snowstormcanuck Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 You guys get a Family Day up there? What the!??! That is awesome haha. I think you guys have double the amount of holidays the states have, so jealous. =( It's a stupid name for a holiday. And as OB pointed out, we have 9 statutory holidays in Ontario. Throw in MLK Day and take out Boxing Day. I'm guessing the number is the same for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 lol @ the blob of sub 40s over Toronto. Early springtime on the western shore of a Great Lake. Cool, cloudy, foggy, depressing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 As I believe Chicago WX said in January, it just wouldn't be a winter without at least one or two Ottawa Blizzard meltdowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 As I believe Chicago WX said in January, it just wouldn't be a winter without at least one or two Ottawa Blizzard meltdowns. You're a true winter lover OB. There's really very few of us that do love all aspects of winter. And even despite a warm period approaching, there's no denying that this has been a great one all around. Alas, I don't think wintry weather is done. Some more fun in the future is a decent bet I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 As I believe Chicago WX said in January, it just wouldn't be a winter without at least one or two Ottawa Blizzard meltdowns. Ah well we have a couple Robins in our trees today ... winters over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 You're a true winter lover OB. There's really very few of us that do love all aspects of winter. And even despite a warm period approaching, there's no denying that this has been a great one all around. Alas, I don't think wintry weather is done. Some more fun in the future is a decent bet I think. Chicago Wx, My ideal weather for the calendar year, in terms of temperatures is as follows: January: Highs in the single digits with at least one sub-zero high February: Highs in the teens March 1-15: Highs in the 20s March 16-31: Highs in the 30s April 1-15: Highs in the 40s April 16-30: Highs in the 50s May: Highs in the 60s June: Highs in the 70s July: Highs in the 80s, with at least one high in the 90s, with low humidity August: Highs in the 80s, with low humidity September 1-15: Highs in the 70s September 16-30: Highs in the 60s October 1-15: Highs in the 50s October 16-31: Highs in the 40s November: Highs in the 30s December: Highs in the 20s/teens, with at least one sub-zero overnight low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I can kiss goodbye to the coldest winter in 20 years though if those temperatures verify. As I've said time and again, I'd have preferred if the torch held off until March 1st. Yes you really have... in multiple threads. Honestly I don't think it's going to happen, sorry to say. We would need to keep a mean temperature of about -11C for the rest of the month to break the record, which is pretty rare in the latter half of February. This record was out of reach after the mid-Jan warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Whoever said winter ends Feb 19th is crazy. EVERY ensemble model run has the torch running from next Wed through Saturday night and then a return to a trough. I'm sure its not going to be AS cold as this winter, but normal to below is currently looking likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I can kiss goodbye to the coldest winter in 20 years though if those temperatures verify. As I've said time and again, I'd have preferred if the torch held off until March 1st. 5 Days of mid 40's is going to screw your winter? If we believe the long term ensembles AND operational, Toronto gets smoked by a snowstorm on the following Sunday and replaces + adds to the current depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Anytime it gets above 15 here is feels warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Good! I've never wanted winter to end early more than this year. I am utterly sick of scraping the window of my car every morning and feeling cold constantly. I love loads of snow and temperatures in the uppers 20s/lowers 30s. I cannot stand brutal cold, literally no point to having temperatures get that cold EVER! Just my little rant after hitting a ridiculous -14 this morning. Totally ready for some 50s/60s and sun! I hear ya. Normally I would be up to snowstorm right up until March 1st, but not this year. Too much cold came in with this persistent snow cover. - Which the snow cover length has been impressive, but I don't care if I get 2 more days of snow cover or 10 more. One of the warmer 5 day periods on the GFS for next week. 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yes you really have... in multiple threads. Honestly I don't think it's going to happen, sorry to say. We would need to keep a mean temperature of about -11C for the rest of the month to break the record, which is pretty rare in the latter half of February. This record was out of reach after the mid-Jan warm up. Yes you really have... in multiple threads. Honestly I don't think it's going to happen, sorry to say. We would need to keep a mean temperature of about -11C for the rest of the month to break the record, which is pretty rare in the latter half of February. This record was out of reach after the mid-Jan warm up. Wasn't expecting to break the record. Was hoping to come in as the coldest since 1993-94, not surpass. Still could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSNW3 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 5 Days of mid 40's is going to screw your winter? If we believe the long term ensembles AND operational, Toronto gets smoked by a snowstorm on the following Sunday and replaces + adds to the current depth. Seems March will be pretty typical. April to begin with a chill in the Howell (SE MI) region as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Mid range models/ensembles still showing a major upper trough developing in the West sometime late next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 yep brief torch and then signs of a good storm pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 debateable that soon. very pacific controlled pattern with little arctic connection. Well obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 With the oncoming pattern change I expect to see a lot of Wagons West for our sub forum and increasing chances for svr. Since that other thread has a limited shelf life, figured I'd bring this post over here. I do agree with this as well, the Euro has a storm after this one that has a severe look to it around 216hr, GFS as well. Both models have been advertising dew points over 60 all the way past the Ohio River around that range as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 debateable that soon. very pacific controlled pattern with little arctic connection. Non one said it would be a good SNOWstorm pattern (though obviously the potential's still there given climo). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 debateable that soon. very pacific controlled pattern with little arctic connection. Is there a pattern you like? I mean honestly you wet blanket everything... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 yep brief torch and then signs of a good storm pattern That two wave solution next weekend is intriguing. First one will invariably be wet. Second one has some potential as the baroclinic zone oozes back south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 That two wave solution next weekend is intriguing. First one will invariably be wet. Second one has some potential as the baroclinic zone oozes back south. How many times now have we played that game again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 How many times now have we played that game again? I sense a rhetorical question but I still don't know what you're driving at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 How many times now have we played that game again? Lol considering this is greater than a week out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I sense a rhetorical question but I still don't know what you're driving at. He is downplaying it as a potential which is funny since it is like 10 days out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I sense a rhetorical question but I still don't know what you're driving at. I assume you were getting at the potential for a secondary low, which usually don't work out (and definitely haven't lately). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 He is downplaying it as a potential which is funny since it is like 10 days out... I assume you were getting at the potential for a secondary low, which usually don't work out (and definitely haven't lately). Well we haven't had too many cutter this winter so I'm not sure how you can make that assessment. When was the last threat of a snowy wave riding a cold front? I can't remember one (not fruition, just the threat). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I assume you were getting at the potential for a secondary low, which usually don't work out (and definitely haven't lately). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well we haven't had too many cutter this winter so I'm not sure how you can make that assessment. When was the last threat of a snowy wave riding a cold front? I can't remember one (not fruition, just the threat). Not just this winter, but over the past several winters. They've only existed in the fantasy range (like this one now) only to disappear as the time frame approaches to one reason or another. The last legit secondary low I believe we had was February 2008. As far as legit threats within a reasonable range, again your guess is as good as mine. I guess depending on your definition of a secondary low, that narrow band of anafrontal snows down in the OV back in December could count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 00z Euro was pretty incredible for late next week with not one but two very dynamic systems, both with severe potential from the looks of it. Very large warm sectors in place for both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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