 22 days to go!)

 

Coldest hi/lo temps: -1º/-14º

Warmest hi/lo temps: 32º/20º

Highest precip total from one storm: 0.96" (1/5-6)

Highest snow total from one storm: 11.0" (1/5-6)***Dec 31-Jan 2 storm dropped 11.1", but only 10.8" fell IN Jan.

 

Overall Snowfall Stats

Met winter snowfall to 1/9: 37.9" +24.5"

Season snowfall to date: 39.1" +24.2"

Current snow depth: 13"

loving it so far.. Today is fix all the broken stuff, for this week looks busy too !!

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