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Monday Through Wednesday Lake Effect Snow Event


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Thanks! me and my girlfriend are well prepared for the cold. Kind of disappointment we are staying in niagara falls but i will certainly visit downtown buffalo to try and see some good snow.

Downtown should get into the action today so there is your chance. :sun:

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I bet you guys down there getting blasted atm,the band is literally 5 miles south of buffalo and the latest Special weather statement suggest it will remain stationary till 8am. :popcorn:

 

 

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
455 AM EST TUE JAN 7 2014

NYZ010>012-019-085-071200-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
455 AM EST TUE JAN 7 2014

...TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
SOUTHTOWNS AND EXTREME NORTHERN PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...

A 20 MILE WIDE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW PRODUCING SNOWFALL
RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS ON AN AREA
CENTERED FROM ANGOLA TO ALDEN. THIS SNOW BAND IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH 8 AM.

THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND WINDS GUSTING UP TO 40 MPH WILL
CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS AREA.

IN ADDITION...THE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE INTENSE COLD
TO PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS OF 20 BELOW TO 40 BELOW
ZERO.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...
ESPECIALLY ON NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADS. TRAVEL ACROSS THE
LAKESHORE CORRIDOR FROM DUNKIRK TO LACKAWANNA...THE BUFFALO
SOUTHTOWNS...THE BOSTON HILLS AND AREAS TO THE EAST...INCLUDING
BENNINGTON...ATTICA AND CORFU WILL BE NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. ROADWAYS
MAY BE OR BECOME IMPASSABLE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME. NUMEROUS
ROADWAYS ARE OR WILL BE CLOSED.

LOCATIONS OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN SNOW BAND WILL SEE MAINLY LIGHT SNOW
WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
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Hi! Im a guy from Sweden. I'm really interested in Lake effect-snow and I see you guys have two, nice "lake effect bands" in NY. I've followed this thread since yesterday and it seems like it's really heavy, so how much snow have you got in Buffalo area and up in like Jefferson, Oswego counties?

 

Sorry for my english btw..

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post-10133-0-02625500-1389097633_thumb.p

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Hi! Im a guy from Sweden. I'm really interested in Lake effect-snow and I see you guys have two, nice "lake effect bands" i NY. I've followed this thread since yesterday and it seems like it's really heavy, so how much snow have you got in Buffalo area and up in like Jefferson, Oswego counties?

 

Sorry for my english btw..

Hi! welcome aboard..I would estimate close to or over 2ft just south of buffalo from lackawanna toward hamburg so far as they have been in the jackpot zone so far,over by Lake Ontario that area just south of KART near sandy creek to lowville is going to cash in based on radar trends overnite, i would estimate close to 2.5ft

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Looks like it will stay mainly south of the city per latest AFD


EAST OF LAKE ERIE…THE LAKE SNOW PLUME HAS SHOWN ONLY SLIGHT
NORTHWARD VARIATION THROUGH THE NIGHT AND MAY DRIFT A FEW MILES
SOUTH THEN RETURN NORTH A COUPLE MILES AGAIN AROUND NOON…THEN BACK
TO THE SOUTH AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT A STRENGTHENING OF THE
LAKE ERIE BAND WITH SNOWFALL RATES TO INCREASE FROM ABOUT 1 INCH PER
HOUR TO ABOUT 2 INCHES PER HOUR FROM MID MORNING THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON. HRRR SHOWS A WEAKENING AFTER 20Z WITH INCREASING BOUNDARY
LAYER SHEAR 00Z TO 06Z.”

 

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Looks like it will stay mainly south of the city per latest AFD[/size]

i cant tell how much we have here its just impossible to measure. Some spots have 3 or 4 inches others have 4 foot drifts. I would guess between 12-16" but no idea to be honest. All i know is if this band stays stationary and sits here all day; possibly intensifying further, Hamburg and OP will be completely impossible to get to for those who for some reason had to venture out to work today, and try to venture home this afternoon. I can certainly see 30" being attainable perhaps more if this can keep up all day but the amounts truly dint matter in this event, its about the windchills in the -30s, the total whiteout conditions, and the fact that people are becoming stranded in a life threatening situation.
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Thank you for the answers ayuud11 and lakeeffectkid382 :) Understand that it's difficult to calculate the snow because of the high winds.

