cyclone77 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Pretty impressive totals from the 21z SREF mean. If I were Jim Cantore and had a place to setup for tomorrow's storm I'd probably choose the LAF area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Euro is .88" at TOL which is the wettest in days here Damn that's about a foot of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 3.5" here thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 1210 AM SNOW OHARE AIRPORT 41.98N 87.90W01/05/2014 M3.0 INCH COOK IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS STORM TOTAL. STILL SNOWING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Although the 00z Euro is not in, I'm feeling fairly good about bumping my call into the 12-15 inch range. Really seems like the higher-res models have been leading the way in the past 24 hours or so and there is very good agreement between the SREF mean/NAM/RGEM/GGEM on precip amounts around here with even the drier models not too far behind. I'm not sold on ratios being that good given forecast soundings, somewhat marginal temps early on and upstream reports so thinking something around 10-12:1 at the beginning and trending toward 15:1 or a bit higher at the end. There is a chance that it could be a top 5 snowstorm for Lafayette. As mentioned before, the magnitude of the snow and the rapidity/magnitude of the temperature plunge make for a rare, nearly unprecedented event here in Lafayette...especially in modern times, with perhaps the best "analog" (not synoptically speaking but weather conditions-wise) for such a thing being the January 11-12, 1918 event, though it appears that one had higher winds and less snow here. Very exciting stuff. Just woke up after falling asleep on the couch a few hours ago... after looking at the euro, this seems quite reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 DKB down to 19 ARR at 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Temps here starting to sink like a stone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Just under 2" here now. Averaging about half inch an hour the last couple hours. Radar to the southwest of me on the southern edge is slowing lifting north. A pic my buddy sent an hour ago plowing county roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 In the 18hr 6z NAM I trust: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Going to miss the fluffy snow of the last few storms by the look of things. I would expect 10:1 to start and perhaps increase ratios as the storm progresses. Good news is all my lots are now asphalt again, only to get buried in new fresh snow and restart the process. Every thing is plugged in and all the equipment and trucks has diesel fuel conditioner to prevent any more freeze ups and no starts. 20cm here in Windsor or 9" is my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Looks like we'll get 1-2 inches of snow once the front passes and before we enter the dry slot. Enjoy your snow Illinois and Indiana, this storm wasn't meant to be for us down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 1.2in/hr rates overhead. I like the idea of a fast hitter with a big dump. Let it fall, plow, stack it and salt. Not that the salt will do much with the temps on the back side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Friv might have a heart attack when he sees the 6z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Friv might have a heart attack when he sees the 6z NAM. stl to Lafayette looks like the jackpot looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Went outside for about 10 mins. Friendly 0.1 or 0.2" down. Steady stream of -SN falling. Visibility is lowering but the flakes are quite granular. That's what I was getting, or at least most of tonight. I haven't had any large snowflakes or white-outs IMBY yet this winter, kind of want that like during January 20 of last year which was the last white-out conditions with a punch. Right at this minute the snowflakes and snowfall rate are medium so if it can stay like this for a very long time, I'm good. On radar, what is most memorable so far about this system is how sharp the precipitation band is, its crazy. Its a perfect edge for many miles between moderate snow and nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Friv might have a heart attack when he sees the 6z NAM. You might as well. Champaign/Decatur area with a 3"/hr bullseye at 13 hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 You might as well. Champaign/Decatur area with a 3"/hr bullseye at 13 hrs out. that would be insane lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 that would be insane lol Lock it in: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I have a feeling tomorrow is going to be fun !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 The NAM is a little west at 18hr and wetter. Good snows in Chicago still at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 In the 18hr 6z NAM I trust: USA_SRATEI_sfc_018.gif Right along the rain/snow line we could get some insane rates for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 SEMI gets a comma head bonus toward the end, could be looking at several places 12"+ if that verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 4.3" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Lock it in: USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_026.gif Does anyone know why the precip seems to fall off once it reaches SEMI? According to the simulated radar there isnt a dry slot or anything, it just kinda dies out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 3.2" thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doc294 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I'm really disappointed this impressive storm stayed too far north of me. Boy that rain/snow line hiked north and flattened out! A line from ORD to DTX is going to be ROUGH! Man I miss REAL snow! Wish I would have never moved from CMH. I'm a novice by far...but I'm learning a TON! Love this group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Ideal QPF swath for big SEMI snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 SEMI gets a comma head bonus toward the end, could be looking at several places 12"+ if that verified. Looks like the incoming vort with the PV enahances the backside. With the DGZ deepening to 300MB off the surface. Probably ratios of 20-1 or higher. Models are probably to dry with that enhancement. I am going with a 15-22" max band from just SW of STL through STL and S to Laf/S to your neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Ideal QPF swath for big SEMI snows. d12_fill.gif Is that missing something? If not it's garbage in overall amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.