 

But I hope that the band will turn a little north, across the town so I can follow it on the webcam here: http://buffalowebcam.com/live-webcams/elmwood-avenue-panos-restaurant

 

Please take photos or videos now when it's light outside!  B)

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Surprised some of these totals aren't higher, but like everyone's been saying it's nearly impossible to get an accurate measurement with the wind.

 

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
819 AM EST TUE JAN 07 2014

**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************

LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...
1 SSW FRANKLINVILLE 1.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER
5 N ALLEGANY 1.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...
4 SSW RIPLEY 1.5 645 AM 1/07 COCORAHS
4 ENE JAMESTOWN 0.5 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

...ERIE COUNTY...
ORCHARD PARK 12.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO
LANCASTER 10.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO
SLOAN 8.0 629 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO
2 NE BOSTON 8.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS
WSW HAMBURG 7.4 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS
1 W LAKE VIEW 7.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS
WEST SENECA 5.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO
2 SSW BLASDELL 4.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS
BUFFALO 3.8 700 AM 1/07 NWS OFFICE
3 NE CHEEKTOWAGA 3.8 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS
CHEEKTOWAGA 3.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO
ESE KENMORE 1.3 530 AM 1/07 COCORAHS
1 NW KENMORE 0.5 600 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...GENESEE COUNTY...
CORFU 5.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO
2 NE STAFFORD 2.5 600 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...LEWIS COUNTY...
BEAVER FALLS 16.0 735 AM 1/07 TRAINED SPOTTER
LOWVILLE 7.5 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER
HIGHMARKET 6.4 327 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER
1 NW CONSTABLEVILLE 5.6 321 AM 1/07 COCORAHS
6 N CROGHAN 3.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...MONROE COUNTY...
ROCHESTER INTL ARPT 0.6 700 AM 1/07 ASOS

...NIAGARA COUNTY...
1 NNE NORTH TONAWAND 1.1 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS
6 E NIAGARA FALLS 0.5 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER
1 NE PENDLETON 0.5 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...OSWEGO COUNTY...
9 E LACONA 6.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS
3 NE BENNETTS BRIDGE 4.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER
2 SSE PALERMO 0.6 600 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER
7 NNE PHOENIX 0.6 600 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...WYOMING COUNTY...
1 N WETHERSFIELD SPR 8.0 745 AM 1/07 TRAINED SPOTTER
6 SW WARSAW 4.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER
3 N SILVER SPRINGS 1.1 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

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Surprised some of these totals aren't higher, but like everyone's been saying it's nearly impossible to get an accurate measurement with the wind.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

819 AM EST TUE JAN 07 2014

**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************

LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS

SNOWFALL OF

/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...

1 SSW FRANKLINVILLE 1.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

5 N ALLEGANY 1.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

4 SSW RIPLEY 1.5 645 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

4 ENE JAMESTOWN 0.5 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

...ERIE COUNTY...

ORCHARD PARK 12.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

LANCASTER 10.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

SLOAN 8.0 629 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

2 NE BOSTON 8.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

WSW HAMBURG 7.4 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

1 W LAKE VIEW 7.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

WEST SENECA 5.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

2 SSW BLASDELL 4.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

BUFFALO 3.8 700 AM 1/07 NWS OFFICE

3 NE CHEEKTOWAGA 3.8 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

CHEEKTOWAGA 3.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

ESE KENMORE 1.3 530 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

1 NW KENMORE 0.5 600 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...GENESEE COUNTY...

CORFU 5.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

2 NE STAFFORD 2.5 600 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...LEWIS COUNTY...

BEAVER FALLS 16.0 735 AM 1/07 TRAINED SPOTTER

LOWVILLE 7.5 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

HIGHMARKET 6.4 327 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 NW CONSTABLEVILLE 5.6 321 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

6 N CROGHAN 3.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...MONROE COUNTY...

ROCHESTER INTL ARPT 0.6 700 AM 1/07 ASOS

...NIAGARA COUNTY...

1 NNE NORTH TONAWAND 1.1 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

6 E NIAGARA FALLS 0.5 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 NE PENDLETON 0.5 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...OSWEGO COUNTY...

9 E LACONA 6.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

3 NE BENNETTS BRIDGE 4.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

2 SSE PALERMO 0.6 600 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

7 NNE PHOENIX 0.6 600 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...WYOMING COUNTY...

1 N WETHERSFIELD SPR 8.0 745 AM 1/07 TRAINED SPOTTER

6 SW WARSAW 4.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

3 N SILVER SPRINGS 1.1 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

As Justin posted in the other thread snowfall reports when winds are this strong are almost always under reported. Id say about 14-16" here, which is extremely compacted due to the brutal winds. If it wasnt compacted due to the winds wed prob have 2 feet. The grass peaking through in some spots and 5 foot drifts in other spots.
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Updated totals.

000

NOUS41 KBUF 071423

PNSBUF

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-080223-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

923 AM EST TUE JAN 07 2014

**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************

LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS

SNOWFALL OF

/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...

LITTLE VALLEY 2.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

5 N ALLEGANY 1.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

1 SSW FRANKLINVILLE 1.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

4 SW ALLEGHENY STATE 1.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

4 SSW RIPLEY 1.5 645 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

4 ENE JAMESTOWN 0.5 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

...ERIE COUNTY...

1 N ORCHARD PARK 14.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

3 WSW ELMA 13.4 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

ORCHARD PARK 12.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

WALES CENTER 12.0 800 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

WEST SENECA 12.0 800 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

HAMBURG 10.0 800 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

LANCASTER 10.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

1 W COLDEN 8.2 730 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

SLOAN 8.0 629 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

2 NE BOSTON 8.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

WSW HAMBURG 7.4 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

1 W LAKE VIEW 7.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

2 N WEST SENECA 7.0 800 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

2 SSW BLASDELL 4.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

3 NE CHEEKTOWAGA 3.8 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

BUFFALO 3.8 700 AM 1/07 NWS OFFICE

4 SSE BUFFALO 3.6 800 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

CHEEKTOWAGA 3.0 630 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

1 NW WILLIAMSVILLE 2.0 800 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

ESE KENMORE 1.3 530 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

3 ESE TONAWANDA 1.2 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

1 NW KENMORE 0.5 600 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...GENESEE COUNTY...

CORFU 6.0 800 AM 1/07 AMATEUR RADIO

2 NE STAFFORD 2.5 600 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...JEFFERSON COUNTY...

3 S THERESA 2.5 800 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...LEWIS COUNTY...

BEAVER FALLS 16.0 735 AM 1/07 TRAINED SPOTTER

LOWVILLE 7.5 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

HIGHMARKET 6.4 327 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 NW CONSTABLEVILLE 5.6 321 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

5 SSW HARRISVILLE 5.0 530 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

6 N CROGHAN 3.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...MONROE COUNTY...

ROCHESTER INTL ARPT 0.6 700 AM 1/07 ASOS

...NIAGARA COUNTY...

2 NE NORTH TONAWANDA 1.1 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

1 NNE NORTH TONAWAND 1.1 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

1 NE LOCKPORT 1.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

6 E NIAGARA FALLS 0.5 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 NE PENDLETON 0.5 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...OSWEGO COUNTY...

9 E LACONA 6.0 700 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

3 NE BENNETTS BRIDGE 4.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

2 SSE PALERMO 0.6 600 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

7 NNE PHOENIX 0.6 600 AM 1/07 COCORAHS

...WYOMING COUNTY...

1 N WETHERSFIELD SPR 8.0 745 AM 1/07 TRAINED SPOTTER

6 SW WARSAW 4.0 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

3 N SILVER SPRINGS 1.1 700 AM 1/07 CO-OP OBSERVER

$$

DK

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I don't blame you...I've only driven in blizzard/whiteout conditions once or twice and it's not something to be recommended!

 

We've had sun here all morning, but it's now fading behind a thickening veil of fine snow crystals being blown out of the east end of the lake plume. Very light so it would probably take all day to accumlate an inch or two, but pretty effective at reducing visibility. Temp is still below zero (-2) despite the sun.

 

Looking forward to seeing some photos and video of the real action later on.

 

Chris

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I don't blame you...I've only driven in blizzard/whiteout conditions once or twice and it's not something to be recommended!

 

We've had sun here all morning, but it's now fading behind a thickening veil of fine snow crystals being blown out of the east end of the lake plume. Very light so it would probably take all day to accumlate an inch or two, but pretty effective at reducing visibility. Temp is still below zero (-2) despite the sun.

 

Looking forward to seeing some photos and video of the real action later on.

 

Chris

Usually there is about 100-200 feet when you are driving through the normal LES we get around here but this was unreal and to make matters worse i was driving on street that had train tracks!! i'm lucky i wasn't hit by a train or another car that couldn't see!. :cry:

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